Eredivisie
2026/27 · Regular Season - 7
Match analysis preview
On 19 September 2026, Ajax will face Excelsior at the Johan Cruijff Arena in the 7th round of the Eredivisie. In their last five matches, Ajax have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, while Excelsior have won two, drawn one and lost two.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
|
7 | 21 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 |
|
7 | 15 | 9 | 11 |
Squad news
Preliminary squads: Ajax — Excelsior
Squads may change before kickoff.
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Ajax — Excelsior
A. Bouwman
Injury
⚽0
1
0
D. Blind
Injury
⚽0
0
0
S. Adingra
Foot Injury
N. Naujoks
Inactive
⚽2
0
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Ajax — Excelsior
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five home matches, Ajax have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. Over this period, the team scored 11 goals and conceded 7, averaging 2,2 goals scored and 1,4 conceded per game; in their most recent home fixture, Ajax defeated Willem II 5:1.
Ajax's overall form is better across their last five matches: three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 17 goals scored and 7 conceded. The team scored in each of those fixtures, while their unbeaten run since the defeat by PSV Eindhoven stands at two matches — wins over Fortuna Sittard and Willem II.
2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five home matches, Ajax have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. Over this period, the team scored 11 goals and conceded 7, averaging 2,2 goals scored and 1,4 conceded per game; in their most recent home fixture, Ajax defeated Willem II 5:1.
Ajax's overall form is better across their last five matches: three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 17 goals scored and 7 conceded. The team scored in each of those fixtures, while their unbeaten run since the defeat by PSV Eindhoven stands at two matches — wins over Fortuna Sittard and Willem II.
2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Excelsior have recorded four wins and one draw, remaining unbeaten. The visitors scored 15 goals and conceded 6, averaging 3 goals per game and 1,2 conceded; the team scored in each of these matches and kept clean sheets in two of them.
Their overall form looks less consistent: in their last five matches, Excelsior have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats. The team scored 9 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1,8 and 1,4 goals respectively, and head into the next game after a 1:2 home defeat by Utrecht.
4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Excelsior have recorded four wins and one draw, remaining unbeaten. The visitors scored 15 goals and conceded 6, averaging 3 goals per game and 1,2 conceded; the team scored in each of these matches and kept clean sheets in two of them.
Their overall form looks less consistent: in their last five matches, Excelsior have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats. The team scored 9 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1,8 and 1,4 goals respectively, and head into the next game after a 1:2 home defeat by Utrecht.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Ajax and Excelsior
Ajax have failed to win any of their last four meetings with Excelsior: the teams drew three times, while Ajax lost once. Ajax scored 7 goals and conceded 8 in these matches, leaving Excelsior unbeaten in this sample.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01.02.2026 |
|
|
2:2 |
| 22.11.2025 |
|
|
1:2 |
| 24.04.2024 |
|
|
2:2 |
| 19.08.2023 |
|
|
2:2 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.11.2025 |
|
|
1:2 |
| 24.04.2024 |
|
|
2:2 |
Match timeline
Match events: Ajax — Excelsior
Owen Wijndal
Replaced: Caio Henrique
1 - 0
Julian Brandt
Assist: Kasper Dolberg
Jan Plug
Foul
1 - 1
Lennard Hartjes
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
Replaced: Viktor Tsygankov
Tolu Arokodare
Replaced: Kasper Dolberg
1 - 2
Aymen sliti
Assist: Irakli Yegoian
2 - 2
Tolu Arokodare
Assist: Oscar Gloukh
Kasey Bos
Replaced: Eric da Silva Moreira
Ilano Silva Timas
Replaced: Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Replaced: Aymen sliti
Sofyan Amrabat
Replaced: Jorthy Mokio
Abdellah Ouazane
Replaced: Davy Klaassen
Oscar Gloukh
Argument
Irakli Yegoian
Argument
Mario Domínguez Franco
Replaced: David Garden
Ajax
Metric
Excelsior
2
Goals
2
33
Shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
17
Shots off target
1
8
Blocked shots
1
24
Shots inside the box
4
9
Shots outside the box
9
Corners
6
Fouls
12
3
Offsides
81 %
Ball possession, %
19 %
Goalkeeper saves
6
82
Total passes
197
755
Accurate passes
132
1
Yellow cards
2
Red cards
1
Goals
1
33
Shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
17
Shots off target
1
8
Blocked shots
1
24
Shots inside the box
4
9
Shots outside the box
9
Corners
6
Fouls
12
3
Offsides
81 %
Ball possession, %
19 %
Goalkeeper saves
6
82
Total passes
197
755
Accurate passes
132
1
Yellow cards
2
Red cards
1
Goals
1
Shots
Shots on target
Shots off target
Blocked shots
Shots inside the box
Shots outside the box
Corners
Fouls
Offsides
Goalkeeper saves
Total passes
Accurate passes
Yellow cards
Red cards
Player statistics
Player ratings: Ajax — Excelsior
8
J. Brandt
M · 90 min · goals: 1
8.2
99
T. Arokodare
F · 28 min · goals: 1
8.2
10
O. Gloukh
F · 90 min · assists: 1
7.7
3
A. Gaaei
D · 90 min
7.5
20
O. Edvardsen
F · 29 min
7.1
5
O. Wijndal
D · 67 min
7.0
9
K. Dolberg
F · 62 min · assists: 1
6.9
6
T. Kehrer
D · 90 min
6.8
15
Y. Baas
D · 90 min
6.5
24
J. Mokio
M · 76 min
6.5
68
A. Ouazane
M · 13 min
6.4
18
D. Klaassen
M · 77 min
6.4
11
