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Football Analytics & Betting Blog

Plain-language guides on reading football stats and predictions: what xG actually measures, how to read shots-on-target and corner stats, how the xG.Football prediction model works, and what terms like "both teams to score" or "total" mean.

Blog

Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It

A walkthrough of the BTTS market: how it works, how to estimate its probability from odds and which indicators to check before a match.

8 min read Read the article →
Blog

Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands

How the most popular totals line works, how to calculate the probability of Over 2.5 and which factors influence a match total.

9 min read Read the article →
Blog

Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin

A step-by-step guide to converting odds into probability, finding the bookmaker margin and comparing the price with your own estimate.

8 min read Read the article →
Blog

Football Prediction & Betting Glossary

A short, plain-language glossary of the terms you'll see in predictions and stats on xG.Football — from xG to totals and both teams to score.

7 min read Read the article →
Blog

How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works

From stored statistics to an outcome probability: how every xG.Football prediction is built, and how to check its real-world accuracy yourself.

7 min read Read the article →
Blog

How to Read Shots on Target and Corner Stats

The scoreline never tells the whole story. Here is how to read shots, shots on target, corners and possession to understand a match on a deeper level.

6 min read Read the article →
Blog

What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football?

xG is one of the core metrics in modern football analytics. Here is a plain-language explanation of how it is calculated, what it shows and how to read it.

6 min read Read the article →