England
League Cup
2026 · Round of 16
England
League Cup
2026 · Round of 16
The prediction has not been calculated yet.
It will appear closer to kick-off if the model has enough up-to-date data.
xG
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: expected goals (xG)
Bournemouth
1.68
Projected xG
Aston Villa
1.47
Probabilities from xG
- Bournemouth win42.5%
- Draw23.6%
- Aston Villa win33.9%
- Over 2.5 goals60.8%
- Both teams to score62.6%
Most likely scores
- Bournemouth 1:1 Aston Villa10.6%
- Bournemouth 2:1 Aston Villa8.9%
- Bournemouth 1:2 Aston Villa7.8%
xG form
| Matches | xG for | xG against | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth, all matches | 4 | 1.48 | 1.33 |
| Bournemouth at home | 4 | 2.06 | 1.18 |
| Aston Villa, all matches | 4 | 1.58 | 1.36 |
| Aston Villa away | 4 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
Projected xG averages each side's attack with the opponent's defence, using the actual xG from both teams' recent matches, overall and home or away. The probabilities come from a Poisson model of goals: an estimate, not a guarantee.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Bournemouth — Aston Villa
0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Bournemouth and Aston Villa
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07.02.2026 |
|
|
1:1 |
| 09.11.2025 |
|
|
4:0 |
| 10.05.2025 |
|
|
0:1 |
| 26.10.2024 |
|
|
1:1 |
| 21.04.2024 |
|
|
3:1 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07.02.2026 |
|
|
1:1 |
| 10.05.2025 |
|
|
0:1 |
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Bournemouth — Aston Villa
The model did not produce a betting pick. The teams’ pre-match statistics are available below.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
8.8
Team 4.2
Opponent 4.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 5.8
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.2
Team 3.6
Opponent 4.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 3.2
Opponent 6.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Shots on target: Bournemouth — Aston Villa
The model did not produce a betting pick. The teams’ pre-match statistics are available below.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 5.2
Opponent 4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 4.8
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 4.2
Opponent 5.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 4.2
Opponent 5.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Bournemouth — Aston Villa
The model did not produce a betting pick. The teams’ pre-match statistics are available below.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
4.4
Team 2.8
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.4
Team 2.6
Opponent 1.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.4
Team 2
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.6
Opponent 1.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Per-match average · last 5 games
Team statistical profile: Bournemouth — Aston Villa
Expected goals (xG)
Shots
Shots on target
Corners
Ball possession, %
Pass accuracy, %
Goalkeeper saves
Fouls
Yellow cards
Offsides
Expected goals (xG)
Shots
Shots on target
Corners
Ball possession, %
Pass accuracy, %
Goalkeeper saves
Fouls
Yellow cards
Offsides
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Team Form: How to Evaluate Recent Matches · Head-to-Head (H2H): Does It Work in Predictions? · Player Injuries, Suspensions and Line-ups: Their Effect on Predictions · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Bournemouth — Aston Villa
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin · Value Bet: What It Is and How to Find One
Odds have not been loaded for this match yet.
Voting will appear when current odds are available.
Match information
Match information: Bournemouth — Aston Villa
Kick-off28 October 2026, 21:45
CompetitionLeague Cup
Season2026
Round / stageRound of 16
VenueVitality Stadium
CityBournemouth
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
AI
Pre-match analysis
An automatically prepared description based on stored facts and statistics will appear here.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Bournemouth — Aston Villa
01 What time does Bournemouth vs Aston Villa kick off?
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa (League Cup) kicks off 28 October 2026, 21:45.
02 Where is Bournemouth vs Aston Villa being played?
The match is played at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth).
03 What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Aston Villa?
Bournemouth: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 6–8. Aston Villa: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 7–7.
04 How many times have Bournemouth and Aston Villa played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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