La Liga
2026/27 · Regular Season - 7
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Atletico Madrid will face Real Madrid at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in the 7th round of La Liga. In their five most recent matches, Atletico Madrid have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, while Real Madrid have won four and lost one.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
|
6 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 |
|
6 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
A. Sorloth
Muscle Injury
P. Barrios
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
Eder Militao
Hamstring Injury
F. Mendy
Hip Injury
Rodrygo
Knee Injury
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Atletico Madrid's home form in their five most recent matches consists of three wins, one draw and one defeat. The team have scored 9 goals and conceded 3, averaging 1,8 goals scored and 0,6 conceded per game; following the defeat to Celta Vigo, they have gone four home matches unbeaten, while they have scored in each of their last four games. Overall, Atletico Madrid also have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, with a 12:6 goal difference and averages of 2,4 goals scored and 1,2 conceded per game. Their last two matches ended in wins over Real Sociedad and Osasuna, with an aggregate score of 7:0.
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Atletico Madrid's home form in their five most recent matches consists of three wins, one draw and one defeat. The team have scored 9 goals and conceded 3, averaging 1,8 goals scored and 0,6 conceded per game; following the defeat to Celta Vigo, they have gone four home matches unbeaten, while they have scored in each of their last four games. Overall, Atletico Madrid also have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, with a 12:6 goal difference and averages of 2,4 goals scored and 1,2 conceded per game. Their last two matches ended in wins over Real Sociedad and Osasuna, with an aggregate score of 7:0.
4 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Real Madrid have recorded three wins and two defeats in their five most recent matches, with no draws. The visitors have scored six goals and conceded five, averaging 1,2 goals scored and 1,0 conceded per game; after their 3:2 win over Elche, they head into their next away fixture having won their last match. Their overall form is considerably stronger: four wins and one defeat in five matches, with 15 goals scored and five conceded, averaging 3,0 and 1,0 respectively. Following the defeat to Real Betis, the team have won four matches in a row, while they have scored in each of their five most recent games.
3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Real Madrid have recorded three wins and two defeats in their five most recent matches, with no draws. The visitors have scored six goals and conceded five, averaging 1,2 goals scored and 1,0 conceded per game; after their 3:2 win over Elche, they head into their next away fixture having won their last match. Their overall form is considerably stronger: four wins and one defeat in five matches, with 15 goals scored and five conceded, averaging 3,0 and 1,0 respectively. Following the defeat to Real Betis, the team have won four matches in a row, while they have scored in each of their five most recent games.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid
In the five most recent meetings, Atletico Madrid have recorded one win, three draws and one defeat against Real Madrid. Atletico have scored 10 goals and conceded eight in these matches, with both teams scoring in all five encounters.
Prediction
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction
A close match is the most likely outcome: Atletico's home form looks convincing, but Real's away figures are also similar in terms of goals scored and points won. The average expected goals are almost identical — 1,6 for the hosts and 1,5 for the visitors — while the teams have averaged 1,2 points per game in their head-to-head meetings. The statistics point to a scenario in which Atletico have a slight home advantage, but neither side has a clear edge.
Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
2:2
Draw (X)
Estimated goals: 1.6 — 1.5. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
25.9%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Home / away form · points: 2 : 1.8
Estimated scoring potential: 1.6 : 1.5
Head to head · points: 1.2 : 1.2
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 2 : 2.4
Average goal difference: 1.2 : 2
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9
Team 5.2
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10
Team 7.6
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
13
Team 7.8
Opponent 5.2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.2
Team 7
Opponent 3.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Shots on target: Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9.8
Team 6
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.8
Team 5.8
Opponent 4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
12.2
Team 8.4
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 4.4
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.2
Team 1.6
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 0 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.6
Team 1.8
Opponent 1.8
Above the line in 0 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.4
Team 1.8
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
5.8
Team 2.2
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Shots on target: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +10.5 · 0%
Under +10.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Atletico Madrid · 0%
Draw · 0%
Real Madrid · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +10.5 · 0%
Under +10.5 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +6 · 0%
Under +6 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
Kick-off20 September 2026, 17:15
CompetitionLa Liga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 7
VenueRiyadh Air Metropolitano
CityMadrid
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
01 What time does Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid kick off?
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid (La Liga) kicks off 20 September 2026, 17:15.
02 Where is Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid being played?
The match is played at Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid).
03 Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
According to our statistical model, a draw is the most likely result of Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid, with a probability of 25.9%.
04 What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
The statistical model favours Draw (X), with an estimated probability of 25.9%.
05 What are the over/under odds for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
For Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid, bookmakers offer 2.18 on over 3.5 goals and 1.70 on under 3.5 goals.
06 What are the match winner odds for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
Bookmaker odds for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: Atletico Madrid — 3.63, Draw — 3.74, Real Madrid — 1.97.
07 What is the recent form of Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid?
Atletico Madrid: 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 12–6. Real Madrid: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 15–5.
08 How many times have Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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