Championship
2026/27 · Regular Season - 8
Match analysis preview
On 18 September 2026, Ashton Gate Stadium will host a Championship match between Bristol City and Watford as part of the 8th round. In their last five matches, Bristol City have recorded two wins and three defeats, while Watford have won once, drawn once and lost three times.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
|
8 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 19 |
|
8 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Bristol City — Watford
B. De Keersmaecker
Shoulder Injury
L. McNally
Knee Injury
R. Dickie
Injury
⚽1
1
0
E. Bove
Knee Injury
⚽0
1
0
J. Ngakia
Thigh Injury
J. Zemura
Inactive
⚽0
1
0
K. Baah
Knock
M. Bola
Hamstring Injury
⚽0
0
0
T. Akomeah
Lacking Match Fitness
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Bristol City — Watford
3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
At home, Bristol City have recorded two wins and three defeats in their last five matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals. The team averaged 1,2 goals scored and 1,6 conceded per game; their most recent home match ended in a 0:1 defeat by Lincoln.
In overall form, Bristol City also have two wins and three defeats in their last five Championship matches, with a goals-for and goals-against record of 8:8. The team scored in four of those five matches, with the run including back-to-back wins over Burnley and Preston, followed by defeats against Southampton and Lincoln.
2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
At home, Bristol City have recorded two wins and three defeats in their last five matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8 goals. The team averaged 1,2 goals scored and 1,6 conceded per game; their most recent home match ended in a 0:1 defeat by Lincoln.
In overall form, Bristol City also have two wins and three defeats in their last five Championship matches, with a goals-for and goals-against record of 8:8. The team scored in four of those five matches, with the run including back-to-back wins over Burnley and Preston, followed by defeats against Southampton and Lincoln.
1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Watford have not won any of their last five away Championship matches, drawing once and suffering four defeats. The visitors scored two goals and conceded 12, averaging 0,4 and 2,4 goals per game respectively; Watford failed to score in three of those five matches. Their most recent away game against West Brom ended in a 0:1 defeat, so the team head into their next away fixture on the back of a setback. In overall form across their last five matches, Watford have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring four and conceding seven goals — an average of 0,8 and 1,4 goals per match.
0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
Watford have not won any of their last five away Championship matches, drawing once and suffering four defeats. The visitors scored two goals and conceded 12, averaging 0,4 and 2,4 goals per game respectively; Watford failed to score in three of those five matches. Their most recent away game against West Brom ended in a 0:1 defeat, so the team head into their next away fixture on the back of a setback. In overall form across their last five matches, Watford have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring four and conceding seven goals — an average of 0,8 and 1,4 goals per match.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Bristol City and Watford
Bristol City have not beaten Watford in their last two meetings: the teams drew 1:1 before Watford won 2:1. Thus, in the two-match sample, Watford have one win and one draw, while Bristol City have scored two goals and conceded three.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.02.2026 |
|
|
1:2 |
| 07.11.2025 |
|
|
1:1 |
| 05.04.2025 |
|
|
2:1 |
| 26.11.2024 |
|
|
1:0 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.02.2026 |
|
|
1:2 |
| 05.04.2025 |
|
|
2:1 |
Match timeline
Match events: Bristol City — Watford
Mamadou Doumbia
Foul
Amin Nabizada
Foul
1 - 0
Dominic Ballard
Assist: Rio Cardines
Branimir Mlacic
Argument
Jason Knight
Argument
Joe Williams
Argument
Edo Kayembe
Argument
Albert Eames
Replaced: Branimir Mlacic
Othmane Maamma
Replaced: Rocco Vata
Stephy Mavididi
Replaced: Amin Nabizada
lorent tolaj
Replaced: Dominic Ballard
Jed Wallace
Replaced: Yu Hirakawa
Myron Boadu
Replaced: Mamadou Doumbia
Cameron Pring
Replaced: Sam Greenwood
Matthew Pollock
Foul
Lisav Naif Eissat
Replaced: N.Eile
Gibson Osahumen Yah
Replaced: Adam Randell
Bristol City
Metric
Watford
1
Goals
17
Shots
1
7
Shots on target
2
5
Shots off target
3
5
Blocked shots
5
12
Shots inside the box
3
5
Shots outside the box
7
2
Corners
5
11
Fouls
15
3
Offsides
36 %
Ball possession, %
64 %
2
Goalkeeper saves
6
27
Total passes
491
208
Accurate passes
418
2
Yellow cards
5
Red cards
1
Goals
17
Shots
1
7
Shots on target
2
5
Shots off target
3
5
Blocked shots
5
12
Shots inside the box
3
5
Shots outside the box
7
2
Corners
5
11
Fouls
15
3
Offsides
36 %
Ball possession, %
64 %
2
Goalkeeper saves
6
27
Total passes
491
208
Accurate passes
418
2
Yellow cards
5
Red cards
Goals
Shots
Shots on target
Shots off target
Blocked shots
Shots inside the box
Shots outside the box
Corners
Fouls
Offsides
Goalkeeper saves
Total passes
Accurate passes
Yellow cards
Red cards
Player statistics
Player ratings: Bristol City — Watford
23
D. Ballard
F · 63 min · goals: 1
8.2
21
Rio Cardines
D · 90 min · assists: 1
7.8
38
N. Eile
D · 88 min
7.1
19
G. Tanner
D · 90 min
7.0
9
L. Tolaj
F · 27 min
6.9
1
S. Tickle
G · 90 min
6.8
4
A. Randell
M · 88 min
6.8
17
J. Wallace
M · 27 min
6.8
27
G. Yah
M · 2 min
6.7
5
R. Atkinson
D · 90 min
6.6
20
S. Greenwood
M · 70 min
6.6
2
L. Eissat
D · 2 min
6.5
8
J. Williams
M · 90 min
6.4
7
Y. Hirakawa
M · 63 min
6.4
12
J. Knight
M · 90 min
6.4
3
C. Pring
D · 20 min
6.2
45
E. Adebayo
F · 0 min
0.0
40
B. Collins
G · 0 min
0.0
14
T. Horvat
M · 0 min
0.0
10
S. Twine
