Ligue 1
2026/27 · Regular Season - 5
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Orange Vélodrome will host a Ligue 1 match between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain on Matchday 5. In their five most recent matches, Marseille have recorded two wins and three defeats, while Paris Saint-Germain have won once, drawn twice and lost twice.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
|
4 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 |
|
4 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
D. Cornelius
Injury
⚽0
0
0
G. Kondogbia
Injury
⚽0
0
0
T. Nnadi
Injury
⚽0
0
0
A. Hakimi
Thigh Injury
⚽0
1
0
I. Zabarnyi
Coach's decision
⚽0
0
0
S. Mayulu
Inactive
⚽0
0
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Marseille’s home form in their five most recent matches looks more convincing: the team have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring 13 goals and conceding 6 — an average of 2,6 and 1,2 goals per game respectively. However, their most recent home match ended in a 2:3 defeat by Paris FC, meaning they go into their next home game without a win in their latest fixture on home soil. In the overall sample of their five most recent matches, Marseille have won twice and lost three times, scoring 9 goals and conceding 7, or an average of 1,8 goals scored and 1,4 conceded per match. The team are currently on a three-match losing run in all competitions, having been beaten by Rennes, Paris FC and Monaco.
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Marseille’s home form in their five most recent matches looks more convincing: the team have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring 13 goals and conceding 6 — an average of 2,6 and 1,2 goals per game respectively. However, their most recent home match ended in a 2:3 defeat by Paris FC, meaning they go into their next home game without a win in their latest fixture on home soil. In the overall sample of their five most recent matches, Marseille have won twice and lost three times, scoring 9 goals and conceding 7, or an average of 1,8 goals scored and 1,4 conceded per match. The team are currently on a three-match losing run in all competitions, having been beaten by Rennes, Paris FC and Monaco.
1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Paris Saint-Germain have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats in their five most recent matches. The visitors have scored eight goals and conceded six, averaging 1,6 goals scored and 1,2 conceded per game; the team found the net in each of these matches. Following a 1:0 win over Stade Brestois 29, their unbeaten away run has reached three matches, with draws against Lille and Rennes preceding that result. Their overall form across five matches also consists of one win, two draws and two defeats, but the goal difference is negative at 7:8, with an average of 1,4 goals scored and 1,6 conceded per game.
2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Paris Saint-Germain have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats in their five most recent matches. The visitors have scored eight goals and conceded six, averaging 1,6 goals scored and 1,2 conceded per game; the team found the net in each of these matches. Following a 1:0 win over Stade Brestois 29, their unbeaten away run has reached three matches, with draws against Lille and Rennes preceding that result. Their overall form across five matches also consists of one win, two draws and two defeats, but the goal difference is negative at 7:8, with an average of 1,4 goals scored and 1,6 conceded per game.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Marseille and Paris Saint Germain
In the five most recent meetings between the sides, Marseille have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring two goals and conceding 13. Paris Saint-Germain scored in four of those five matches, while the most recent meeting ended in a 5:0 victory for the Parisian side.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.02.2026 |
|
|
5:0 |
| 22.09.2025 |
|
|
1:0 |
| 16.03.2025 |
|
|
3:1 |
| 27.10.2024 |
|
|
0:3 |
| 31.03.2024 |
|
|
0:2 |
Prediction
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain prediction
The most likely outcome is a 2:1 win for Marseille. The hosts’ home form looks stronger: across their five most recent home matches, the team have averaged 2,0 points compared with 1,6 for Paris Saint-Germain in their five most recent away games, while the expected scoring figures are 1,8 and 1,4 respectively. Marseille have averaged 2,6 goals and 7,8 shots on target in these home matches, while PSG have conceded an average of 1,2 goals away from home, so the hosts could gain an advantage thanks to their more convincing current figures.
Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
2:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 1.8 — 1.4. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
52.8%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Home / away form · points: 2 : 1.6
Estimated scoring potential: 1.8 : 1.4
Average goal difference: 0.4 : -0.2
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 1.2 : 1
Head to head · points: 0.6 : 2.4
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
10.2
Team 4.8
Opponent 5.4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10
Team 5.2
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
6.4
Team 5.2
Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
7
Team 4.6
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Shots on target: Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
11.6
Team 6.2
Opponent 5.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.6
Team 7.8
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.2
Team 5.6
Opponent 4.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.4
Team 4.2
Opponent 6.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.6
Team 1.6
Opponent 2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.8
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.8
Team 1.2
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 0 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.6
Team 1.2
Opponent 1.4
Above the line in 0 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Shots on target: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +11.5 · 0%
Under +11.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Marseille · 0%
Draw · 0%
Paris Saint Germain · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9 · 0%
Under +9 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +4 · 0%
Under +4 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
Kick-off20 September 2026, 21:45
CompetitionLigue 1
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 5
VenueOrange Vélodrome
CityMarseille
RefereeFrancois Letexier
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Marseille — Paris Saint Germain
01 What time does Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?
Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off 20 September 2026, 21:45.
02 Where is Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain being played?
The match is played at Orange Vélodrome (Marseille).
03 Who is the referee for Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
The referee for Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain is Francois Letexier.
04 Who will win Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
According to our statistical model, Marseille is the most likely winner of Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain, with a probability of 52.8%.
05 What is the prediction for Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
The statistical model favours Home win (1), with an estimated probability of 52.8%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
For Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain, bookmakers offer 2.02 on over 3.5 goals and 1.87 on under 3.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
Bookmaker odds for Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain: Marseille — 6.70, Draw — 5.27, Paris Saint Germain — 1.43.
08 What is the recent form of Marseille and Paris Saint Germain?
Marseille: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 9–7. Paris Saint Germain: 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 7–8.
09 How many times have Marseille and Paris Saint Germain played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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