Line movement
Dropping odds
We follow bookmaker prices on the result and the goal total of matches worldwide and show where the odds have dropped noticeably from the opening. This is information about the market, not betting advice.
All markets · Signals in the last 30 days
38.6%
303 of 784 came in
Result 1X2 · Signals in the last 30 days
32.1%
190 of 592 came in
Goal total · Signals in the last 30 days
58.9%
113 of 192 came in
A signal is a drop of the median price by 10% or more from the opening while most bookmakers price it below their opening. Only settled matches are counted.
Signals of started matches in the last 72 hours
Each signal is fixed once, at the moment of the drop, and never changes: you see the opening price, the price at the signal and the closing price before kickoff.
| Kickoff | Match | Outcome | Opening → signal → closing | Change | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Potosí — Bolívar Bolivia · Copa de la División Profesional | Under 2.5 | 2.20 → 1.94 → 2.02 | -8.2% | pending | |
| Real Potosí — Bolívar Bolivia · Copa de la División Profesional | 2 favourite | 1.67 → 1.44 → 1.70 | +2.9% | pending | |
| Deportivo Tachira FC — Monagas SC Venezuela · Copa Venezuela | 1 favourite | 1.60 → 1.17 → 1.17 | -28.0% | pending | |
| River Plate Res. — Vélez Sársfield Res. Argentina · Reserve League | 2 underdog | 2.86 → 2.50 → 2.38 | -16.2% | pending | |
| Atletico Torque — Atletico-MG World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Under 2.5 | 1.93 → 1.69 → 1.68 | -12.6% | pending | |
| Liverpool Montevideo — Cerro Largo Uruguay · Copa Uruguay | 2 underdog | 5.50 → 4.20 → 4.20 | -23.6% | pending | |
| Real Madrid — RB Leipzig World · UEFA Champions League | Over 3.5 | 1.72 → 1.53 → 1.45 | -13.8% | pending | |
| Club Brugge KV — Lens World · UEFA Champions League | Over 2.5 | 1.62 → 1.41 → 1.40 | -12.4% | pending | |
| Club Brugge KV — Lens World · UEFA Champions League | 1 favourite | 2.10 → 1.88 → 1.88 | -10.6% | pending | |
| Real Betis — Feyenoord World · UEFA Champions League | Over 3.5 | 2.11 → 1.88 → 1.88 | -12.5% | pending | |
| Real Betis — Feyenoord World · UEFA Champions League | 2 underdog | 5.28 → 4.70 → 4.60 | -13.3% | pending | |
| Aston Villa — Viking World · UEFA Champions League | 2 underdog | 12.25 → 10.00 → 10.00 | -18.7% | pending | |
| Warrenpoint Town — Crusaders FC Northern-Ireland · League Cup | 1 underdog | 3.30 → 2.74 → 6.00 | +81.8% | pending | |
| Warrenpoint Town — Crusaders FC Northern-Ireland · League Cup | 2 favourite | 1.88 → 1.37 → 1.37 | -26.2% | pending | |
| Liverpool W — Manchester United W England · WSL Cup | 1 underdog | 3.05 → 2.52 → 2.52 | -17.4% | pending | |
| Everton W — Newcastle United W England · WSL Cup | X draw | 3.78 → 3.38 → 3.38 | -10.5% | pending | |
| Everton W — Newcastle United W England · WSL Cup | 2 underdog | 4.10 → 2.60 → 2.40 | -40.5% | pending | |
| Durham W — Birmingham City W England · WSL Cup | 1 underdog | 7.50 → 5.15 → 5.25 | -31.3% | pending | |
| Durham W — Birmingham City W England · WSL Cup | X draw | 5.00 → 4.30 → 4.30 | -14.8% | pending | |
| Belgrano Córdoba Res. — Estudiantes La Plata Res Argentina · Reserve League | 1 favourite | 2.50 → 2.07 → 2.00 | -20.9% | pending | |
| Heist — Tienen Belgium · First Amateur Division | 2 underdog | 3.98 → 3.28 → 3.28 | -17.6% | pending | |
| Vanløse — Nykobing FC Denmark · DBU Pokalen | Under 3.5 | 1.73 → 1.48 → 1.60 | -6.4% | pending | |
| Vanløse — Nykobing FC Denmark · DBU Pokalen | Under 2.5 | 2.74 → 2.25 → 2.54 | -7.3% | pending | |
| Kalsdorf — SV Lafnitz Austria · Regionalliga - South | 2 underdog | 3.70 → 3.30 → 3.30 | -14.9% | pending | |
| Al Ahly — Olympic El Qanah Egypt · Premier League | 2 underdog | 11.00 → 9.55 → 11.25 | 0.0% | pending | |
| Birzebbuga — Marsaxlokk Malta · Premier League | Under 2.5 | 1.99 → 1.74 → 2.08 | +4.5% | pending | |
| Birzebbuga — Marsaxlokk Malta · Premier League | 1 underdog | 5.45 → 4.10 → 5.50 | -0.6% | pending | |
| Birzebbuga — Marsaxlokk Malta · Premier League | X draw | 3.98 → 3.28 → 3.86 | -2.6% | pending | |
| Hamrun Spartans — Balzan FC Malta · Premier League | 2 underdog | 4.83 → 4.30 → 4.15 | -12.3% | pending | |
| Malacateco — Comunicaciones Guatemala · Liga Nacional | Under 2.5 | 1.71 → 1.53 → 1.56 | -5.6% | void | |
| Malacateco — Comunicaciones Guatemala · Liga Nacional | 2 underdog | 3.69 → 2.90 → 3.50 | -6.6% | void | |
