Bundesliga
2026/27 · Regular Season - 4
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Bayer Leverkusen will face RB Leipzig at the BayArena in the 4th round of the Bundesliga. In their last five matches, Bayer Leverkusen have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats, while RB Leipzig have won three and lost two.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
|
3 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 |
|
3 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
G. Doue
Muscle Injury
⚽0
1
0
K. Eichhorn
Illness
M. Culbreath
Injury
N. Tella
Injury
A. Ouedraogo
Shoulder Injury
⚽0
0
0
C. Baumgartner
Thigh Injury
M. Guiu
Hamstring Injury
⚽0
0
0
R. Reitz
Muscle Injury
⚽1
0
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
At home, Bayer Leverkusen have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches. The team have scored 16 goals and conceded 7, averaging 3,2 and 1,4 goals per game respectively; they have scored in each of those five matches and have not lost either of their last two home games.
In terms of overall form, Bayer Leverkusen have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded. The team have avoided defeat in their last two matches: a win over Union Berlin was followed by a draw with FC Augsburg.
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
At home, Bayer Leverkusen have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches. The team have scored 16 goals and conceded 7, averaging 3,2 and 1,4 goals per game respectively; they have scored in each of those five matches and have not lost either of their last two home games.
In terms of overall form, Bayer Leverkusen have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded. The team have avoided defeat in their last two matches: a win over Union Berlin was followed by a draw with FC Augsburg.
3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
RB Leipzig have lost their last three away matches in a row: Werder Bremen — 1:3, SC Freiburg — 1:4 and Bayer Leverkusen — 1:4. In their last five away games, the team have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring 8 goals and conceding 13 — an average of 1,6 and 2,6 goals per game respectively; the visitors have scored and conceded in every match. Their overall form in their last five Bundesliga matches is better: three wins and two defeats, with 12 goals scored and 8 conceded, averaging 2,4 and 1,6 goals per game. In this sample, RB Leipzig scored in all five matches, and after losing to Werder Bremen they beat Hamburger SV 5:0.
2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
RB Leipzig have lost their last three away matches in a row: Werder Bremen — 1:3, SC Freiburg — 1:4 and Bayer Leverkusen — 1:4. In their last five away games, the team have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring 8 goals and conceding 13 — an average of 1,6 and 2,6 goals per game respectively; the visitors have scored and conceded in every match. Their overall form in their last five Bundesliga matches is better: three wins and two defeats, with 12 goals scored and 8 conceded, averaging 2,4 and 1,6 goals per game. In this sample, RB Leipzig scored in all five matches, and after losing to Werder Bremen they beat Hamburger SV 5:0.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig
In the last five meetings between the sides, Bayer Leverkusen have recorded three wins, one match ended in a draw and RB Leipzig won one. The aggregate score across those matches is 14:9 in Bayer Leverkusen's favour, with the team scoring in every encounter. Bayer Leverkusen won the last two meetings: 3:1 away and 4:1 at home.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02.05.2026 |
|
|
4:1 |
| 20.12.2025 |
|
|
1:3 |
| 25.01.2025 |
|
|
2:2 |
| 31.08.2024 |
|
|
2:3 |
| 20.01.2024 |
|
|
2:3 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02.05.2026 |
|
|
4:1 |
| 31.08.2024 |
|
|
2:3 |
Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig prediction
Bayer Leverkusen's home form looks more convincing than their overall form: in five home matches, the team have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, while their overall five-match record is one win, two draws and two defeats. Leverkusen have averaged 3,2 goals in home matches, while RB Leipzig have conceded 2,6 per game away from home; the expected goals figures also favour the hosts — 2,35 versus 1,80. The statistics point to a possible advantage for Leverkusen, although a prediction of a home win is not a guarantee.
Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
3:2
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 2.35 — 1.8. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
52.8%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Home / away form · points: 2 : 1.2
Estimated scoring potential: 2.35 : 1.8
Head to head · points: 2 : 0.8
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 1 : 1.8
Average goal difference: 0.2 : 0.8
Prediction
Prediction: Corners — Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
The prediction is over 9,5 corners, with the model rating it 3\/5; the calculated probability is not provided in the data. In Bayer Leverkusen's five home matches, the hosts average 9,8 corners, while their opponents average 2,6, making the overall total 12,4; the line was surpassed in all five matches. In RB Leipzig's five away matches, the averages are 3,6 corners for the team and 3,0 for their opponents, with an overall total of 6,6; the 9,5 mark was surpassed in two of five matches, so there is a statistical signal in favour of the over, but it does not guarantee that the line will be beaten.
60%
Estimated probability
Corners Over 9.5 — odds 1.80 (Pinnacle). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 52.8%.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
11.8
Team 8.4
Opponent 3.4
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
12.4
Team 9.8
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 5.2
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
6.6
Team 3.6
Opponent 3
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
In Bayer Leverkusen's home matches, the average total number of shots on target is 13,8: the hosts take 9,6 shots and their opponents 4,2, while the 10,5 line was surpassed in four of five matches; in RB Leipzig's away matches, the averages are 5,2 and 6,0 shots respectively, with an average total of 11,2 and the line also surpassed in four of five matches. The model has selected over 10,5 with a rating of 4\/5, with the prediction supported most strongly by Bayer Leverkusen's home sample and RB Leipzig's away sample, as well as the head-to-head meetings, where the line was surpassed in four of five matches; the calculated probability is not provided in the prediction.
50%
Estimated probability
Shots on target Over 10.5 — odds 1.83 (Bet365). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 50%.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
11.8
Team 6.6
Opponent 5.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
13.8
Team 9.6
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.2
Team 6.6
Opponent 4.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.2
Team 5.2
Opponent 6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.4
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.6
Team 1.4
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
1.6
Team 1
Opponent 0.6
Above the line in 0 of 5 matches
Average per match
2
Team 1.2
Opponent 0.8
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Shots on target: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +10.5 · 0%
Under +10.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Bayer Leverkusen · 0%
Draw · 0%
RB Leipzig · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9.5 · 0%
Under +9.5 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
Kick-off20 September 2026, 16:30
CompetitionBundesliga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 4
VenueBayArena
CityBayer Leverkusen
RefereeRobert Schroder
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig
01 What time does Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off 20 September 2026, 16:30.
02 Where is Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig being played?
The match is played at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen).
03 Who is the referee for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
The referee for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig is Robert Schroder.
04 Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
According to our statistical model, Bayer Leverkusen is the most likely winner of Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig, with a probability of 52.8%.
05 What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
The statistical model favours Home win (1), with an estimated probability of 52.8%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
For Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig, bookmakers offer 1.90 on over 3.5 goals and 1.99 on under 3.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
Bookmaker odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: Bayer Leverkusen — 2.03, Draw — 4.17, RB Leipzig — 3.30.
08 What is the recent form of Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig?
Bayer Leverkusen: 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 10–9. RB Leipzig: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 12–8.
09 How many times have Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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