Ligue 1
2026/27 · Regular Season - 5
Match analysis preview
On 19 September 2026, Toulouse will face Le Havre at Stadium Municipal in the 5th round of Ligue 1. Toulouse have not won any of their last five matches, while Le Havre have won once, drawn twice and lost twice.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
|
5 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 17 |
|
5 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
Squad news
Preliminary squads: Toulouse — Le Havre
Squads may change before kickoff.
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: Toulouse — Le Havre
A. Francis
Muscle Injury
R. Nicolaisen
Calf Injury
⚽0
1
0
A. Toure
Knee Injury
F. Mambimbi
Injury
J. Mwanga
Groin Injury
⚽0
0
1
L. Mpasi-Nzau
Injury
⚽0
1
0
P. Argney
Injury
R. Ndiaye
Groin Injury
⚽0
0
0
S. Zagadou
Injury
T. Pembele
Inactive
⚽0
0
0
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Toulouse — Le Havre
0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
At home, Toulouse have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding ten. The averages for this sample are 0.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game; meanwhile, their two most recent home matches ended in defeats to Lille and Lyon, with Toulouse failing to score in either.
The team's overall form across their last five matches remains winless: three draws and two defeats, with a 4:7 goal difference. Toulouse have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while their only clean sheet came in a 0:0 draw with Nantes.
1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
At home, Toulouse have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding ten. The averages for this sample are 0.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game; meanwhile, their two most recent home matches ended in defeats to Lille and Lyon, with Toulouse failing to score in either.
The team's overall form across their last five matches remains winless: three draws and two defeats, with a 4:7 goal difference. Toulouse have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while their only clean sheet came in a 0:0 draw with Nantes.
1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Le Havre are unbeaten away from home in their last five matches: one win and four draws. The visitors have scored six goals and conceded four, averaging 1.2 and 0.8 goals per game respectively; the team scored in each of these matches. Overall, Le Havre have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, scoring four goals and conceding four. Their latest overall match ended in a goalless draw with Angers, while their only win in this five-match sample was a 2:0 victory over Lorient.
1 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
Le Havre are unbeaten away from home in their last five matches: one win and four draws. The visitors have scored six goals and conceded four, averaging 1.2 and 0.8 goals per game respectively; the team scored in each of these matches. Overall, Le Havre have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, scoring four goals and conceding four. Their latest overall match ended in a goalless draw with Angers, while their only win in this five-match sample was a 2:0 victory over Lorient.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Toulouse and Le Havre
In the last five head-to-head meetings, Toulouse have won twice, one match ended in a draw and Le Havre have won two. Toulouse have scored seven goals and conceded four, finding the net in three of the five matches. The two most recent meetings ended in a 0:0 draw and a 2:1 win for Le Havre.
Match statistics
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
Prediction
Toulouse vs Le Havre prediction
A Le Havre win is the most likely scenario: the visitors' away form looks more convincing, while their average expected goals figure is 1.35 compared with 0.80 for Toulouse. The hosts have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in five home matches, while Le Havre have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in five away games. The statistics point to a possible advantage for the visitors, although they do not guarantee a specific result.
Toulouse — Le Havre
1:2
Away win (2)
Estimated goals: 0.8 — 1.35. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
49.6%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Overall form · points per game: 0.6 : 1
Home / away form · points: 0.8 : 1.4
Estimated scoring potential: 0.8 : 1.35
Average goal difference: -0.6 : 0
Factors against
Head to head · points: 1.4 : 1.4
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Toulouse — Le Havre
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
7.8
Team 3.8
Opponent 4
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 5.4
Opponent 3.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.4
Team 4.4
Opponent 5
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.8
Team 3.2
Opponent 6.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — Toulouse — Le Havre
In Toulouse's five home matches, the hosts averaged 5.2 shots on target, while their opponents averaged 4.0, for a total of 9.2; the 8.5 line was surpassed in four of the five matches. In Le Havre's five away matches, the team averaged 4.8 shots on target, their opponents averaged 5.4, and the total was 10.2, with the line also being surpassed in four of the five matches.
The model selected over 8.5 with a rating of 3\/5 points; the estimated probability is not provided in the data. The prediction is supported most strongly by Toulouse's home sample and Le Havre's away sample, but this statistical assessment does not guarantee that the bet will land.
50%
Estimated probability
Shots on target Over 8.5 — odds 1.80 (Bet365). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 51.5%.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
7.8
Team 3.8
Opponent 4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10
Team 4.8
Opponent 5.2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
9.2
Team 4.4
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.2
Team 4.8
Opponent 5.4
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Yellow cards: Toulouse — Le Havre
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
2.5
Team 1.3
Opponent 1.3
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
Average per match
3.8
Team 2.6
Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
2.8
Team 1.6
Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.2
Team 2
Opponent 1.2
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Toulouse — Le Havre
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Shots on target: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +8.5 · 0%
Under +8.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Toulouse · 0%
Draw · 0%
Le Havre · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9.5 · 0%
Under +9.5 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +4 · 0%
Under +4 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Toulouse — Le Havre
Kick-off19 September 2026, 21:45
CompetitionLigue 1
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 5
VenueStadium Municipal
CityToulouse
RefereeHakim Ben el Hadj
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Toulouse — Le Havre
01 What time does Toulouse vs Le Havre kick off?
Toulouse vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off 19 September 2026, 21:45.
02 Where is Toulouse vs Le Havre being played?
The match is played at Stadium Municipal (Toulouse).
03 Who is the referee for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
The referee for Toulouse vs Le Havre is Hakim Ben el Hadj.
04 Who will win Toulouse vs Le Havre?
According to our statistical model, Le Havre is the most likely winner of Toulouse vs Le Havre, with a probability of 49.6%.
05 What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
The statistical model favours Away win (2), with an estimated probability of 49.6%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
For Toulouse vs Le Havre, bookmakers offer 1.92 on over 2.5 goals and 1.97 on under 2.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
Bookmaker odds for Toulouse vs Le Havre: Toulouse — 1.75, Draw — 3.88, Le Havre — 4.82.
08 What is the recent form of Toulouse and Le Havre?
Toulouse: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 4–7. Le Havre: 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 4–4.
09 How many times have Toulouse and Le Havre played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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