Ligue 1
2026/27 · Regular Season - 5
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Nice will face Lille at the Allianz Riviera in the 5th round of Ligue 1. In their last five matches, Nice have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, while Lille have won three, drawn one and lost one.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |
|
4 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 4 |
|
4 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Nice — Lille
A. Mendy
Knee Injury
⚽0
0
0
L. Abergel
Knee Injury
M. Bombito
Leg Injury
M. Sanson
Surgery
H. Igamane
Knee Injury
T. Nianzou
Knock
⚽0
0
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Nice — Lille
1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Nice’s home form over their last five matches includes one win, three draws and one defeat. The team have scored 6 goals and conceded 3, averaging 1.2 and 0.6 goals per game respectively. After beating Saint Etienne 4:1, Nice are unbeaten in four consecutive home matches, including draws with Lorient, Metz, Lens and Le Mans.
Across their last five matches overall, Nice have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6. Their averages stand at 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match; their most recent game ended in a 0:1 defeat to Auxerre.
1 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Nice’s home form over their last five matches includes one win, three draws and one defeat. The team have scored 6 goals and conceded 3, averaging 1.2 and 0.6 goals per game respectively. After beating Saint Etienne 4:1, Nice are unbeaten in four consecutive home matches, including draws with Lorient, Metz, Lens and Le Mans.
Across their last five matches overall, Nice have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6. Their averages stand at 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match; their most recent game ended in a 0:1 defeat to Auxerre.
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Lille have been in confident form away from home recently: in their last five matches, the team have recorded five wins, scored nine goals and conceded none. The visitors have averaged 1.8 goals per game, while their winning run has been accompanied by five consecutive clean sheets; the latest was a 1:0 victory over Toulouse.
Their overall form is also positive: Lille have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches. The team have scored seven goals and conceded four, while their unbeaten run stands at four matches.
5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Lille have been in confident form away from home recently: in their last five matches, the team have recorded five wins, scored nine goals and conceded none. The visitors have averaged 1.8 goals per game, while their winning run has been accompanied by five consecutive clean sheets; the latest was a 1:0 victory over Toulouse.
Their overall form is also positive: Lille have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches. The team have scored seven goals and conceded four, while their unbeaten run stands at four matches.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Nice and Lille
In the last five meetings between the sides, Nice have recorded one win, three draws and one defeat. The teams scored 7 and 6 goals respectively in those matches, with both sides finding the net in three of them. The most recent game ended in a 0:0 draw.
Prediction
Nice vs Lille prediction
The statistics point to a possible advantage for Lille: the team are averaging 2 points per match in overall form compared with Nice’s 1, while their away record stands at 3 points per game. Lille are scoring an average of 1.8 goals away from home and have kept five consecutive clean sheets, while Nice score 1 goal and concede 0.6 at home. The expected goals output is also higher for the visitors — 1.25 compared with 0.75 — making a Lille win the most likely scenario, although this does not guarantee the outcome of the match.
Nice — Lille
1:2
Away win (2)
Estimated goals: 0.75 — 1.25. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
49.6%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 1 : 2
Home / away form · points: 1.4 : 3
Estimated scoring potential: 0.75 : 1.25
Average goal difference: -0.2 : 0.6
Factors against
Head to head · points: 1.2 : 1.2
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Nice — Lille
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 6.4
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.6
Team 7.4
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.4
Team 2.2
Opponent 5.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 2.4
Opponent 6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Shots on target: Nice — Lille
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
7.8
Team 4.2
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
6.8
Team 3.8
Opponent 3
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 5.4
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 5.8
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Nice — Lille
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
2
Team 1.4
Opponent 0.6
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
3
Team 1.8
Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.8
Team 1.6
Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
4
Team 1.6
Opponent 2.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Nice — Lille
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Shots on target: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +8.5 · 0%
Under +8.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Nice · 0%
Draw · 0%
Lille · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9.5 · 0%
Under +9.5 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Nice — Lille
Kick-off20 September 2026, 18:15
CompetitionLigue 1
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 5
VenueAllianz Riviera
CityNice
RefereeWilly Delajod
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Nice — Lille
01 What time does Nice vs Lille kick off?
Nice vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off 20 September 2026, 18:15.
02 Where is Nice vs Lille being played?
The match is played at Allianz Riviera (Nice).
03 Who is the referee for Nice vs Lille?
The referee for Nice vs Lille is Willy Delajod.
04 Who will win Nice vs Lille?
According to our statistical model, Lille is the most likely winner of Nice vs Lille, with a probability of 49.6%.
05 What is the prediction for Nice vs Lille?
The statistical model favours Away win (2), with an estimated probability of 49.6%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Nice vs Lille?
For Nice vs Lille, bookmakers offer 1.95 on over 2.5 goals and 1.93 on under 2.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Nice vs Lille?
Bookmaker odds for Nice vs Lille: Nice — 3.69, Draw — 3.49, Lille — 2.10.
08 What is the recent form of Nice and Lille?
Nice: 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 5–6. Lille: 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 7–4.
09 How many times have Nice and Lille played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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