Primeira Liga
2026/27 · Regular Season - 7
Match analysis preview
On 19 September 2026, Alverca and Rio Ave will meet at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca in the 7th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last five matches, Alverca have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats, while Rio Ave have managed one win, one draw and three defeats.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
|
7 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 16 |
|
7 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
Squad news
Preliminary squads: Alverca — Rio Ave
Squads may change before kickoff.
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Alverca — Rio Ave
1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Alverca's home form over their last five matches includes one win, three draws and one defeat. At home, the team have scored 7 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1,4 goals per game in both directions; their most recent home match, following draws with Santa Clara and Estrela, ended in a 1:2 defeat by SC Braga.
Across Alverca's last five matches overall, they have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 9 goals. The team scored in each of those matches, and after losing 1:3 to Sporting CP, they beat Nacional 3:1.
1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Alverca's home form over their last five matches includes one win, three draws and one defeat. At home, the team have scored 7 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1,4 goals per game in both directions; their most recent home match, following draws with Santa Clara and Estrela, ended in a 1:2 defeat by SC Braga.
Across Alverca's last five matches overall, they have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 9 goals. The team scored in each of those matches, and after losing 1:3 to Sporting CP, they beat Nacional 3:1.
1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Rio Ave have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. The visitors have scored three goals and conceded eight, averaging 0,6 goals per game while allowing 1,6; in their most recent away match, the team lost 0:4 to Santa Clara. Their overall form also comprises three defeats, one draw and one win in five matches, but their scoring figures are higher: five goals scored and 13 conceded, averaging 1 and 2,6 respectively. Rio Ave scored in two of these matches and, after beating Estoril 2:0, failed to win either of their next two games.
1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Rio Ave have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. The visitors have scored three goals and conceded eight, averaging 0,6 goals per game while allowing 1,6; in their most recent away match, the team lost 0:4 to Santa Clara. Their overall form also comprises three defeats, one draw and one win in five matches, but their scoring figures are higher: five goals scored and 13 conceded, averaging 1 and 2,6 respectively. Rio Ave scored in two of these matches and, after beating Estoril 2:0, failed to win either of their next two games.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Alverca and Rio Ave
Alverca have avoided defeat in their last two meetings with Rio Ave, recording one win and one draw. In April, Alverca won 2:1 away from home, while the teams drew 1:1 in November; the aggregate score across those two matches is 3:2 in Alverca's favour.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04.04.2026 |
|
|
1:2 |
| 08.11.2025 |
|
|
1:1 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.11.2025 |
|
|
1:1 |
Match timeline
Match events: Alverca — Rio Ave
1 - 0
Dawda Camara Sankharé
Assist: Francisco Chiquinho
Marios Vrushai
Replaced: Pedro Amaral
Sebastian Clemensen
Replaced: Roland Galcik
André Vidigal
Replaced: Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos
Vivaldo Semedo
Replaced: Dawda Camara Sankharé
Malik Sellouki
Replaced: Miguel Patricío
Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro
Replaced: João Tomé Baptista
Caike Lourenço Valença
Replaced: Tamas Nikitscher
Matheus Franca
Replaced: Francisco Chiquinho
Yaya Bojang
Replaced: Francisco Chissumba
Zé Rafael
Replaced: Rayan Lucas
Simón García
Foul
Davy Gui
Foul
André Vidigal
Time Wasting
Francisco Petrasso
Argument
Alverca
Metric
Rio Ave
1
Goals
23
Shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
11
Shots off target
2
6
Blocked shots
1
16
Shots inside the box
1
7
Shots outside the box
5
8
Corners
3
12
Fouls
8
2
Offsides
1
48 %
Ball possession, %
52 %
3
Goalkeeper saves
5
351
Total passes
401
285
Accurate passes
331
2
Yellow cards
2
Red cards
1
Goals
23
Shots
6
6
Shots on target
3
11
Shots off target
2
6
Blocked shots
1
16
Shots inside the box
1
7
Shots outside the box
5
8
Corners
3
12
Fouls
8
2
Offsides
1
48 %
Ball possession, %
52 %
3
Goalkeeper saves
5
351
Total passes
401
285
Accurate passes
331
2
Yellow cards
2
Red cards
Goals
Shots
Shots on target
Shots off target
Blocked shots
Shots inside the box
Shots outside the box
Corners
Fouls
Offsides
Goalkeeper saves
Total passes
Accurate passes
Yellow cards
Red cards
Player statistics
Player ratings: Alverca — Rio Ave
19
D. Camara
F · 68 min · goals: 1
7.8
10
Chiquinho
F · 74 min · assists: 1
7.7
21
Sergi Gómez
D · 90 min
7.7
12
I. James
D · 90 min
7.4
14
S. Baseya
D · 90 min
7.4
31
Matheus Mendes
G · 90 min
7.3
6
D. Gui
M · 90 min
7.2
26
Matheus França
F · 16 min
7.1
4
Y. Bojang
D · 6 min
7.0
7
André Vidigal
M · 22 min
6.9
20
Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
M · 90 min
6.8
22
Figueiredo
F · 68 min
6.8
55
Francisco Chissumba
M · 84 min
6.7
35
Rayan
M · 84 min
6.7
