Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Regular Season - 7

FC Porto vs Benfica prediction, 20 September 2026

FC Porto crest

FC Porto

20 September 2026 Corners Over 9.5 · 60%
Benfica crest

Benfica

Match analysis preview

On 20 September 2026, Estádio do Dragão will host a match between FC Porto and Benfica in Matchday 7 of the Primeira Liga. Both teams have won five of their last five matches: FC Porto have scored 13 goals and conceded 1, while Benfica have scored 19 and conceded 2.

Primeira Liga standings
#TeamPScoredConcededPoints
1 FC Porto 6 15 2 18
2 Benfica 6 21 4 16

Pre-match statistics

Form over the last five matches: FC Porto — Benfica

FC Porto

5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches

FC Porto’s home form looks convincing: they have won all five of their last five matches on home soil, scoring 8 goals and conceding 1 — an average of 1,6 and 0,2 per game respectively. FC Porto scored in all of these matches and kept a clean sheet in four; the most recent was a 2:1 win over Moreirense.

Their overall form also remains stable: five wins in their last five Primeira Liga matches, with 13 goals scored and 1 conceded, averaging 2,6 and 0,2 goals per game. The team scored in each of these matches and kept three clean sheets.

Pre-match statistics

FC Porto — all matches

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

FC Porto

Pre-match statistics

FC Porto — at home

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

FC Porto
Benfica

5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches

Benfica have won four of their last five away matches and drawn one, remaining unbeaten. The visitors have scored 19 goals and conceded just three, averaging 3,8 goals scored and 0,6 conceded per game; their last three away matches have ended in clean-sheet wins, including a 4:0 victory over Moreirense. The team’s overall form is also perfect, with five wins in their last five matches, 19 goals scored and two conceded — an average of 3,8 and 0,4 goals respectively. Benfica have scored in each of these matches and head into this game on a five-match winning streak.

Pre-match statistics

Benfica — all matches

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

Benfica

Pre-match statistics

Benfica — away

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

Benfica

Pre-match statistics

Head-to-head: FC Porto and Benfica

In the last five meetings, Porto have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats against Benfica. Porto scored nine goals in these matches and conceded ten. The two most recent encounters ended in draws — 2:2 and 0:0 — while Benfica won the two matches before that by a score of 4:1.

Head-to-head
DateCompetitionOpponentScore
08.03.2026 Primeira Liga Benfica FC Porto 2:2
05.10.2025 Primeira Liga FC Porto Benfica 0:0
06.04.2025 Primeira Liga FC Porto Benfica 1:4
10.11.2024 Primeira Liga Benfica FC Porto 4:1
03.03.2024 Primeira Liga FC Porto Benfica 5:0

Prediction

FC Porto vs Benfica prediction

The statistical prediction points to a 2:1 win for Benfica. The visitors have scored 19 goals and conceded 3 in their last five away matches, while Porto have scored 8 and conceded 1 in their five home games. Benfica also have the higher expected goals output — 2,05 compared with 1,30 — so the visitors could have the edge despite Porto’s strong home results.

Factors supporting this pick
+ Estimated scoring potential: 1.3 : 2.05
+ Average goal difference: 2.2 : 3.4
+ Head to head · points: 1 : 1.6
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 3 : 3
Home / away form · points: 3 : 2.6

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Both teams to score prediction: FC Porto — Benfica

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Prediction

Prediction: Corners — FC Porto — Benfica

In Porto’s home matches, the average figures are 8,2 corners for the team and 4,2 for their opponents, with a total average of 12,4; the 9,5 line was exceeded in four of five matches, including each of their last four home games. In Benfica’s five away matches, the averages are 5,6 corners for the team and 3,0 for their opponents, while the total exceeded 9,5 in three of five games; the statistical prediction for over 9,5 corners received a score of 3 out of 5, with no calculated probability provided.

Corners · Over 9.5 High probability
FC Porto · 10.6 Benfica · 9
60% Estimated probability

Corners Over 9.5 — odds 1.92 (Pinnacle). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 49.5%.

