Eredivisie
2026/27 · Regular Season - 7
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, AZ Alkmaar will face Telstar at the AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar in the 7th round of the Eredivisie. AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording four wins, while Telstar have failed to win any of their last five: the team have drawn twice and suffered three defeats.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
|
6 | 17 | 6 | 16 |
| 12 |
|
6 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
D. Kasius
Groin Injury
S. Resink
Knee Injury
No reported player absences
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
AZ Alkmaar’s home form looks solid: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded two wins and three draws, scoring 13 and conceding 8 goals. The hosts have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game during this run; they have not lost any of those matches and have scored in every one. Their overall form has been even more productive: AZ Alkmaar have won four and drawn one of their last five matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 6, for averages of 3 and 1.2 goals respectively.
2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
AZ Alkmaar’s home form looks solid: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded two wins and three draws, scoring 13 and conceding 8 goals. The hosts have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game during this run; they have not lost any of those matches and have scored in every one. Their overall form has been even more productive: AZ Alkmaar have won four and drawn one of their last five matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 6, for averages of 3 and 1.2 goals respectively.
0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Telstar have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five away matches. The team scored five goals and conceded four in those games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match; the visitors found the net in three of the five games and failed to score in two. Their overall form is considerably weaker: across their last five matches in all competitions, Telstar have managed one draw and four defeats, scoring three goals and conceding ten. The team failed to score in three of those five matches, while their winless run stands at all five games.
2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Telstar have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five away matches. The team scored five goals and conceded four in those games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match; the visitors found the net in three of the five games and failed to score in two. Their overall form is considerably weaker: across their last five matches in all competitions, Telstar have managed one draw and four defeats, scoring three goals and conceding ten. The team failed to score in three of those five matches, while their winless run stands at all five games.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: AZ Alkmaar and Telstar
AZ Alkmaar have beaten Telstar in each of their last two meetings — 2:1 at home and 1:0 away. AZ scored three goals in those matches, while Telstar scored one; the sample covers two Dutch league games.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.01.2026 |
|
|
0:1 |
| 05.10.2025 |
|
|
2:1 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05.10.2025 |
|
|
2:1 |
Prediction
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar prediction
The statistics point to an advantage for AZ Alkmaar: in overall form, the team’s average scoring rate is 2.6 goals compared with Telstar’s 0.4, while expected goals are estimated at 2.1 versus 1.1. AZ scored 8 goals in three home matches, whereas Telstar scored three and conceded three in their last five away games. A home win looks likely, and the head-to-head record also supports this outcome: AZ won both previous meetings.
AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
2:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 2.1 — 1.1. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
57.9%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 2.6 : 0.4
Estimated scoring potential: 2.1 : 1.1
Average goal difference: 1.8 : -1.4
Head to head · points: 3 : 0
Factors against
Home / away form · points: 1.8 : 1.6
Pre-match statistics
Corners: AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
12
Team 9.2
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
12.2
Team 7.8
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.4
Team 4.8
Opponent 5.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.4
Team 2.2
Opponent 9.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
The model has selected over 7.5 shots on target, rated 3/5, with a calculated probability of 61,95%. AZ Alkmaar’s home matches have produced an average total of 10.2 shots on target, but the line landed in 2 of 5 games; Telstar’s away matches have averaged 9.2, with the line exceeded in 4 of 5 cases. The prediction is supported most strongly by the overall form of both teams and Telstar’s away matches, where the line also landed in 4 of 5 games, although this statistical assessment does not guarantee the outcome.
62%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
11.2
Team 8.2
Opponent 3
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.2
Team 6.2
Opponent 4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 2.2
Opponent 7
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 2.6
Opponent 6.6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
2.8
Team 1.3
Opponent 1.5
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
Average per match
1.3
Team 0.3
Opponent 1
Above the line in 0 of 3 matches
Average per match
3.8
Team 1.8
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 4 matches
Average per match
3.8
Team 1.8
Opponent 2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
Advertisement
Bookmaker / Google Ads promo banner · 728×90
Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
AZ Alkmaar · 0%
Draw · 0%
Telstar · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +11 · 0%
Under +11 · 0%
Match information
Match information: AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
Kick-off20 September 2026, 15:30
CompetitionEredivisie
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 7
VenueAFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）
CityAlkmaar
RefereeSander van der Eijk
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
01 What time does AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar kick off?
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar (Eredivisie) kicks off 20 September 2026, 15:30.
02 Where is AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar being played?
The match is played at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） (Alkmaar).
03 Who is the referee for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
The referee for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar is Sander van der Eijk.
04 Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
According to our statistical model, AZ Alkmaar is the most likely winner of AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar, with a probability of 57.9%.
05 What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
The statistical model favours Home win (1), with an estimated probability of 57.9%.
06 What are the over/under odds for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
For AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar, bookmakers offer 1.74 on over 3.5 goals and 2.09 on under 3.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
Bookmaker odds for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar: AZ Alkmaar — 1.25, Draw — 6.56, Telstar — 8.90.
08 What is the recent form of AZ Alkmaar and Telstar?
AZ Alkmaar: 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 15–6. Telstar: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 3–10.
09 How many times have AZ Alkmaar and Telstar played each other?
Our database has 2 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
Comments
Comments on AZ Alkmaar — Telstar
Sign in to leave a comment.
Sign in
No comments yet — be the first.