9
Vivaldo Semedo
F · 22 min
6.6
93
Zé Rafael
M · 6 min
6.4
27
Toni Tamarit
F · 0 min
0.0
11
C. Nuozzi
F · 0 min
0.0
17
S. Merheg
F · 0 min
0.0
18
Z. Kassary
M · 0 min
0.0
8
Vasco Moreira
M · 0 min
0.0
91
Jhonatan
G · 0 min
0.0
—
E. Jemide
0 min
0.0
32
Vitor Hugo
G · 90 min
7.9
17
M. Vrousai
F · 31 min
6.8
44
T. Nikitscher
M · 69 min
6.7
30
R. Galčík
M · 59 min
6.6
9
Tamble Monteiro
F · 21 min
6.6
20
João Tomé
D · 69 min
6.5
60
Caike
D · 21 min
6.4
80
S. Clemmensen
F · 31 min
6.4
5
A. Ntoi
M · 90 min
6.3
3
S. Garcia
D · 90 min
6.3
23
F. Petrasso
D · 90 min
6.2
79
M. Patricio
M · 69 min
6.2
11
J. Blesa
F · 90 min
6.1
19
M. Sellouki
M · 21 min
6.0
24
Pedro Amaral
D · 59 min
5.9
7
Diogo Bezerra
M · 90 min
5.2
22
K. Chamorro
G · 0 min
0.0
54
G. Liavas
M · 0 min
0.0
27
T. Medina
M · 0 min
0.0
39
Gustavo Mancha
D · 0 min
0.0
70
A. Wenck
M · 0 min
0.0
21
R. Šiler
F · 0 min
0.0
77
D. Špikić
F · 0 min
0.0
Prediction
Alverca vs Rio Ave prediction
An Alverca win is the most likely scenario: the team's home form is rated more highly, with an average of 1,2 across their five home matches, compared with Rio Ave's overall average of 0,8 in their last five games. Alverca average 1,4 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave concede 1,6 away from home, which further supports the hosts. The expected-goals difference also favours Alverca — 1,8 against 1,2 — so the home side may gain the advantage, although this scenario does not guarantee the final result.
Alverca — Rio Ave
2:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 1.8 — 1.2. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
57.9%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Home / away form · points: 1.2 : 0.8
Estimated scoring potential: 1.8 : 1.2
Average goal difference: -0.2 : -1.6
Head to head · points: 2 : 0.5
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 1 : 0.8
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Alverca — Rio Ave
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
5.8
Team 3.6
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.4
Team 4.8
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
9
Team 3.4
Opponent 5.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.6
Team 2.4
Opponent 6.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Alverca — Rio Ave
In Alverca's five home matches, the hosts averaged 2,2 shots on target, while their opponents averaged 4,4, for a combined total of 6,6; the 7,5 line was beaten in two matches, with no consistent run of high or low figures evident. In Rio Ave's five away matches, the team averaged 3 shots on target, while their opponents averaged 5, for a combined total of 8, and the line was beaten in three cases; the prediction is most strongly supported by Alverca's overall form — 4 hits out of 5, Rio Ave's away form — 3 out of 5, and the head-to-head record — 2 out of 2. The model recommends over 7,5 shots on target at a rating of 4/5 and an estimated probability of 67,88%, although this statistical assessment does not guarantee the bet will land.
68%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
8.6
Team 3.4
Opponent 5.2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
6.6
Team 2.2
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.8
Team 2.6
Opponent 6.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
8
Team 3
Opponent 5
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Alverca — Rio Ave
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
4.2
Team 2
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
5
Team 1.4
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.8
Team 1.3
Opponent 1.5
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
Average per match
3.6
Team 1.8
Opponent 1.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Alverca — Rio Ave
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Alverca · 0%
Draw · 0%
Rio Ave · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9 · 0%
Under +9 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Alverca — Rio Ave
Kick-off19 September 2026, 20:00
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 7
VenueComplexo Desportivo FC Alverca
CityAlverkaduribajo
RefereeLuis Carlos Mateus Filipe
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Alverca — Rio Ave
01 What time does Alverca vs Rio Ave kick off?
Alverca vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) kicks off 19 September 2026, 20:00.
02 Where is Alverca vs Rio Ave being played?
The match is played at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca (Alverkaduribajo).
03 Who is the referee for Alverca vs Rio Ave?
The referee for Alverca vs Rio Ave is Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe.
04 Who will win Alverca vs Rio Ave?
According to our statistical model, Alverca is the most likely winner of Alverca vs Rio Ave, with a probability of 57.9%.
05 What is the prediction for Alverca vs Rio Ave?
The statistical model favours Home win (1), with an estimated probability of 57.9%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Alverca vs Rio Ave?
For Alverca vs Rio Ave, bookmakers offer 2.02 on over 2.5 goals and 1.83 on under 2.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Alverca vs Rio Ave?
Bookmaker odds for Alverca vs Rio Ave: Alverca — 1.86, Draw — 3.58, Rio Ave — 4.22.
08 What is the recent form of Alverca and Rio Ave?
Alverca: 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 8–9. Rio Ave: 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 5–13.
09 How many times have Alverca and Rio Ave played each other?
Our database has 2 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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