World
Friendlies
2026 · Friendly International
xG
Australia vs Brazil: expected goals (xG)
Australia
0.90
Projected xG
Brazil
2.26
Probabilities from xG
- Australia win13.6%
- Draw18.6%
- Brazil win67.8%
- Over 2.5 goals60.7%
- Both teams to score53%
Most likely scores
- Australia 0:2 Brazil11%
- Australia 1:2 Brazil9.8%
- Australia 0:1 Brazil9.7%
xG form
| Matches | xG for | xG against | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia, all matches | 4 | 0.74 | 1.01 |
| Australia at home | 2 | 1.03 | 1.36 |
| Brazil, all matches | 5 | 2.33 | 0.78 |
| Brazil away | 1 | 4.33 | 1.04 |
Projected xG averages each side's attack with the opponent's defence, using the actual xG from both teams' recent matches, overall and home or away. The probabilities come from a Poisson model of goals: an estimate, not a guarantee.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Australia — Brazil
1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 4 matches
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 4 matches
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Australia and Brazil
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.09.2026 |
|
|
1:1 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.09.2026 |
|
|
1:1 |
Prediction
Australia vs Brazil prediction
Australia — Brazil
1:2
Away win (2)
Estimated goals: 0.78 — 1.26. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
41.4%
Estimated probability
Prediction published 26.09.2026 17:42
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 1.2 : 2
Estimated scoring potential: 0.78 : 1.26
Average goal difference: 0 : 1.2
Factors against
Home / away form · points: 1.75 : 1.75
Prediction
Prediction: Corners — Australia — Brazil
62%
Estimated probability
Prediction published 26.09.2026 17:42
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 3.6
Opponent 6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.8
Team 4.8
Opponent 6
Above the line in 3 of 4 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 5.4
Opponent 4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
12.8
Team 8.3
Opponent 4.5
Above the line in 4 of 4 matches
Pre-match statistics
Shots on target: Australia — Brazil
The model did not produce a betting pick. The teams’ pre-match statistics are available below.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
6.6
Team 2.8
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.3
Team 2.8
Opponent 4.5
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 6
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
11
Team 8.3
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 4 of 4 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Australia — Brazil
The model did not produce a betting pick. The teams’ pre-match statistics are available below.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.4
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
3
Team 1.5
Opponent 1.5
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
Average per match
3
Team 1.6
Opponent 1.4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.5
Team 1.8
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 2 of 4 matches
Per-match average · last 5 games
Team statistical profile: Australia — Brazil
Expected goals (xG)
Shots
Shots on target
Corners
Ball possession, %
Pass accuracy, %
Goalkeeper saves
Fouls
Yellow cards
Offsides
Shots
Shots on target
Corners
Ball possession, %
Pass accuracy, %
Goalkeeper saves
Fouls
Yellow cards
Offsides
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Team Form: How to Evaluate Recent Matches · Head-to-Head (H2H): Does It Work in Predictions? · Player Injuries, Suspensions and Line-ups: Their Effect on Predictions · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Australia — Brazil
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin · Value Bet: What It Is and How to Find One
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Match information
Match information: Australia — Brazil
Kick-off29 September 2026, 13:00
CompetitionFriendlies
Season2026
Round / stageFriendly International
VenueSuncorp Stadium
CityBrisbane
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
AI
Pre-match analysis
An automatically prepared description based on stored facts and statistics will appear here.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Australia — Brazil
01 What time does Australia vs Brazil kick off?
Australia vs Brazil (Friendlies) kicks off 29 September 2026, 13:00.
02 Where is Australia vs Brazil being played?
The match is played at Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane).
03 Who will win Australia vs Brazil?
According to our statistical model, Brazil is the most likely winner of Australia vs Brazil, with a probability of 41.4%.
04 What is the prediction for Australia vs Brazil?
The statistical model favours Away win (2), with an estimated probability of 41.4%.
05 What is the recent form of Australia and Brazil?
Australia: 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 4–4. Brazil: 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 10–4.
06 How many times have Australia and Brazil played each other?
Our database has 1 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
Comments
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