Bundesliga
2026/27 · Regular Season - 4
Match analysis preview
On 18 September 2026, Bayern Munich will face Union Berlin at the Allianz Arena in Matchday 4 of the Bundesliga regular season. In their last five matches, Bayern Munich have recorded four wins and one draw, while Union Berlin have won one, drawn one and lost three over the same period.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
|
4 | 14 | 2 | 10 |
| 17 |
|
4 | 4 | 17 | 1 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Bayern München — Union Berlin
T. Buchmann
Knee Injury
A. Ilic
Illness
A. Markgraf
Knee Injury
J. Juranovic
Illness
⚽0
0
0
M. Friedrich
Injury
O. Burke
Achilles Tendon Injury
S. Nsoki
Muscle Injury
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Bayern München — Union Berlin
4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Bayern Munich’s home form looks convincing: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring 21 goals and conceding 7. That works out at an average of 4,2 goals scored and 1,4 conceded per game over this run; their unbeaten streak stands at five matches, and they have scored in every game.
Their overall form is also positive: Bayern Munich have won four and drawn one of their last five matches, with a 13:3 goal difference. The average figures are 2,6 goals scored and 0,6 conceded per match, with the team unbeaten in all five games.
4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Bayern Munich’s home form looks convincing: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring 21 goals and conceding 7. That works out at an average of 4,2 goals scored and 1,4 conceded per game over this run; their unbeaten streak stands at five matches, and they have scored in every game.
Their overall form is also positive: Bayern Munich have won four and drawn one of their last five matches, with a 13:3 goal difference. The average figures are 2,6 goals scored and 0,6 conceded per match, with the team unbeaten in all five games.
2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Union Berlin have recorded one win and four defeats in their last five matches, scoring five and conceding 15 goals — an average of 1,0 and 3,0 goals per game respectively. The team lost their last away match 0:4 to Bayer Leverkusen, and over this run they scored in only two games and conceded in all five. Their overall form is better: in their last five matches, Union Berlin have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 11 goals. They failed to score only once in these games — in the 0:4 away defeat to Bayer Leverkusen — but come into the next match on the back of two consecutive defeats.
1 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Union Berlin have recorded one win and four defeats in their last five matches, scoring five and conceding 15 goals — an average of 1,0 and 3,0 goals per game respectively. The team lost their last away match 0:4 to Bayer Leverkusen, and over this run they scored in only two games and conceded in all five. Their overall form is better: in their last five matches, Union Berlin have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 11 goals. They failed to score only once in these games — in the 0:4 away defeat to Bayer Leverkusen — but come into the next match on the back of two consecutive defeats.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Bayern München and Union Berlin
Bayern Munich have avoided defeat in their last four meetings with Union Berlin, recording two wins and two draws. The aggregate score over this period is 10:3 in Bayern Munich’s favour, with Union Berlin failing to score in two matches. The most recent meeting ended in a 4:0 win for Bayern Munich.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03.2026 |
