Primeira Liga
2026/27 · Regular Season - 7
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Estoril will face Casa Pia at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in the 7th round of the Primeira Liga. In their five most recent matches, Estoril have drawn once and suffered four defeats, while Casa Pia have also drawn once and lost four times.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 |
|
6 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 18 |
|
6 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Estoril — Casa Pia
0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
Estoril have failed to win any of their five most recent home matches, drawing once and suffering four defeats, scoring two goals and conceding seven — an average of 0.4 and 1.4 goals per game respectively. Their latest home match ended in a goalless draw with Arouca, while in their previous match at home, Estoril lost 0:2 to Rio Ave.
The team's overall form in their five most recent matches also includes one draw and four defeats, but the goal difference is 1:7: Estoril scored in one game and failed to find the net in four. Thus, in the sample provided, the team have gone five matches without a win, with their only clean sheet coming against Arouca.
0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Estoril have failed to win any of their five most recent home matches, drawing once and suffering four defeats, scoring two goals and conceding seven — an average of 0.4 and 1.4 goals per game respectively. Their latest home match ended in a goalless draw with Arouca, while in their previous match at home, Estoril lost 0:2 to Rio Ave.
The team's overall form in their five most recent matches also includes one draw and four defeats, but the goal difference is 1:7: Estoril scored in one game and failed to find the net in four. Thus, in the sample provided, the team have gone five matches without a win, with their only clean sheet coming against Arouca.
0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Casa Pia have won once, drawn twice and suffered two defeats in their five most recent matches. The visitors scored one goal and conceded three, averaging 0.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; in their last three away matches, the team failed to score, recording one draw and two defeats.
Casa Pia's overall form is weaker: they have failed to win any of their five most recent matches, drawing once and losing four times. Over this spell, the visitors scored one goal and conceded 14, while their four-match losing streak in the overall sample was followed by a draw with Vitória SC.
1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Casa Pia have won once, drawn twice and suffered two defeats in their five most recent matches. The visitors scored one goal and conceded three, averaging 0.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; in their last three away matches, the team failed to score, recording one draw and two defeats.
Casa Pia's overall form is weaker: they have failed to win any of their five most recent matches, drawing once and losing four times. Over this spell, the visitors scored one goal and conceded 14, while their four-match losing streak in the overall sample was followed by a draw with Vitória SC.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Estoril and Casa Pia
In the five most recent head-to-head meetings, Estoril have won once, three matches have ended in draws and Casa Pia have won once. The aggregate score in these games is 5:5, with two of the last three meetings ending level, including the two most recent matches, which finished 0:0 and 2:2.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07.03.2026 |
|
|
0:0 |
| 03.10.2025 |
|
|
2:2 |
| 29.04.2025 |
|
|
1:3 |
| 15.12.2024 |
|
|
0:2 |
| 08.04.2024 |
|
|
0:0 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07.03.2026 |
|
|
0:0 |
| 15.12.2024 |
|
|
0:2 |
Prediction
Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction
A closely contested match is the most likely outcome: the teams' overall form is rated equally, while their expected scoring figures are similar — 1.0 goal for Estoril and 0.8 for Casa Pia. The head-to-head record also points to balance, with both teams averaging 1.2 goals. However, their home and away form differs, so the statistical draw prediction does not rule out a slight advantage for either side.
Estoril — Casa Pia
1:1
Draw (X)
Estimated goals: 1 — 0.8. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
25.9%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 0.2 : 0.2
Estimated scoring potential: 1 : 0.8
Head to head · points: 1.2 : 1.2
Factors against
Home / away form · points: 0.4 : 1
Average goal difference: -1.2 : -2.6
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Estoril — Casa Pia
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9
Team 4
Opponent 5
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.2
Team 6.4
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.6
Team 3.8
Opponent 6.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.8
Team 4.2
Opponent 6.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Estoril — Casa Pia
In Estoril's five home matches, the hosts averaged 5.0 shots on target and their opponents 4.4, for a total average of 9.4; the 7.5 line was beaten in 4 of 5 matches. In Estoril's overall form, the average total reached 9.0 shots on target and the line landed in all 5 matches, while in Casa Pia's five away matches, the team averaged 3.2 shots on target and allowed 4.0, producing a total average of 7.2 and 2 line wins out of 5; there is no consistent run in the away sample. The model recommends Over 7.5 with a rating of 4\/5 and a calculated probability of 67,88%; the prediction is supported most strongly by Estoril's overall form and home matches, as well as the head-to-head meetings with 3 line wins out of 5, while Casa Pia's away sample provides a weaker signal.
68%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9
Team 4.4
Opponent 4.6
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 5
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.2
Team 2.4
Opponent 5.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.2
Team 3.2
Opponent 4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Yellow cards — Estoril — Casa Pia
In Estoril's five home matches, the hosts averaged 1.8 yellow cards and their opponents 1.6, for a total average of 3.4; the 3.5 line was beaten in 2 of 5 matches. In Estoril's overall form, the average total reached 3.6 cards and exceeded the line in 3 of 5 matches, while in Casa Pia's five away matches, the averages were 2.2 cards for the team and 1.6 for their opponents, producing a total average of 3.8 and 3 line wins out of 5; there is no consistent run of high or low figures. The model recommends Over 3.5 with a rating of 4\/5 and a calculated probability of 64,66%; the prediction is supported most strongly by the overall form of both teams, Casa Pia's away matches and the head-to-head meetings, where the line also landed in 3 of 5 cases, while Estoril's home sample is less convincing.
65%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.6
Team 2.8
Opponent 0.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.8
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.6
Team 2.2
Opponent 1.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.8
Team 2.2
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Estoril — Casa Pia
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Estoril · 0%
Draw · 0%
Casa Pia · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9.5 · 0%
Under +9.5 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Estoril — Casa Pia
Kick-off20 September 2026, 20:00
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 7
VenueEstádio António Coimbra da Mota
CityCascais
RefereePedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Estoril — Casa Pia
01 What time does Estoril vs Casa Pia kick off?
Estoril vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga) kicks off 20 September 2026, 20:00.
02 Where is Estoril vs Casa Pia being played?
The match is played at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Cascais).
03 Who is the referee for Estoril vs Casa Pia?
The referee for Estoril vs Casa Pia is Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho.
04 Who will win Estoril vs Casa Pia?
According to our statistical model, a draw is the most likely result of Estoril vs Casa Pia, with a probability of 25.9%.
05 What is the prediction for Estoril vs Casa Pia?
The statistical model favours Draw (X), with an estimated probability of 25.9%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Estoril vs Casa Pia?
For Estoril vs Casa Pia, bookmakers offer 1.96 on over 2.5 goals and 1.88 on under 2.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Estoril vs Casa Pia?
Bookmaker odds for Estoril vs Casa Pia: Estoril — 1.79, Draw — 3.73, Casa Pia — 4.41.
08 What is the recent form of Estoril and Casa Pia?
Estoril: 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 1–7. Casa Pia: 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 1–14.
09 How many times have Estoril and Casa Pia played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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