Premier League
2026/27 · Regular Season - 5
Match analysis preview
On 19 September 2026, Brighton and Arsenal will meet at the American Express Stadium in the 5th round of the Premier League. Brighton have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches, while Arsenal have won all five of their most recent games, conceding one goal.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
|
5 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 |
|
5 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
Squad news
Preliminary squads: Brighton — Arsenal
Squads may change before kickoff.
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Brighton — Arsenal
E. Ferguson
Ankle Injury
F. Azeez
Abdominal strain
J. Hinshelwood
Injury
⚽2
0
0
K. Mitoma
Hamstring Injury
M. Wieffer
Knee Injury
⚽0
0
0
S. Tzimas
Knee Injury
Y. Minteh
Injury
Z. Yohanna
Lacking Match Fitness
⚽0
0
0
B. White
Groin Injury
⚽0
0
0
C. Mosquera
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
W. Saliba
Back Injury
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Brighton — Arsenal
2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
At home, Brighton have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 4 — an average of 2.2 and 0.8 goals per game respectively. The team are unbeaten in their last three home matches: after 4:0 and 3:0 wins over Aston Villa and Wolves, respectively, they drew 1:1 with Leeds; Brighton kept a clean sheet in three matches in this sample.
Their overall form is less consistent: Brighton have won twice, drawn once and lost twice in their last five matches, with a 13:8 goal difference. The team have scored in four of those five games and go into this match unbeaten in their last two — a 5:0 win over Coventry and a 1:1 draw with Leeds.
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
At home, Brighton have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 4 — an average of 2.2 and 0.8 goals per game respectively. The team are unbeaten in their last three home matches: after 4:0 and 3:0 wins over Aston Villa and Wolves, respectively, they drew 1:1 with Leeds; Brighton kept a clean sheet in three matches in this sample.
Their overall form is less consistent: Brighton have won twice, drawn once and lost twice in their last five matches, with a 13:8 goal difference. The team have scored in four of those five games and go into this match unbeaten in their last two — a 5:0 win over Coventry and a 1:1 draw with Leeds.
5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Arsenal have recorded four wins and one defeat, with a 7:3 goal record. The team have won four such matches in a row, including games against Sunderland 2:0 and Aston Villa 1:0, while their only defeat in the sample came against Manchester City 1:2; the visitors scored in each of the five matches. Arsenal’s overall form is even more convincing: five wins in their last five matches, with 10 goals scored and 2 conceded, averaging 2 goals per game while conceding 0.4.
4 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Arsenal have recorded four wins and one defeat, with a 7:3 goal record. The team have won four such matches in a row, including games against Sunderland 2:0 and Aston Villa 1:0, while their only defeat in the sample came against Manchester City 1:2; the visitors scored in each of the five matches. Arsenal’s overall form is even more convincing: five wins in their last five matches, with 10 goals scored and 2 conceded, averaging 2 goals per game while conceding 0.4.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Brighton and Arsenal
Brighton have not won any of their last five head-to-head meetings, drawing twice and losing three times to Arsenal, scoring 3 goals and conceding 8. Arsenal are unbeaten in these matches, and the two most recent meetings ended in wins for the London side — 1:0 and 2:1.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04.03.2026 |
|
|
0:1 |
| 27.12.2025 |
|
|
2:1 |
| 04.01.2025 |
|
|
1:1 |
| 31.08.2024 |
|
|
1:1 |
| 06.04.2024 |
|
|
0:3 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04.03.2026 |
|
|
0:1 |
| 04.01.2025 |
|
|
1:1 |
| 06.04.2024 |
|
|
0:3 |
Match timeline
Match events: Brighton — Arsenal
1 - 0
Pascal Groß
Assist: Charalampos Kostoulas
Charalampos Kostoulas
Time Wasting
2 - 0
Charalampos Kostoulas
Assist: Diego Gomez
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Foul
3 - 0
Chema Andrés
Assist: Pascal Groß
Martín Zubimendi
Replaced: Jurriën Timber
Mikel Merino
Replaced: Bruno Guimarães
Pascal Struijk
Viktor Gyökeres
Replaced: Martin Odegaard
Eberechi Eze
Replaced: Christos Tzolis
Costinha
Replaced: Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Georginio Rutter
Replaced: Charalampos Kostoulas
Max Dowman
Replaced: Bukayo Saka
Malick Yalcouyé
Replaced: Chema Andrés
Matt O'Riley
Replaced: Diego Gomez
Michael Svoboda
Replaced: Pascal Struijk
Maxim De Cuyper
Not Retreating
Declan Rice
Argument
Brighton
Metric
Arsenal
3
Goals
17
Shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
9
Shots off target
4
3
Blocked shots
5
9
Shots inside the box
1
8
Shots outside the box
1
5
Corners
6
13
Fouls
1
Offsides
2
40 %
Ball possession, %
60 %
2
Goalkeeper saves
2
34
Total passes
502
258
Accurate passes
425
4
Yellow cards
1
Red cards
2
Goals
17
Shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
9
Shots off target
4
3
Blocked shots
5
9
Shots inside the box
1
8
Shots outside the box
1
5
Corners
6
13
Fouls
1
Offsides
2
40 %
Ball possession, %
60 %
2
Goalkeeper saves
2
34
Total passes
502
258
Accurate passes
425
4
Yellow cards
1
Red cards
1
Goals
Shots
Shots on target
Shots off target
Blocked shots
Shots inside the box
Shots outside the box
Corners
Fouls
Offsides
Goalkeeper saves
Total passes
Accurate passes
Yellow cards
Red cards
Player statistics
Player ratings: Brighton — Arsenal
13
P. Groß
M · 90 min · goals: 1 · assists: 1
9.0
19
