Premier League
2026/27 · Regular Season - 5
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Leeds and Crystal Palace will meet at Elland Road in the 5th round of the Premier League. In their last five matches, Leeds have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, while Crystal Palace have won one match and lost four. Over this period, Leeds have scored 7 goals, while Crystal Palace have scored 7.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
|
4 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 17 |
|
4 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Leeds — Crystal Palace
H. Wilson
Muscle Injury
⚽0
1
0
J. Rodon
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
M. Joseph
Knee Injury
A. Disasi
Red Card
⚽0
0
1
C. Riad
Knee Injury
⚽0
0
0
D. Henderson
Foot Injury
⚽0
0
0
J. Mateta
Hamstring Injury
⚽0
0
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Leeds — Crystal Palace
2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Leeds’ home form looks solid: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring 12 goals and conceding 3. That works out at an average of 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; their unbeaten run stands at five matches, with Leeds scoring in each of them. The team kept clean sheets in wins over Brighton, 1:0, and Wolves, 3:0.
Leeds’ overall form across their last five matches consists of two wins, two draws and one defeat, with a 7:6 goal difference. The team are unbeaten in their last four games: after a 0:3 defeat to West Ham came a win over Nottingham Forest, draws with Brentford and Brighton, and then a 4:1 victory over Newcastle.
4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Leeds’ home form looks solid: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring 12 goals and conceding 3. That works out at an average of 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; their unbeaten run stands at five matches, with Leeds scoring in each of them. The team kept clean sheets in wins over Brighton, 1:0, and Wolves, 3:0.
Leeds’ overall form across their last five matches consists of two wins, two draws and one defeat, with a 7:6 goal difference. The team are unbeaten in their last four games: after a 0:3 defeat to West Ham came a win over Nottingham Forest, draws with Brentford and Brighton, and then a 4:1 victory over Newcastle.
1 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Crystal Palace have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. The visitors have scored five goals and conceded 12, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; only two away matches produced goals from both sides — the team beat Fulham 3:2 and drew 2:2 with Brentford. Their overall form is weaker: one win and four defeats in five matches, with seven goals scored and 13 conceded, averaging 1.4 and 2.6 respectively.
1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Crystal Palace have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. The visitors have scored five goals and conceded 12, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; only two away matches produced goals from both sides — the team beat Fulham 3:2 and drew 2:2 with Brentford. Their overall form is weaker: one win and four defeats in five matches, with seven goals scored and 13 conceded, averaging 1.4 and 2.6 respectively.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Leeds and Crystal Palace
In the last five meetings between Leeds and Crystal Palace, Leeds have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats, scoring six goals and conceding eight. The two most recent matches have ended without defeat for Leeds: a 0:0 draw and a 4:1 win, although there is no clear advantage over the longer term.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.03.2026 |
|
|
0:0 |
| 20.12.2025 |
|
|
4:1 |
| 09.04.2023 |
|
|
1:5 |
| 09.10.2022 |
|
|
2:1 |
| 25.04.2022 |
|
|
0:0 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.2025 |
|
|
4:1 |
| 09.04.2023 |
|
|
1:5 |
Prediction
Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction
The statistics point to an advantage for Leeds: the team have averaged 1.6 points per match overall and 2.6 in home games, while Crystal Palace’s figures are 0.6 and 0.8 points respectively. Leeds average 2.8 goals at home, while Crystal Palace concede 5.0 away from home, so the hosts could have the edge in attack. A Leeds win is a likely scenario, although the statistical assessment does not guarantee this outcome.
Leeds — Crystal Palace
2:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 2.2 — 1.05. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
56.2%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 1.6 : 0.6
Home / away form · points: 2.6 : 0.8
Estimated scoring potential: 2.2 : 1.05
Average goal difference: 0.2 : -1.2
Factors against
Head to head · points: 1 : 1.6
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Leeds — Crystal Palace
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9.8
Team 4.4
Opponent 5.4
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.4
Team 5.4
Opponent 5
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.2
Team 2.4
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 0 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 2
Opponent 7.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Leeds — Crystal Palace
The model recommends over 8.5 shots on target, rated 4\/5; the model does not provide an estimated probability. The statistics offer the strongest support for this prediction in Crystal Palace’s overall form — the line has landed in 5 out of 5 matches with an average total of 10.0, while the total went over in 4 out of 5 meetings between Leeds and Crystal Palace; Leeds’ home matches produced 3 successful outcomes out of 5 with an average total of 9.0, while the visitors’ away sample produced 2 out of 5 with an average total of 8.0. This statistical assessment does not guarantee that the bet will land.
80%
Estimated probability
Shots on target Over 8.5 — odds 1.83 (Bet365). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 50%.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9
Team 3.8
Opponent 5.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 4.6
Opponent 4.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
10
Team 3.4
Opponent 6.6
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
8
Team 3.4
Opponent 4.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Leeds — Crystal Palace
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.8
Team 1.6
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.6
Team 1.6
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.3
Team 0.8
Opponent 1.5
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
Average per match
2.3
Team 2
Opponent 0.3
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Leeds — Crystal Palace
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Shots on target: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +8.5 · 0%
Under +8.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Leeds · 0%
Draw · 0%
Crystal Palace · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9.5 · 0%
Under +9.5 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Leeds — Crystal Palace
Kick-off20 September 2026, 16:00
CompetitionPremier League
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 5
VenueElland Road
CityLeeds
RefereeAdam Herczeg
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Leeds — Crystal Palace
01 What time does Leeds vs Crystal Palace kick off?
Leeds vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off 20 September 2026, 16:00.
02 Where is Leeds vs Crystal Palace being played?
The match is played at Elland Road (Leeds).
03 Who is the referee for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
The referee for Leeds vs Crystal Palace is Adam Herczeg.
04 Who will win Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
According to our statistical model, Leeds is the most likely winner of Leeds vs Crystal Palace, with a probability of 56.2%.
05 What is the prediction for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
The statistical model favours Home win (1), with an estimated probability of 56.2%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
For Leeds vs Crystal Palace, bookmakers offer 1.79 on over 2.5 goals and 2.11 on under 2.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
Bookmaker odds for Leeds vs Crystal Palace: Leeds — 1.79, Draw — 3.83, Crystal Palace — 4.62.
08 What is the recent form of Leeds and Crystal Palace?
Leeds: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 7–6. Crystal Palace: 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 7–13.
09 How many times have Leeds and Crystal Palace played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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