| Pachuca U21 — Cruz Azul U21 Mexico · Liga MX U21 | 1 favourite | 2.00 → 1.75 → 1.75 | -10.3% | pending | |
| Toluca U21 — Club Tijuana U21 Mexico · Liga MX U21 | 2 underdog | 4.20 → 3.45 → 3.45 | -20.7% | pending | |
| Al Jeel — Al Jandal Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 | 2 favourite | 2.45 → 2.06 → 2.06 | -14.5% | void | |
| Sporting CP U19 — LASK U19 2:1 World · UEFA Youth League | X draw | 5.60 → 5.33 → 5.48 | -8.7% | lost | |
| Sporting CP U19 — LASK U19 2:1 World · UEFA Youth League | 2 underdog | 7.87 → 6.65 → 6.57 | -9.0% | lost | |
| Club Brugge U19 — Lens U19 4:2 World · UEFA Youth League | Over 3.5 | 2.02 → 1.76 → 1.76 | -12.9% | won | |
| Real Betis U19 — Feyenoord U19 1:4 World · UEFA Youth League | Over 2.5 | 1.56 → 1.33 → 1.29 | -17.3% | won | |
| Real Betis U19 — Feyenoord U19 1:4 World · UEFA Youth League | 1 favourite | 1.87 → 1.59 → 1.41 | -23.8% | lost | |
| Aston Villa U19 — Viking U19 0:1 World · UEFA Youth League | 2 underdog | 10.25 → 9.00 → 9.10 | -13.0% | won | |
| Zvijezda 09 — Omarska Bosnia · 1st League - RS | 1 favourite | 1.95 → 1.61 → 1.57 | -17.6% | pending | |
| Ayutthaya FC — Muangthong United 2:1 Thailand · FA Cup | 1 favourite | 1.96 → 1.69 → 1.69 | -14.4% | won | |
| Xankəndi FK — Mingəçevir 0:1 Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta | 1 favourite | 1.33 → 1.14 → 1.10 | -9.9% | lost | |
| Kagoshima United — Kochi United 3:1 Japan · J3 League | X draw | 4.30 → 3.59 → 3.90 | -9.0% | lost | |
| Kagoshima United — Kochi United 3:1 Japan · J3 League | 2 underdog | 7.04 → 5.40 → 6.40 | -10.2% | lost | |
| Shimizu S-pulse — Machida Zelvia 0:5 Japan · J1 League | Under 2.5 | 1.75 → 1.54 → 1.54 | -13.0% | lost | |
| Bali United — Garudayaksa 5:0 Indonesia · Liga 1 | 2 underdog | 5.90 → 5.25 → 5.25 | -10.5% | lost | |
| Internacional de Bogota — Fortaleza FC 2:1 Colombia · Primera A | 2 underdog | 3.33 → 3.00 → 2.99 | -10.2% | lost | |
| Union La Calera — Coquimbo Unido Chile · Copa Chile | 1 underdog | 2.93 → 2.11 → 2.38 | -19.8% | void | |
| Criciuma U20 — Flamengo U20 0:2 Brazil · Copa do Brasil U20 | 1 underdog | 3.40 → 2.86 → 2.89 | -15.8% | lost | |
| Tacuary — Independiente F.b.c. 3:2 Paraguay · Division Intermedia | Under 2.5 | 1.98 → 1.55 → 1.64 | -16.7% | lost | |
| Tacuary — Independiente F.b.c. 3:2 Paraguay · Division Intermedia | X draw | 3.52 → 3.02 → 3.14 | -9.7% | lost | |
| Paraguari AC — Fernando De La Mora 2:0 Paraguay · Division Intermedia | Under 2.5 | 1.79 → 1.44 → 1.47 | -17.3% | won | |
| Paraguari AC — Fernando De La Mora 2:0 Paraguay · Division Intermedia | 1 underdog | 2.63 → 2.32 → 2.75 | +5.6% | won | |
| Paraguari AC — Fernando De La Mora 2:0 Paraguay · Division Intermedia | X draw | 3.30 → 2.79 → 2.79 | -11.9% | lost | |
| Depor FC — Quindio 0:1 Colombia · Primera B | 2 favourite | 1.91 → 1.61 → 1.55 | -18.7% | won | |
| Tigres FC — Real Cundinamarca 0:0 Colombia · Primera B | 2 underdog | 3.14 → 2.82 → 2.80 | -10.5% | lost | |
| Paris Saint Germain — Barcelona 4:2 World · UEFA Champions League | Over 3.5 | 1.69 → 1.50 → 1.50 | -9.9% | won | |
| Napoli — Bodo/Glimt 4:3 World · UEFA Champions League | 2 underdog | 5.05 → 4.33 → 4.48 | -11.7% | lost | |
| Manchester City — AEK Athens FC 5:1 World · UEFA Champions League | X draw | 13.00 → 11.88 → 9.33 | -27.2% | lost |
Test a theory on history
How a flat stake at the closing odds on every outcome matching the conditions would have done. "Expected" is the win rate built into the odds themselves (with the margin). Only settled matches are counted.
How to read line movement
The odds reflect how much money and information has reached an outcome. When the price falls at many bookmakers at once, the market has re-rated that side: team news, large bets or the correction of a wrong line.
We compare every bookmaker with its own opening price and take the median, so one bookmaker with an outlying line does not distort the picture. The "Dropped at" column shows how many bookmakers price it below their opening.
A drop is no guarantee. The closing price already includes the move, and without an edge over the market a bet at it loses the margin on average. That is why we show the result of every signal, not only the winners.
18+. Information about odds movement is for reference only and is not a recommendation to bet. Bookmaker names are given without links.