|
|
4:0 |
| 08.11.2025 |
|
|
2:2 |
| 15.03.2025 |
|
|
1:1 |
| 02.11.2024 |
|
|
3:0 |
| 20.04.2024 |
|
|
1:5 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.03.2026 |
|
|
4:0 |
| 02.11.2024 |
|
|
3:0 |
Match timeline
Match events: Bayern München — Union Berlin
1 - 0
Jamal Musiala
Assist: Alphonso Davies
Felix Uduokhai
Dissent
2 - 0
Harry Kane
Penalty
Rani Khedira
Foul
3 - 0
Michael Olise
Assist: Jamal Musiala
Kim Min-Jae
Replaced: Dayot Upamecano
Tim Skarke
Replaced: Emmanuel Latte Lath
Dayot Upamecano
Dissent
4 - 0
Harry Kane
Assist: Michael Olise
Aljoscha Kemlein
Replaced: Janik Haberer
Livan Burcu
Replaced: Woo-Yeong Jeong
Ismael Saibari
Replaced: Luis Díaz
Tom Bischof
Replaced: Aleksandar Pavlović
5 - 0
Ismael Saibari
Assist: Alphonso Davies
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Replaced: Christopher Trimmel
6 - 0
Michael Olise
Assist: Tom Bischof
7 - 0
Michael Olise
Assist: Tom Bischof
Serge Gnabry
Replaced: Harry Kane
Livan Burcu
Foul
Derrick Köhn
Replaced: András Schäfer
Nathaniel Brown
Replaced: Alphonso Davies
Bayern München
Metric
Union Berlin
7
Goals
23
Shots
3
15
Shots on target
2
3
Shots off target
1
5
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
2
9
Shots outside the box
1
9
Corners
2
12
Fouls
9
2
Offsides
2
68 %
Ball possession, %
32 %
2
Goalkeeper saves
6
642
Total passes
299
587
Accurate passes
224
1
Yellow cards
3
Red cards
3
Goals
23
Shots
3
15
Shots on target
2
3
Shots off target
1
5
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
2
9
Shots outside the box
1
9
Corners
2
12
Fouls
9
2
Offsides
2
68 %
Ball possession, %
32 %
2
Goalkeeper saves
6
642
Total passes
299
587
Accurate passes
224
1
Yellow cards
3
Red cards
4
Goals
Shots
Shots on target
Shots off target
Blocked shots
Shots inside the box
Shots outside the box
Corners
Fouls
Offsides
Goalkeeper saves
Total passes
Accurate passes
Yellow cards
Red cards
Player statistics
Player ratings: Bayern München — Union Berlin
17
M. Olise
M · 90 min · goals: 3 · assists: 1
9.6
10
J. Musiala
M · 90 min · goals: 1 · assists: 1
8.8
19
A. Davies
D · 83 min · assists: 2
8.5
9
H. Kane
F · 77 min · goals: 2
8.2
34
I. Saibari
M · 27 min · goals: 1
7.6
8
T. Bischof
M · 27 min · assists: 2
7.5
1
M. Neuer
G · 90 min
7.4
4
J. Tah
D · 90 min
7.3
6
J. Kimmich
M · 90 min
7.2
45
A. Pavlović
M · 63 min
7.1
3
Kim Min-Jae
D · 45 min
6.9
44
J. Stanišić
D · 90 min
6.9
14
L. Díaz
M · 63 min
6.7
11
N. Brown
D · 7 min
6.6
7
S. Gnabry
F · 13 min
6.5
2
D. Upamecano
D · 45 min
6.5
40
J. Urbig
G · 0 min
0.0
39
Bara Ndiaye
M · 0 min
0.0
42
L. Karl
M · 0 min
0.0
21
H. Ito
D · 0 min
0.0
1
F. Rønnow
G · 90 min
6.5
20
M. Aebischer
M · 90 min
6.5
14
L. Querfeld
D · 90 min
6.4
29
E. Latte Lath
F · 45 min
6.3
19
J. Haberer
M · 60 min
6.2
9
Livan Burcu
F · 30 min
6.1
6
A. Kemlein
M · 30 min
6.0
21
T. Skarke
M · 45 min
5.9
13
A. Schäfer
M · 82 min
5.9
11
Jeong Woo-Yeong
M · 60 min
5.9
8
R. Khedira
M · 90 min
5.6
4
Z. Van Den Bosch
D · 19 min
5.5
2
F. Uduokhai
D · 90 min
5.5
15
T. Rothe
D · 90 min
5.4
17
D. Köhn
D · 8 min
5.4
28
C. Trimmel
D · 71 min
5.0
30
K. Imeri
M · 0 min
0.0
27
M. LjubiÄiÄ
F · 0 min
0.0
31
M. Raab
G · 0 min
0.0
24
R. Skov
M · 0 min
0.0
Prediction
Bayern München vs Union Berlin prediction
The statistics point to an advantage for Bayern Munich: in overall form, the hosts have averaged 2,6 points per match compared with 1,4 for Union Berlin, while the difference is even more pronounced in home matches — 2,6 versus 0,6. Expected goals also favour the hosts — 3 versus 1,3 — while Bayern Munich regularly score and produce plenty of shots on target. A home win looks the likeliest scenario, but this assessment does not guarantee the final result.
