Primeira Liga
2026/27 · Regular Season - 7
Match analysis preview
On 19 September 2026, Sporting CP will face Arouca at Estádio José Alvalade in the 7th round of the Primeira Liga. Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording four wins and scoring 13 goals, while Arouca have won twice, drawn once and lost twice over the same period.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
|
7 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 |
|
7 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
Squad news
Preliminary squads: Sporting CP — Arouca
Squads may change before kickoff.
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Sporting CP — Arouca
4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Sporting CP's home form looks convincing: the team have won all five of the listed matches on their own ground, scoring 16 goals and conceding 4. On average, the hosts have scored 3,2 goals per game and conceded 0,8; they kept clean sheets in two matches and scored in every game. Their overall form is also positive: Sporting CP have recorded four wins and one draw in their last five matches, scoring 13 and conceding 4 goals. Thus, based on the sample provided, the team come into the match unbeaten in their last five games, although this statistic does not guarantee the same outcome in the next fixture.
5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Sporting CP's home form looks convincing: the team have won all five of the listed matches on their own ground, scoring 16 goals and conceding 4. On average, the hosts have scored 3,2 goals per game and conceded 0,8; they kept clean sheets in two matches and scored in every game. Their overall form is also positive: Sporting CP have recorded four wins and one draw in their last five matches, scoring 13 and conceding 4 goals. Thus, based on the sample provided, the team come into the match unbeaten in their last five games, although this statistic does not guarantee the same outcome in the next fixture.
2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Arouca have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. The visitors have scored five and conceded five goals — an average of 1,0 goals per game; in their two most recent away fixtures, however, the team failed to score: drawing 0:0 with Estoril and losing 0:2 to Porto. In terms of overall form, Arouca have two wins, one draw and two defeats across five matches, with a 7:5 goal difference, equating to an average of 1,4 goals scored and 1,0 conceded per game. Their most recent result was a 1:2 defeat by Santa Clara, meaning the team have not won either of their last two matches.
2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Away from home, Arouca have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches. The visitors have scored five and conceded five goals — an average of 1,0 goals per game; in their two most recent away fixtures, however, the team failed to score: drawing 0:0 with Estoril and losing 0:2 to Porto. In terms of overall form, Arouca have two wins, one draw and two defeats across five matches, with a 7:5 goal difference, equating to an average of 1,4 goals scored and 1,0 conceded per game. Their most recent result was a 1:2 defeat by Santa Clara, meaning the team have not won either of their last two matches.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Sporting CP and Arouca
In the last five meetings, Sporting have recorded four wins, while one match ended in a draw; Arouca have not won during this period. The overall goal difference is 16:3 in Sporting's favour, with the hosts keeping clean sheets in three of the five matches.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.01.2026 |
|
|
1:2 |
| 17.08.2025 |
|
|
6:0 |
| 15.02.2025 |
|
|
2:2 |
| 13.09.2024 |
|
|
0:3 |
| 10.03.2024 |
|
|
0:3 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.08.2025 |
|
|
6:0 |
| 15.02.2025 |
|
|
2:2 |
Prediction
Sporting CP vs Arouca prediction
The statistics point to an advantage for Sporting CP: across their last five matches, the team have posted stronger overall-form figures, while their average scoring rate was 2,6 goals per game compared with 1,4 for Arouca. In home fixtures, Sporting CP have averaged 3,2 goals, whereas Arouca have scored an average of 1,4 times in their last five away matches and suffered two defeats. The head-to-head record is another argument in favour of the hosts: Sporting CP have recorded four wins and one draw in the last five meetings, making a scenario with the hosts holding the advantage the most likely outcome.
Sporting CP — Arouca
2:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 1.95 — 1. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
65.8%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 2.6 : 1.4
Home / away form · points: 3 : 1.4
Estimated scoring potential: 1.95 : 1
Average goal difference: 1.8 : 0.4
Head to head · points: 2.6 : 0.2
Factors against
There are not enough completed matches in the database yet.
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Sporting CP — Arouca
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
7.6
Team 5.4
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
8
Team 5.4
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.8
Team 3.2
Opponent 5.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 2.2
Opponent 7.4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Sporting CP — Arouca
In Sporting CP's five home matches, the hosts have averaged 6,6 shots on target and their opponents 2,8, giving an overall total of 9,4; the 7,5 line was exceeded in three of the five matches, with no sustained run of high or low totals evident. In Arouca's five away matches, the team have averaged 2,8 shots on target and their opponents 5,8, for an overall figure of 8,6, while the line was reached in three of the five matches; in Arouca's overall form, the total exceeded 7,5 in four of five matches. The model has selected Over 7,5 with a rating of 4\/5 and an estimated probability of 67,88%; the recommendation is supported most strongly by Arouca's overall form and the head-to-head record — four successful outcomes from five in each case — although a high number of shots on target does not guarantee high scoring, and the assessment itself does not guarantee that the bet will land.
68%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
8
Team 6
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 6.6
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.6
Team 4
Opponent 5.6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.6
Team 2.8
Opponent 5.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Yellow cards — Sporting CP — Arouca
In Sporting CP's five home matches in the sample, the hosts have received an average of 1,4 yellow cards and their opponents 2,2, with the overall total standing at 3,6; the 3,5 line was exceeded in two of the five matches, and there is no sustained run of games with a high or low number of bookings. In Arouca's five away matches, the team have averaged 2,6 cards, while their opponents have averaged 1,8, giving an overall total of 4,4; the 3,5 mark was reached in three matches, with no consistent run here either. The model has selected Over 3,5 with a rating of 3\/5 and an estimated probability of 60,02%; the recommendation is supported most strongly by the overall form of both teams, where the line was surpassed in three of five matches for each, and by Arouca's away sample, which produced a 3 out of 5 result, but this assessment does not guarantee that the bet will land.
60%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
4.6
Team 2.4
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.6
Team 1.4
Opponent 2.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.8
Team 1.8
Opponent 3
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.4
Team 2.6
Opponent 1.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Sporting CP — Arouca
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Match result (1X2)
Sporting CP · 0%
Draw · 0%
Arouca · 0%
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9 · 0%
Under +9 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Sporting CP — Arouca
Kick-off19 September 2026, 22:30
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 7
VenueEstádio José Alvalade
CityLisbon
RefereeDavid Rafael Oliveira da Silva
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Sporting CP — Arouca
01 What time does Sporting CP vs Arouca kick off?
Sporting CP vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) kicks off 19 September 2026, 22:30.
02 Where is Sporting CP vs Arouca being played?
The match is played at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon).
03 Who is the referee for Sporting CP vs Arouca?
The referee for Sporting CP vs Arouca is David Rafael Oliveira da Silva.
04 Who will win Sporting CP vs Arouca?
According to our statistical model, Sporting CP is the most likely winner of Sporting CP vs Arouca, with a probability of 65.8%.
05 What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Arouca?
The statistical model favours Home win (1), with an estimated probability of 65.8%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Sporting CP vs Arouca?
For Sporting CP vs Arouca, bookmakers offer 1.91 on over 3.5 goals and 1.72 on under 3.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Sporting CP vs Arouca?
Bookmaker odds for Sporting CP vs Arouca: Sporting CP — 1.20, Draw — 6.50, Arouca — 12.00.
08 What is the recent form of Sporting CP and Arouca?
Sporting CP: 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 13–4. Arouca: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 7–5.
09 How many times have Sporting CP and Arouca played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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