V. Tsygankov
F · 61 min
6.3
4
S. Amrabat
M · 14 min
6.2
12
Caio Henrique
D · 23 min
6.1
1
M. ter Stegen
G · 90 min
6.1
21
Jofre Torrents
D · 0 min
0.0
51
C. Setford
G · 0 min
0.0
38
Marcos Leonardo
F · 0 min
0.0
26
M. Paes
G · 0 min
0.0
36
D. Janse
D · 0 min
0.0
43
Rayane Bounida
F · 0 min
0.0
2
Lucas Rosa
D · 0 min
0.0
7
A. Sliti
F · 71 min · goals: 1
8.0
20
L. Hartjes
M · 90 min · goals: 1
7.4
1
S. van Gassel
G · 90 min
7.0
4
C. Widell
D · 90 min
6.9
8
I. Yegoian
M · 90 min · assists: 1
6.8
12
K. Bos
F · 25 min
6.8
9
Mario Domínguez
F · 5 min
6.7
11
A. Jahanbakhsh
F · 19 min
6.5
21
I. Silva Timas
F · 19 min
6.5
19
D. Garden
F · 85 min
6.4
30
Á. Þorsteinsson
F · 71 min
6.4
15
S. Janssen
D · 90 min
6.3
2
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
D · 65 min
6.3
14
J. Plug
D · 90 min
6.2
3
R. Meissen
M · 90 min
5.9
6
D. van Vianen
M · 0 min
0.0
22
O. Turay
D · 0 min
0.0
18
V. Sulzbacher
M · 0 min
0.0
28
N. Groen
F · 0 min
0.0
24
Giulliano Cairo
M · 0 min
0.0
16
Celton Biai
G · 0 min
0.0
Prediction
Ajax vs Excelsior prediction
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Ajax — Excelsior
2:2
Draw (X)
Estimated goals: 2.05 — 1.9. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
27.7%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Estimated scoring potential: 2.05 : 1.9
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 2 : 1.4
Home / away form · points: 1.6 : 2.6
Average goal difference: 2 : 0.4
Head to head · points: 0.75 : 1.5
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Ajax — Excelsior
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
10
Team 7.4
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.6
Team 6.8
Opponent 1.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.8
Team 4.4
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.4
Team 5.6
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Ajax — Excelsior
In Ajax's home matches, the teams average 7,0 shots on target, while their opponents average 4,4, bringing the average total to 11,4; the 7,5 line was surpassed in four of the five fixtures, with each of the four most recent home matches finishing above it. In Excelsior's away matches, the averages were 6,6 shots on target for the team and 3,4 for their opponents, while the total reached 10,0 and the line was surpassed in all five fixtures. The model selected Over 7,5 with a rating of 5\/5 points and a calculated probability of 69,13%; the prediction is supported most strongly by Excelsior's away matches and Ajax's overall form, where the line was also surpassed in five out of five matches.
69%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
13.4
Team 8.4
Opponent 5
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.4
Team 7
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.6
Team 4.4
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
10
Team 6.6
Opponent 3.4
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Yellow cards — Ajax — Excelsior
Ajax's home matches have produced an average total of 4,2 yellow cards: the hosts receive an average of 1,8, while their opponents receive 2,4; the 2,5 line was surpassed in four of the five fixtures. There is no consistent run of matches with a high or low number of bookings, as the most recent home game ended without any cards; Excelsior's away matches offer a sample of three fixtures with an average total of 3,7 and the line being surpassed in three out of three cases. The model selected Over 2,5 with a rating of 5\/5 points; the calculated probability is not specified in the JSON. The prediction is supported most strongly by Ajax's home matches and Excelsior's away matches.
67%
Estimated probability
Yellow cards Over 2.5 — odds 1.83 (Bet365). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 50%.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
4.8
Team 2.8
Opponent 2
Above the line in 3 of 4 matches
Average per match
4.2
Team 1.8
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.6
Team 1.8
Opponent 0.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.7
Team 1.3
Opponent 2.3
Above the line in 3 of 3 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Ajax — Excelsior
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Cards: total
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Ajax · 0%
Draw · 0%
Excelsior · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +11 · 0%
Under +11 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Ajax — Excelsior
Kick-off19 September 2026, 21:00
CompetitionEredivisie
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 7
VenueJohan Cruijff Arena
CityAmsterdam
RefereeJannick van der Laan
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Ajax — Excelsior
01 What time does Ajax vs Excelsior kick off?
Ajax vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off 19 September 2026, 21:00.
02 Where is Ajax vs Excelsior being played?
The match is played at Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam).
03 Who is the referee for Ajax vs Excelsior?
The referee for Ajax vs Excelsior is Jannick van der Laan.
04 What are the over/under odds for Ajax vs Excelsior?
For Ajax vs Excelsior, bookmakers offer 1.72 on over 3.5 goals and 2.13 on under 3.5 goals.
05 What are the match winner odds for Ajax vs Excelsior?
Bookmaker odds for Ajax vs Excelsior: Ajax — 1.25, Draw — 6.48, Excelsior — 8.96.
06 What is the recent form of Ajax and Excelsior?
Ajax: 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 17–7. Excelsior: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 9–7.
07 How many times have Ajax and Excelsior played each other?
Our database has 4 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
Comments
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