Bayern München — Union Berlin
3:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 3 — 1.3. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 2.6 : 1.4
Home / away form · points: 2.6 : 0.6
Estimated scoring potential: 3 : 1.3
Average goal difference: 2 : 0
Head to head · points: 2 : 0.5
Factors against
There are not enough completed matches in the database yet.
Prediction
Prediction: Corners — Bayern München — Union Berlin
Bayern Munich’s home matches show a consistent trend towards a high total number of corners: the hosts average 10 corners, allow opponents 3,4, and the average total is 13,4; the 8,5 line was exceeded in 5 out of 5 matches. In Union Berlin’s away matches, the team average 3,8 corners and allow 8,6, with the total exceeding 8,5 in 4 out of 5 cases. The statistical prediction is over 8,5 corners, with a model rating of 5/5; the calculated probability is not provided in the data.
90%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
10.8
Team 7.4
Opponent 3.4
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
13.4
Team 10
Opponent 3.4
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.2
Team 4.4
Opponent 6.8
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
12.4
Team 3.8
Opponent 8.6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Bayern München — Union Berlin
In Bayern Munich’s home matches, the statistics show a high volume of shots on target: the team average 8,2, while opponents average 3,8, giving a total average of 12,0; the 7,5 line was exceeded in five out of five matches. In Union Berlin’s away matches, the averages are 2,8 shots on target for the team and 7,0 for opponents, with a total average of 9,8, and the line was passed in four out of five cases. The model has selected over 7,5, with a rating of 5/5; the calculated probability is not provided in the JSON, with the prediction supported most strongly by Bayern Munich’s home sample and Union Berlin’s overall form.
80%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9.8
Team 7.2
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
12
Team 8.2
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
12.6
Team 7.2
Opponent 5.4
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.8
Team 2.8
Opponent 7
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Bayern München — Union Berlin
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
2.6
Team 0.8
Opponent 1.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.5
Team 1.5
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 4 matches
Average per match
4.2
Team 2.2
Opponent 2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.8
Team 1.6
Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
Advertisement
Bookmaker / Google Ads promo banner · 728×90
Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Bayern München — Union Berlin
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Bayern München · 0%
Draw · 0%
Union Berlin · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 100%
Match information
Match information: Bayern München — Union Berlin
Kick-off18 September 2026, 21:30
CompetitionBundesliga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 4
VenueAllianz Arena
CityMunich
RefereeBenjamin Brand
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Bayern München — Union Berlin
01 What time does Bayern München vs Union Berlin kick off?
Bayern München vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off 18 September 2026, 21:30.
02 Where is Bayern München vs Union Berlin being played?
The match is played at Allianz Arena (Munich).
03 Who is the referee for Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
The referee for Bayern München vs Union Berlin is Benjamin Brand.
04 What are the over/under odds for Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
For Bayern München vs Union Berlin, bookmakers offer 1.33 on over 3.5 goals and 3.19 on under 3.5 goals.
05 What are the match winner odds for Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
Bookmaker odds for Bayern München vs Union Berlin: Bayern München — 1.06, Draw — 17.58, Union Berlin — 29.29.
06 What is the recent form of Bayern München and Union Berlin?
Bayern München: 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 13–3. Union Berlin: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 11–11.
07 How many times have Bayern München and Union Berlin played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
Comments
Comments on Bayern München — Union Berlin
Sign in to leave a comment.
Sign in
No comments yet — be the first.