Championship
2026/27 · Regular Season - 8
Match analysis preview
On 19 September 2026, Birmingham will face Middlesbrough at St. Andrew's Stadium in the 8th round of the Championship. In their last five matches, Birmingham have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, while Middlesbrough have won three and drawn two.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
|
8 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| 3 |
|
8 | 16 | 12 | 15 |
Squad news
Preliminary squads: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
Squads may change before kickoff.
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
D. Gray
Injury
⚽1
0
0
M. Bird
Inactive
⚽0
0
0
M. Leonard
Achilles Tendon Injury
S. Wright
Off the roster
⚽0
0
0
T. Gardner-Hickman
Injury
A. Jones
Inactive
⚽1
1
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Birmingham’s home form over their last five matches has been solid: they are unbeaten, with two wins and three draws. At home, Birmingham have scored 9 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1,8 and 1,4 goals per match respectively; their unbeaten run covers all five games, and they have scored in each of them.
The team’s overall form over the last five matches also includes two wins, two draws and one defeat. Birmingham have scored 8 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1,6 goals scored and 1,4 conceded per game.
2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Birmingham’s home form over their last five matches has been solid: they are unbeaten, with two wins and three draws. At home, Birmingham have scored 9 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1,8 and 1,4 goals per match respectively; their unbeaten run covers all five games, and they have scored in each of them.
The team’s overall form over the last five matches also includes two wins, two draws and one defeat. Birmingham have scored 8 goals and conceded 7, averaging 1,6 goals scored and 1,4 conceded per game.
3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Middlesbrough have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. The visitors scored four goals and conceded six in those games, averaging 0,8 and 1,2 goals per match respectively; however, they are unbeaten in their last two away fixtures. Their overall form in the last five Championship matches looks more convincing: three wins and two draws without a defeat, with 11 goals scored and seven conceded, averaging 2,2 and 1,4 goals per game. Middlesbrough have scored in each of those five matches and go into this game on a five-match unbeaten run.
1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Middlesbrough have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. The visitors scored four goals and conceded six in those games, averaging 0,8 and 1,2 goals per match respectively; however, they are unbeaten in their last two away fixtures. Their overall form in the last five Championship matches looks more convincing: three wins and two draws without a defeat, with 11 goals scored and seven conceded, averaging 2,2 and 1,4 goals per game. Middlesbrough have scored in each of those five matches and go into this game on a five-match unbeaten run.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Birmingham and Middlesbrough
Birmingham have lost both of their last two meetings with Middlesbrough: 1:3 at home and 1:2 away. Birmingham scored two goals and conceded five across those matches, with both games ending in Middlesbrough wins.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02.03.2026 |
|
|
1:3 |
| 08.11.2025 |
|
|
2:1 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02.03.2026 |
|
|
1:3 |
Match timeline
Match events: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
Luis Vasquez
Foul
0 - 1
Max Arfsten
Assist: Amario Cozier-Duberry
1 - 1
Liam Millar
Assist: Jhon Elmer Solís Romero
2 - 1
Riley McGree
Own goal
Tommy Conway
Replaced: Myles Peart-Harris
Sebastian Berhalter
Replaced: Riley McGree
Marvin Ducksch
Replaced: Luis Vasquez
Jeremy Sarmiento
Replaced: Amario Cozier-Duberry
Paik Seung-Ho
Replaced: Jay Stansfield
Neto Borges
Replaced: Max Arfsten
Kyle Joseph
Replaced: Ashley Phillips
2 - 2
A.Malanda
Phil Neumann
Dissent
Patrick Roberts
Replaced: Carlos Vicente
Birmingham
Metric
Middlesbrough
2
Goals
2
15
Shots
15
5
Shots on target
4
6
Shots off target
6
4
Blocked shots
5
7
Shots inside the box
13
8
Shots outside the box
2
5
Corners
3
11
Fouls
11
1
Offsides
57 %
Ball possession, %
43 %
3
Goalkeeper saves
4
365
Total passes
401
27
Accurate passes
32
2
Yellow cards
Red cards
Goals
1
15
Shots
15
5
Shots on target
4
6
Shots off target
6
4
Blocked shots
5
7
Shots inside the box
13
8
Shots outside the box
2
5
Corners
3
11
Fouls
11
1
Offsides
57 %
Ball possession, %
43 %
3
Goalkeeper saves
4
365
Total passes
401
27
Accurate passes
32
2
Yellow cards
Red cards
2
Goals
1
Shots
Shots on target
Shots off target
Blocked shots
Shots inside the box
Shots outside the box
Corners
Fouls
Offsides
Goalkeeper saves
Total passes
Accurate passes
Yellow cards
Red cards
Player statistics
Player ratings: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
17
L. Millar
M · 90 min · goals: 1
7.8
14
J. Solis
M · 90 min · assists: 1
7.5
33
M. Ducksch
F · 19 min
6.7
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D · 90 min
6.6
20
A. Cochrane
