World
Friendlies
2026 · Friendly International
xG
South Korea vs Uruguay: expected goals (xG)
South Korea
1.28
Projected xG
Uruguay
1.20
Probabilities from xG
- South Korea win38.4%
- Draw27.1%
- Uruguay win34.5%
- Over 2.5 goals45.1%
- Both teams to score50.5%
Most likely scores
- South Korea 1:1 Uruguay12.9%
- South Korea 1:0 Uruguay10.7%
- South Korea 0:1 Uruguay10%
xG form
| Matches | xG for | xG against | |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea, all matches | 3 | 1.37 | 0.84 |
| South Korea at home | 1 | 2.30 | 0.83 |
| Uruguay, all matches | 3 | 1.41 | 0.80 |
| Uruguay away | 1 | 1.72 | 0.66 |
Projected xG averages each side's attack with the opponent's defence, using the actual xG from both teams' recent matches, overall and home or away. The probabilities come from a Poisson model of goals: an estimate, not a guarantee.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: South Korea — Uruguay
1 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 4 matches
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: South Korea and Uruguay
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.11.2022 |
|
|
0:0 |
There are not enough completed matches in the database yet.
Prediction
South Korea vs Uruguay prediction
South Korea — Uruguay
1:1
Draw (X)
Estimated goals: 1.09 — 1.25. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
28%
Estimated probability
Prediction published 26.09.2026 17:42
Factors supporting this pick
Home / away form · points: 1.8 : 1.75
Estimated scoring potential: 1.09 : 1.25
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 0.6 : 1
Average goal difference: -1 : -0.2
Pre-match statistics
Corners: South Korea — Uruguay
The model did not produce a betting pick. The teams’ pre-match statistics are available below.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
8
Team 4.4
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.8
Team 6.2
Opponent 5.6
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
11
Team 6
Opponent 5
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.5
Team 5.8
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
Pre-match statistics
Shots on target: South Korea — Uruguay
The model did not produce a betting pick. The teams’ pre-match statistics are available below.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
8.2
Team 3.8
Opponent 4.4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.8
Team 6
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.6
Team 4.6
Opponent 3
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.5
Team 6.3
Opponent 3.3
Above the line in 3 of 4 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: South Korea — Uruguay
The model did not produce a betting pick. The teams’ pre-match statistics are available below.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
1.4
Team 1
Opponent 0.4
Above the line in 0 of 5 matches
Average per match
3
Team 2.6
Opponent 0.4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.2
Team 2.4
Opponent 1.8
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.8
Team 1.8
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 4 matches
Per-match average · last 5 games
Team statistical profile: South Korea — Uruguay
Expected goals (xG)
Shots
Shots on target
Corners
Ball possession, %
Pass accuracy, %
Goalkeeper saves
Fouls
Yellow cards
Offsides
Shots
Shots on target
Corners
Ball possession, %
Pass accuracy, %
Goalkeeper saves
Fouls
Yellow cards
Offsides
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Team Form: How to Evaluate Recent Matches · Head-to-Head (H2H): Does It Work in Predictions? · Player Injuries, Suspensions and Line-ups: Their Effect on Predictions · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: South Korea — Uruguay
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin · Value Bet: What It Is and How to Find One
Odds have not been loaded for this match yet.
Voting will appear when current odds are available.
Match information
Match information: South Korea — Uruguay
Kick-off28 September 2026, 14:00
CompetitionFriendlies
Season2026
Round / stageFriendly International
VenueNo data
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
AI
Pre-match analysis
An automatically prepared description based on stored facts and statistics will appear here.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: South Korea — Uruguay
01 What time does South Korea vs Uruguay kick off?
South Korea vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off 28 September 2026, 14:00.
02 What is the recent form of South Korea and Uruguay?
South Korea: 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 3–8. Uruguay: 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 5–6.
03 How many times have South Korea and Uruguay played each other?
Our database has 1 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
Comments
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