Serie A
2026/27 · Regular Season - 5
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Fiorentina will face Napoli at Stadio Artemio Franchi in the 5th round of the Serie A regular season. In their last five matches, Fiorentina have recorded one win, while Napoli have won three; this statistic reflects the teams' current form but does not determine the outcome of the match.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
|
4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 10 |
|
4 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Fiorentina — Napoli
F. Parisi
Knee Injury
R. Sottil
Back Injury
A. Buongiorno
Knee Injury
A. Meret
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
Alisson Santos
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
F. Anguissa
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
Giovane
Groin Injury
⚽0
0
0
L. Marianucci
Knee Injury
L. Spinazzola
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
S. McTominay
Heart Problems
⚽0
0
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Fiorentina — Napoli
1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Fiorentina's home form over five matches consists of two defeats and three draws: the team have scored 2 goals and conceded 6, averaging 0.4 and 1.2 goals per game respectively. Their most recent home match ended in a 1:2 defeat by Torino, while before that they lost 0:3 to Frosinone, meaning Fiorentina go into their next match at home on a two-game losing streak.
Across their last five matches overall, Fiorentina have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. During this period, the team scored 6 goals and conceded 12, with their only win coming in their most recent game — a 4:2 victory over Venezia; this was preceded by three consecutive defeats.
0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Fiorentina's home form over five matches consists of two defeats and three draws: the team have scored 2 goals and conceded 6, averaging 0.4 and 1.2 goals per game respectively. Their most recent home match ended in a 1:2 defeat by Torino, while before that they lost 0:3 to Frosinone, meaning Fiorentina go into their next match at home on a two-game losing streak.
Across their last five matches overall, Fiorentina have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. During this period, the team scored 6 goals and conceded 12, with their only win coming in their most recent game — a 4:2 victory over Venezia; this was preceded by three consecutive defeats.
3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Napoli have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. The visitors scored eight goals and conceded four, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; after losing to Inter, the team went unbeaten in their next four away matches. In their overall form across their last five matches, Napoli have three wins and two defeats, with no draws, and a goal difference of 7:5. The team scored in four of those five games, and their most recent match ended in a 1:0 win over Bologna.
2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Napoli have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. The visitors scored eight goals and conceded four, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; after losing to Inter, the team went unbeaten in their next four away matches. In their overall form across their last five matches, Napoli have three wins and two defeats, with no draws, and a goal difference of 7:5. The team scored in four of those five games, and their most recent match ended in a 1:0 win over Bologna.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Fiorentina and Napoli
Fiorentina have not won any of their last five meetings with Napoli: Napoli won four times, while one match ended in a draw. In these games, Fiorentina scored five goals and conceded 12, while Napoli won each of the last four meetings.
Prediction
Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction
The statistics point to an advantage for Napoli: they have recorded three wins in their last five matches, while their away form consists of three wins, one draw and one defeat with a goal difference of 8:4. Fiorentina have not won any of their five home matches, scoring two goals and conceding six, while the teams' expected scoring rates are estimated at 0.85 goals for the hosts and 1.65 for the visitors. The head-to-head record also favours Napoli: four wins and one draw in five matches, making a scenario with the visitors holding the advantage likely.
Fiorentina — Napoli
1:2
Away win (2)
Estimated goals: 0.85 — 1.65. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
55.6%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 0.8 : 1.8
Home / away form · points: 0.6 : 1.6
Estimated scoring potential: 0.85 : 1.65
Average goal difference: -1.2 : 0.4
Head to head · points: 0.2 : 2.6
Factors against
There are not enough completed matches in the database yet.
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Fiorentina — Napoli
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
7.6
Team 4.2
Opponent 3.4
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
9
Team 5
Opponent 4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10
Team 5
Opponent 5
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 5
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Fiorentina — Napoli
In Fiorentina's home matches, the average total number of shots on target over five games is 8.0: the 8.5 line was exceeded in three matches, with the hosts averaging 4.0 shots on target and their opponents 4.8. In Napoli's five away matches, the average total is 8.4, but the line was met in only one game; at the same time, it was exceeded in all five of Fiorentina's matches overall, while the head-to-head meetings produced 3 successful outcomes from 5. The model selected Over 8.5 with a 3/5 rating; the calculated probability is not specified. The prediction is supported most strongly by the hosts' overall form, but the away-match statistics remain a limiting factor.
70%
Estimated probability
Shots on target Over 8.5 — odds 2.00 (Bet365). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 46.4%.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
11
Team 5.6
Opponent 5.4
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
8
Team 4
Opponent 4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.6
Team 4.4
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 4.6
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Fiorentina — Napoli
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.8
Team 1.5
Opponent 2.3
Above the line in 2 of 4 matches
Average per match
3.7
Team 1.7
Opponent 2
Above the line in 1 of 3 matches
Average per match
2.2
Team 0.8
Opponent 1.4
Above the line in 0 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.6
Team 1.2
Opponent 1.4
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Fiorentina — Napoli
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Shots on target: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +8.5 · 0%
Under +8.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Fiorentina · 0%
Draw · 0%
Napoli · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +8.5 · 0%
Under +8.5 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +3 · 0%
Under +3 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Fiorentina — Napoli
Kick-off20 September 2026, 13:30
CompetitionSerie A
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 5
VenueStadio Artemio Franchi
CityFlorence
RefereeD. Doveri
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Fiorentina — Napoli
01 What time does Fiorentina vs Napoli kick off?
Fiorentina vs Napoli (Serie A) kicks off 20 September 2026, 13:30.
02 Where is Fiorentina vs Napoli being played?
The match is played at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).
03 Who is the referee for Fiorentina vs Napoli?
The referee for Fiorentina vs Napoli is D. Doveri.
04 Who will win Fiorentina vs Napoli?
According to our statistical model, Napoli is the most likely winner of Fiorentina vs Napoli, with a probability of 55.6%.
05 What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Napoli?
The statistical model favours Away win (2), with an estimated probability of 55.6%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Fiorentina vs Napoli?
For Fiorentina vs Napoli, bookmakers offer 1.94 on over 2.5 goals and 1.94 on under 2.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Fiorentina vs Napoli?
Bookmaker odds for Fiorentina vs Napoli: Fiorentina — 3.34, Draw — 3.45, Napoli — 2.25.
08 What is the recent form of Fiorentina and Napoli?
Fiorentina: 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 6–12. Napoli: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 7–5.
09 How many times have Fiorentina and Napoli played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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