D · 90 min
6.5
7
Carlos Vicente
M · 89 min
6.5
1
J. Beadle
G · 90 min
6.4
4
C. Klarer
D · 90 min
6.2
28
J. Stansfield
M · 83 min
6.1
32
L. Vázquez
F · 71 min
6.1
24
T. Iwata
M · 90 min
6.0
8
Paik Seung-Ho
M · 7 min
6.0
5
P. Neumann
D · 90 min
5.8
16
P. Roberts
M · 1 min
0.0
21
R. Allsop
G · 0 min
0.0
3
L. Buchanan
D · 0 min
0.0
23
D. Fry
D · 0 min
0.0
2
E. Laird
D · 0 min
0.0
25
K. Lund
D · 0 min
0.0
40
M. Mazwi
M · 0 min
0.0
17
M. Arfsten
M · 86 min · goals: 1
7.8
11
A. Cozier-Duberry
M · 74 min · assists: 1
7.5
29
A. Malanda
D · 90 min · goals: 1
6.9
4
A. Phillips
D · 86 min
6.8
16
J. Sarmiento
F · 16 min
6.7
14
M. Peart-Harris
M · 63 min
6.7
9
T. Conway
F · 27 min
6.6
22
K. Joseph
F · 4 min
6.6
1
R. Vítek
G · 90 min
6.5
10
A. Morris
M · 90 min
6.5
12
L. Ayling
D · 90 min
6.4
2
C. Brittain
M · 90 min
6.3
7
W. Lankshear
F · 90 min
6.3
30
Neto Borges
D · 4 min
6.2
6
S. Berhalter
M · 27 min
6.1
8
R. McGree
M · 63 min
5.7
31
S. Brynn
G · 0 min
0.0
3
S. Byram
D · 0 min
0.0
21
R. Pukštas
M · 0 min
0.0
13
D. Strelec
F · 0 min
0.0
Prediction
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Birmingham — Middlesbrough
2:2
Draw (X)
Estimated goals: 1.5 — 1.45. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
27.7%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Estimated scoring potential: 1.5 : 1.45
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 1.6 : 2.2
Home / away form · points: 1.8 : 0.8
Average goal difference: 0.2 : 0.8
Head to head · points: 0 : 3
Prediction
Prediction: Corners — Birmingham — Middlesbrough
In Birmingham’s five home matches, the hosts average 5,4 corners and allow their opponents 4,0, for a total average of 9,4; the 8,5 line was surpassed in three of the five games. In Middlesbrough’s five away matches, the team averages 4,4 corners and allows 6,2, with the total reaching 10,6; over 8,5 corners also landed in three of the five games. The model rated the over 8,5 corners prediction at 4\/5, but the calculated probability is not provided in the data, so this remains a statistical trend rather than a guarantee of the outcome.
65%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
11.2
Team 5.6
Opponent 5.6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 5.4
Opponent 4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.4
Team 5.6
Opponent 5.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.6
Team 4.4
Opponent 6.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Birmingham — Middlesbrough
Birmingham’s home-match statistics point to a high total for shots on target: the hosts average 4,4 accurate shots and allow their opponents the same number, while the 7,5 line was surpassed in all five games. In Middlesbrough’s five away matches, the team averaged 2,8 shots on target and their opponents 4,4, giving a total of 7,2, while the line was cleared in three of the five games; the line was also surpassed in all five of Birmingham’s overall-form matches and in both of the two head-to-head meetings. The model selected over 7,5 with a rating of 5\/5 and no calculated probability; the prediction is supported most strongly by Birmingham’s overall form, their home matches and the head-to-head record.
69%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 5
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.8
Team 4.4
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 5.4
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.2
Team 2.8
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
4.6
Team 2.4
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 2
Opponent 1.4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.6
Team 1.4
Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.2
Team 1.8
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Birmingham · 0%
Draw · 0%
Middlesbrough · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
Kick-off19 September 2026, 17:00
CompetitionChampionship
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 8
VenueSt. Andrew's Stadium
CityBirmingham
RefereeDavid Webb
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Birmingham — Middlesbrough
01 What time does Birmingham vs Middlesbrough kick off?
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off 19 September 2026, 17:00.
02 Where is Birmingham vs Middlesbrough being played?
The match is played at St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham).
03 Who is the referee for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
The referee for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough is David Webb.
04 What are the over/under odds for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
For Birmingham vs Middlesbrough, bookmakers offer 1.67 on over 2.5 goals and 2.24 on under 2.5 goals.
05 What are the match winner odds for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
Bookmaker odds for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough: Birmingham — 2.94, Draw — 3.56, Middlesbrough — 2.33.
06 What is the recent form of Birmingham and Middlesbrough?
Birmingham: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 8–7. Middlesbrough: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 11–7.
07 How many times have Birmingham and Middlesbrough played each other?
Our database has 2 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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