C. Kostoulas
F · 76 min · goals: 1 · assists: 1
8.2
14
José María Andrés Baixauli
M · 85 min · goals: 1
8.2
20
Costinha
D · 14 min
7.4
24
F. Kadıoğlu
D · 76 min
7.3
44
L. Vušković
D · 90 min
7.2
4
P. Struijk
D · 86 min
7.1
21
O. Boscagli
D · 90 min
7.1
25
D. Gómez
M · 86 min · assists: 1
7.0
35
M. Yalcouyé
M · 5 min
6.9
30
M. Svoboda
D · 4 min
6.9
26
Y. Ayari
M · 90 min
6.7
1
B. Verbruggen
G · 90 min
6.7
10
G. Rutter
F · 14 min
6.6
29
M. De Cuyper
M · 90 min
6.4
33
M. O'Riley
M · 4 min
6.4
12
P. David
F · 0 min
0.0
15
I. Osman
F · 0 min
0.0
3
J. Hadjam
D · 0 min
0.0
23
J. Steele
G · 0 min
0.0
12
J. Timber
D · 60 min
6.7
14
V. Gyökeres
F · 17 min
6.6
41
D. Rice
M · 90 min
6.5
15
E. Konsa
D · 90 min
6.4
29
K. Havertz
F · 90 min
6.3
7
B. Saka
M · 81 min
6.3
8
M. Ødegaard
M · 73 min
6.2
17
C. Tzolis
M · 73 min
6.2
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D · 90 min
6.1
33
R. Calafiori
D · 90 min
6.0
39
Bruno Guimarães
M · 60 min
5.9
36
Martín Zubimendi
M · 30 min
5.9
10
E. Eze
M · 17 min
5.8
56
M. Dowman
M · 9 min
5.8
23
Mikel Merino
M · 30 min
5.7
1
David Raya
G · 90 min
5.5
20
N. Madueke
F · 0 min
0.0
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
D · 0 min
0.0
5
P. Hincapié
D · 0 min
0.0
13
Kepa
G · 0 min
0.0
Prediction
Brighton vs Arsenal prediction
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Brighton — Arsenal
1:1
Draw (X)
Estimated goals: 1.45 — 1.45. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
27.7%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Estimated scoring potential: 1.45 : 1.45
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 1.4 : 3
Home / away form · points: 2 : 2.4
Average goal difference: 1 : 1.6
Head to head · points: 0.4 : 2.2
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Brighton — Arsenal
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 4.4
Opponent 4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 5
Opponent 3.4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.4
Team 4.6
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.8
Team 3.6
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Brighton — Arsenal
In Brighton’s home matches, the team average 5.6 shots on target and their opponents 2.6, with the overall total standing at 8.2; the 7.5 line was exceeded in three of the five meetings, while in the hosts’ overall form it was exceeded in four of five, with an average total of 9.2. In Arsenal’s away matches, the averages are 4.2 shots on target for the team and 2.8 for their opponents, with an overall total of 7.0, and the line was cleared in three of five cases; there is no consistent high- or low-total trend in Brighton’s home matches or Arsenal’s away matches. The model selected Over 7.5 with a rating of 5/5; the calculated probability is not specified. The strongest support comes from Brighton’s overall form, which produced a 4 out of 5 result, while both teams’ home and away samples confirmed the prediction in 3 out of 5 matches.
66%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
10
Team 5.2
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.2
Team 5.6
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.2
Team 5.8
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
7
Team 4.2
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Yellow cards — Brighton — Arsenal
In Brighton’s sample of five home matches, the team average 1.4 yellow cards and their opponents 2.0, with the overall total standing at 3.4; the 3.5 line was exceeded in two of the five matches, while in the hosts’ overall form it was exceeded in three of the four available games, with an average total of 4.0. In Arsenal’s away matches, the averages are 2.0 cards for the team and 2.8 for their opponents, with an overall total of 4.8, and the line was cleared in four of five cases; there is no consistent high- or low-total trend in Brighton’s home matches. The model selected Over 3.5 with a rating of 4/5; the calculated probability is not specified. The prediction is supported most strongly by Arsenal’s away sample and the head-to-head meetings, in which the line was cleared in four of five matches.
59%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
4
Team 2
Opponent 2
Above the line in 3 of 4 matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.4
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.2
Team 1.4
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.8
Team 2
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Brighton — Arsenal
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Brighton · 0%
Draw · 0%
Arsenal · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Brighton — Arsenal
Kick-off19 September 2026, 17:00
CompetitionPremier League
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 5
VenueAmerican Express Stadium
CityFalmer
RefereeDarren England
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Brighton — Arsenal
01 What time does Brighton vs Arsenal kick off?
Brighton vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off 19 September 2026, 17:00.
02 Where is Brighton vs Arsenal being played?
The match is played at American Express Stadium (Falmer).
03 Who is the referee for Brighton vs Arsenal?
The referee for Brighton vs Arsenal is Darren England.
04 What are the over/under odds for Brighton vs Arsenal?
For Brighton vs Arsenal, bookmakers offer 1.79 on over 2.5 goals and 2.09 on under 2.5 goals.
05 What are the match winner odds for Brighton vs Arsenal?
Bookmaker odds for Brighton vs Arsenal: Brighton — 4.74, Draw — 4.00, Arsenal — 1.74.
06 What is the recent form of Brighton and Arsenal?
Brighton: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 13–8. Arsenal: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 10–2.
07 How many times have Brighton and Arsenal played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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