M · 0 min
0.0
1
F. Ravaglia
G · 90 min
7.8
45
S. Mavididi
F · 28 min
6.8
5
H. Kyprianou
M · 90 min
6.7
56
Albert Eames
D · 28 min
6.6
17
Iker Bravo
M · 90 min
6.5
39
E. Kayembe
M · 90 min
6.5
7
O. Maamma
F · 28 min
6.4
6
M. Pollock
D · 90 min
6.4
29
Branimir Mlačić
D · 62 min
6.4
4
K. Keben
D · 90 min
6.3
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
F · 90 min
6.2
11
R. Vata
M · 62 min
6.2
20
M. Doumbia
F · 70 min
6.1
10
M. Boadu
F · 20 min
6.1
21
Amin Nabizada
M · 62 min
5.8
24
S. Walker
G · 0 min
0.0
19
N. Chikovani
F · 0 min
0.0
53
James Andrew Clarridge
D · 0 min
0.0
26
D. Bachmann
G · 0 min
0.0
43
J. Grieves
F · 0 min
0.0
Prediction
Bristol City vs Watford prediction
The stored prediction points to a Bristol City win: the hosts' overall form is rated higher — 1,8 compared with Watford's 0,8, while the home figures stand at 1,2 versus 0,2. Bristol City have scored in four of their last five matches, while Watford have conceded an average of 2,4 goals in their five away games; the expected goals output is also higher for the hosts — 1,65 compared with 1,10. A scenario in which Bristol City have the edge and win 2:1 is considered likely, but the statistics do not guarantee this outcome.
Bristol City — Watford
2:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 1.65 — 1.1. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 1.8 : 0.8
Home / away form · points: 1.2 : 0.2
Estimated scoring potential: 1.65 : 1.1
Average goal difference: 0 : -0.6
Factors against
Head to head · points: 0.5 : 2
Prediction
Prediction: Corners — Bristol City — Watford
In Bristol City's five-match home sample, the hosts average 5,2 corners and allow opponents 9,0, giving an overall total of 14,2; the 8,5 line was exceeded in all five matches. Across Watford's five away matches, the team average 3,2 corners and allow opponents 6,0, with an average overall total of 9,2; the 8,5 mark was exceeded in three of the five matches. The statistical prediction is over 8,5 corners, with the model rating it 4/5; the calculated probability is not provided in the data, so this assessment does not guarantee that the line will be beaten.
60%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
11.4
Team 6.2
Opponent 5.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
14.2
Team 5.2
Opponent 9
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
10
Team 3.4
Opponent 6.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 3.2
Opponent 6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Bristol City — Watford
In Bristol City's five home matches, the team average 3,6 shots on target and allow opponents the same number, making the overall figure 7,2; the 7,5 line was exceeded in only one match, with no consistent run of high totals. In Watford's five away matches, the averages are 3,4 shots on target for the team and 5,8 for their opponents, with an overall total of 9,2, and the line was beaten in four cases; the model selected over 7,5 with a rating of 3/5. The calculated probability is not provided; the prediction is supported most strongly by Watford's away matches — 4 out of 5 — and the head-to-head meetings — 2 out of 2.
50%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
7.8
Team 4.8
Opponent 3
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.2
Team 3.6
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 3.4
Opponent 5
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 3.4
Opponent 5.8
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Yellow cards — Bristol City — Watford
In Bristol City's five home matches, the hosts average 1,6 yellow cards and their opponents 2,4, giving an overall total of 4,0; the 3,5 line was exceeded in three matches, but there is no consistent run of high or low totals. In Watford's five away matches, the averages were 2,4 team cards and 2,4 opponent cards, with an overall total of 4,8, and the line was beaten in three games; the model selected over 3,5 with a rating of 3/5. The calculated probability is not provided, while the strongest support for the prediction comes from Watford's overall form — 4 hits out of 5; Bristol City's home sample and Watford's away sample each produced 3 out of 5.
50%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.4
Opponent 2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
4
Team 1.6
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.4
Team 2.4
Opponent 2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.8
Team 2.4
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Bristol City — Watford
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Bristol City · 0%
Draw · 0%
Watford · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Bristol City — Watford
Kick-off18 September 2026, 22:00
CompetitionChampionship
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 8
VenueAshton Gate Stadium
CityBristol
RefereeOliver Langford
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Bristol City — Watford
01 What time does Bristol City vs Watford kick off?
Bristol City vs Watford (Championship) kicks off 18 September 2026, 22:00.
02 Where is Bristol City vs Watford being played?
The match is played at Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).
03 Who is the referee for Bristol City vs Watford?
The referee for Bristol City vs Watford is Oliver Langford.
04 What are the over/under odds for Bristol City vs Watford?
For Bristol City vs Watford, bookmakers offer 1.85 on over 2.5 goals and 2.00 on under 2.5 goals.
05 What are the match winner odds for Bristol City vs Watford?
Bookmaker odds for Bristol City vs Watford: Bristol City — 1.86, Draw — 3.69, Watford — 4.09.
06 What is the recent form of Bristol City and Watford?
Bristol City: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 8–8. Watford: 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 4–7.
07 How many times have Bristol City and Watford played each other?
Our database has 4 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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