Select a sample to see its matches

FC Porto
Average per match
10.6
Team 7.6 Opponent 3
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches

Pre-match statistics

Corners · FC Porto — all matches

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

FC Porto

Pre-match statistics

Corners · FC Porto — at home

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

FC Porto
Benfica
Average per match
9
Team 7.6 Opponent 1.4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches

Pre-match statistics

Corners · Benfica — all matches

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

Benfica

Pre-match statistics

Corners · Benfica — away

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

Benfica

Pre-match statistics

Shots on target: FC Porto — Benfica

There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.

Select a sample to see its matches

FC Porto
Average per match
8.6
Team 6.6 Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches

Pre-match statistics

Shots on target · FC Porto — all matches

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

FC Porto

Pre-match statistics

Shots on target · FC Porto — at home

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

FC Porto
Benfica
Average per match
8.4
Team 7.2 Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches

Pre-match statistics

Shots on target · Benfica — all matches

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

Benfica

Pre-match statistics

Shots on target · Benfica — away

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

Benfica

Prediction

Prediction: Yellow cards — FC Porto — Benfica

In FC Porto’s home matches with available data, the hosts average 0,75 yellow cards and their opponents 2,5, giving a total average of 3,25; the 3,5 line was surpassed in 2 of 4 such matches, while in their overall form it was surpassed in 1 of 3 games, with no consistent run of high or low totals. In Benfica’s 5 away matches, the averages were 1,8 cards for the team and 2,8 for their opponents, with a total of 4,6, and the line was surpassed in 4 of 5 matches; the model recommends over 3,5 at 3/5, with a calculated probability of 60%, with Benfica’s away matches and the head-to-head meetings providing the strongest support, as the line was surpassed in 5 of 5 cases.

Yellow cards · Over 3.5 High probability
FC Porto · 3 Benfica · 4
60% Estimated probability

Select a sample to see its matches

FC Porto
Average per match
3
Team 1 Opponent 2
Above the line in 1 of 3 matches

Pre-match statistics

Yellow cards · FC Porto — all matches

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

FC Porto

Pre-match statistics

Yellow cards · FC Porto — at home

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

FC Porto
Benfica
Average per match
4
Team 1.4 Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches

Pre-match statistics

Yellow cards · Benfica — all matches

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

Benfica

Pre-match statistics

Yellow cards · Benfica — away

Details for the 5 most recent matches in this sample.

Benfica
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Bookmaker odds

Saved odds: FC Porto — Benfica

Match result (1X2)

Totals

Both teams to score

Corners: total

Shots on target: total

Where users are betting No votes yet
Both teams to score
Yes · 0% No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +9.5 · 0% Under +9.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
FC Porto · 0% Draw · 0% Benfica · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0% Under +2.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9.5 · 0% Under +9.5 · 0%

Match information

Match information: FC Porto — Benfica

Kick-off20 September 2026, 22:30
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 7
VenueEstádio do Dragão
CityPorto
RefereeMiguel Bertolo Nogueira
 Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions: FC Porto — Benfica

01 What time does FC Porto vs Benfica kick off?

FC Porto vs Benfica (Primeira Liga) kicks off 20 September 2026, 22:30.

02 Where is FC Porto vs Benfica being played?

The match is played at Estádio do Dragão (Porto).

03 Who is the referee for FC Porto vs Benfica?

The referee for FC Porto vs Benfica is Miguel Bertolo Nogueira.

04 What are the over/under odds for FC Porto vs Benfica?

For FC Porto vs Benfica, bookmakers offer 1.88 on over 2.5 goals and 1.95 on under 2.5 goals.

05 What are the match winner odds for FC Porto vs Benfica?

Bookmaker odds for FC Porto vs Benfica: FC Porto — 2.63, Draw — 3.44, Benfica — 2.64.

06 What is the recent form of FC Porto and Benfica?

FC Porto: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 13–2. Benfica: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 19–2.

07 How many times have FC Porto and Benfica played each other?

Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.

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