Championship
2026/27 · Regular Season - 8
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Norwich will face Bolton at Carrow Road in matchweek 8 of the Championship. In their last five matches, Norwich have recorded three wins and scored 12 goals, while Bolton have won once, suffered four defeats and scored five goals.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
|
7 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
| 21 |
|
7 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Norwich — Bolton
A. Ahmed
Knee Injury
L. Mahovo
Ankle Injury
M. Topic
Knee Injury
L. Brunt
Injury
⚽0
0
0
L. Stephenson
Injury
⚽0
0
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Norwich — Bolton
3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Norwich’s home form looks solid: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. Over this period, Norwich scored 10 goals and conceded 6, averaging 2,0 and 1,2 goals per match respectively; their two most recent home games ended in victories over Birmingham and Burnley.
Overall, Norwich have recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8 goals. The team have scored in four of those five games, but head into their next home fixture after a 3:4 defeat by Middlesbrough.
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
Norwich’s home form looks solid: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. Over this period, Norwich scored 10 goals and conceded 6, averaging 2,0 and 1,2 goals per match respectively; their two most recent home games ended in victories over Birmingham and Burnley.
Overall, Norwich have recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8 goals. The team have scored in four of those five games, but head into their next home fixture after a 3:4 defeat by Middlesbrough.
1 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
Bolton have failed to win any of their last three away matches: the team drew 0:0 with QPR and suffered defeats to Sheffield United 2:3 and Millwall 0:4. Over this period, the visitors scored two goals and conceded seven, averaging 0,67 goals per game while conceding 2,33; the team failed to score in two matches. Their most recent away game ended in defeat to Millwall. Their overall form is also poor: in their last five matches, the team have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring five and conceding 11 goals, and have lost four games in a row since beating Cardiff.
0 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 3 matches
Bolton have failed to win any of their last three away matches: the team drew 0:0 with QPR and suffered defeats to Sheffield United 2:3 and Millwall 0:4. Over this period, the visitors scored two goals and conceded seven, averaging 0,67 goals per game while conceding 2,33; the team failed to score in two matches. Their most recent away game ended in defeat to Millwall. Their overall form is also poor: in their last five matches, the team have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring five and conceding 11 goals, and have lost four games in a row since beating Cardiff.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Norwich and Bolton
There are no Norwich-Bolton head-to-head meetings in the sample provided. Therefore, recurring trends and results from previous encounters cannot be assessed.
There are not enough completed matches in the database yet.
There are not enough completed matches in the database yet.
Prediction
Norwich vs Bolton prediction
The statistics point to an advantage for Norwich: in home matches, the team have averaged 2 points, while their expected goals figure stands at 2,23 compared with 1,12 for Bolton. The hosts have averaged 2 goals per home game, whereas Bolton have scored twice and conceded seven goals in their last three away matches. A Norwich win therefore looks likely, although the data do not guarantee this outcome.
Norwich — Bolton
2:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 2.23 — 1.12. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
54.6%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 1.8 : 0.6
Home / away form · points: 2 : 0.33
Estimated scoring potential: 2.23 : 1.12
Average goal difference: 0.8 : -1.2
Factors against
There are not enough completed matches in the database yet.
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Norwich — Bolton
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 4.6
Opponent 5
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9
Team 5
Opponent 4
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.6
Team 6.8
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
11
Team 5.3
Opponent 5.7
Above the line in 2 of 3 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Norwich — Bolton
In home matches, Norwich average 6,6 shots on target and allow their opponents 4,2, with the total standing at 10,8; the 7,5 line has been cleared in five out of five matches, indicating a consistent trend towards a high volume. In Bolton’s away matches, the averages are 3,3 shots on target for the team and 6,7 for their opponents, with a total of 10,0, while the line has been cleared in three out of three matches. The model recommends Over 7,5 with a rating of 4\/5 and an estimated probability of 67,9%; the prediction is supported most strongly by Norwich’s home sample and Bolton’s away sample, although this assessment does not guarantee that the bet will land.
68%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
10
Team 6.2
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.8
Team 6.6
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.2
Team 5.4
Opponent 5.8
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
10
Team 3.3
Opponent 6.7
Above the line in 3 of 3 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Norwich — Bolton
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
5.4
Team 3.2
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
6
Team 3
Opponent 3
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.2
Team 1.6
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
2
Team 1.7
Opponent 0.3
Above the line in 0 of 3 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Norwich — Bolton
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Norwich · 0%
Draw · 0%
Bolton · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +10 · 0%
Under +10 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +3 · 0%
Under +3 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Norwich — Bolton
Kick-off20 September 2026, 15:30
CompetitionChampionship
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 8
VenueCarrow Road
CityNorwich
RefereeTom Nield
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Norwich — Bolton
01 What time does Norwich vs Bolton kick off?
Norwich vs Bolton (Championship) kicks off 20 September 2026, 15:30.
02 Where is Norwich vs Bolton being played?
The match is played at Carrow Road (Norwich).
03 Who is the referee for Norwich vs Bolton?
The referee for Norwich vs Bolton is Tom Nield.
04 Who will win Norwich vs Bolton?
According to our statistical model, Norwich is the most likely winner of Norwich vs Bolton, with a probability of 54.6%.
05 What is the prediction for Norwich vs Bolton?
The statistical model favours Home win (1), with an estimated probability of 54.6%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Norwich vs Bolton?
For Norwich vs Bolton, bookmakers offer 2.35 on over 3.5 goals and 1.60 on under 3.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Norwich vs Bolton?
Bookmaker odds for Norwich vs Bolton: Norwich — 1.53, Draw — 4.55, Bolton — 5.41.
08 What is the recent form of Norwich and Bolton?
Norwich: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 12–8. Bolton: 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 5–11.
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