Bundesliga
2026/27 · Regular Season - 4
Match analysis preview
On 19 September 2026, VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund will meet at the MHP Arena in the 4th round of the Bundesliga. In their last five matches, VfB Stuttgart have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, while Borussia Dortmund have won all five of their games.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
|
4 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 1 |
|
4 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
Squad news
Preliminary squads: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
Squads may change before kickoff.
Squad news
Injuries and suspensions: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
D. Seimen
Thigh Injury
D. Zagadou
Muscle Injury
J. Diehl
Muscle Injury
L. Assignon
Shoulder Injury
L. Jaquez
Muscle Injury
M. Herwerth
Injury
⚽0
0
0
T. Tomas
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
E. Can
Knee Injury
F. Mane
Muscle Injury
⚽0
0
0
G. Konstantelias
Knee Injury
⚽0
0
0
J. Lerma
Muscle Injury
M. Kaba
Injury
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart's home form looks solid: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. During this run, the hosts scored 12 goals and conceded 5, averaging 2.4 goals scored and one conceded per game; they have avoided defeat in their last four home matches.
Stuttgart's overall form is also two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches, with a goal difference of 11:11. The team scored in each of these games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match.
3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses in the last 5 matches
VfB Stuttgart's home form looks solid: in their last five matches on home soil, the team have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. During this run, the hosts scored 12 goals and conceded 5, averaging 2.4 goals scored and one conceded per game; they have avoided defeat in their last four home matches.
Stuttgart's overall form is also two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches, with a goal difference of 11:11. The team scored in each of these games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match.
5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Borussia Dortmund have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring eight goals and conceding five. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; in their last two away matches, the team beat Werder Bremen 2:0 and 1899 Hoffenheim 3:2. Their overall form is considerably more consistent: Borussia Dortmund have won all five of their last five matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding four, for averages of 2.6 and 0.8 goals per game respectively.
3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Borussia Dortmund have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring eight goals and conceding five. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; in their last two away matches, the team beat Werder Bremen 2:0 and 1899 Hoffenheim 3:2. Their overall form is considerably more consistent: Borussia Dortmund have won all five of their last five matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding four, for averages of 2.6 and 0.8 goals per game respectively.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund
In the last five meetings between the sides, VfB Stuttgart have recorded three wins, one match ended in a draw and Borussia Dortmund won one. Stuttgart scored 11 goals to their opponents' seven, while both teams scored in three of the five matches. However, the most recent meeting ended in a 2:0 win for Borussia Dortmund, whereas Stuttgart had avoided defeat in the previous four matches.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04.04.2026 |
|
|
0:2 |
| 22.11.2025 |
|
|
3:3 |
| 08.02.2025 |
|
|
1:2 |
| 22.09.2024 |
|
|
5:1 |
| 06.04.2024 |
|
|
0:1 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04.04.2026 |
|
|
0:2 |
| 22.09.2024 |
|
|
5:1 |
Match timeline
Match events: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
Ermedin Demirović
Dissent
Angelo Stiller
Foul
Nico Schlotterbeck
Foul
Joey Veerman
Foul
Kouakou Joane Gadou
Foul
Jobe Bellingham
Replaced: Joey Veerman
Konstantinos Karetsas
Replaced: Ethan Nwaneri
Jamie Leweling
Replaced: Chris Führich
Dženan Pejčinović
Replaced: Deniz Undav
0 - 1
Maximilian Beier
Assist: Jobe Bellingham
Fábio Silva
Replaced: Serhou Guirassy
Jobe Bellingham
Foul
Julian Ryerson
Dissent
Marcel Sabitzer
Replaced: Maximilian Beier
Ramy Bensebaini
Replaced: Julian Ryerson
Leo Sauer
Replaced: Bilal El Khannouss
Nikolas Nartey
Replaced: Grischa Prömel
VfB Stuttgart
Metric
Borussia Dortmund
Goals
1
12
Shots
13
5
Shots on target
2
6
Shots off target
6
1
Blocked shots
5
8
Shots inside the box
1
4
Shots outside the box
3
6
Corners
2
9
Fouls
14
4
Offsides
1
56 %
Ball possession, %
44 %
1
Goalkeeper saves
5
544
Total passes
432
472
Accurate passes
335
2
Yellow cards
5
Red cards
Goals
12
Shots
13
5
Shots on target
2
6
Shots off target
6
1
Blocked shots
5
8
Shots inside the box
1
4
Shots outside the box
3
6
Corners
2
9
Fouls
14
4
Offsides
1
56 %
Ball possession, %
44 %
1
Goalkeeper saves
5
544
Total passes
432
472
Accurate passes
335
2
Yellow cards
5
Red cards
Goals
1
Shots
Shots on target
Shots off target
Blocked shots
Shots inside the box
Shots outside the box
Corners
Fouls
Offsides
Goalkeeper saves
Total passes
Accurate passes
Yellow cards
Red cards
Player statistics
Player ratings: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
7
M. Mittelstädt
D · 90 min
7.8
24
J. Chabot
D · 90 min
7.0
6
A. Stiller
M · 90 min
6.8
18
J. Leweling
F · 26 min
6.7
29
Finn Jeltsch
D · 90 min
6.6
11
B. El Khannouss
M · 84 min
6.6
1
F. Bredlow
G · 90 min
6.5
17
D. Pejčinović
F · 26 min
6.5
21
G. Prömel
M · 84 min
6.4
26
D. Undav
M · 64 min
6.4
44
L. Sauer
F · 6 min
6.3
28
N. Nartey
M · 6 min
6.3
10
C. Führich
M · 64 min
6.2
4
J. Vagnoman
M · 90 min
6.1
9
E. Demirović
F · 90 min
6.0
47
Y. Spalt
D · 0 min
0.0
16
A. Karazor
M · 0 min
0.0
3
R. Hendriks
D · 0 min
0.0
33
M. Funk
G · 0 min
0.0
2
A. Al Dakhil
D · 0 min
0.0
14
M. Beier
M · 82 min · goals: 1
7.6
1
G. Kobel
G · 90 min
7.6
8
F. Nmecha
M · 90 min
7.2
25
J. Veerman
M · 62 min
7.2
19
K. Karetsas
M · 28 min
6.9
3
W. Anton
D · 90 min
6.7
7
J. Bellingham
M · 28 min · assists: 1
6.6
22
Kouakou Joane Gadou
D · 90 min
6.6
5
R. Bensebaïni
D · 8 min
6.5
21
Fábio Silva
F · 16 min
6.5
18
E. Nwaneri
M · 62 min
6.4
20
M. Sabitzer
M · 8 min
6.4
26
J. Ryerson
M · 82 min
6.3
9
S. Guirassy
F · 74 min
6.3
4
N. Schlotterbeck
D · 90 min
6.2
24
D. Svensson
M · 90 min
6.1
17
C. Chukwuemeka
M · 0 min
0.0
40
S. Inacio
F · 0 min
0.0
33
A. Meyer
G · 0 min
0.0
49
L. Reggiani
D · 0 min
0.0
Prediction
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund prediction
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
2:2
Draw (X)
Estimated goals: 1.6 — 1.85. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
30.4%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Home / away form · points: 2 : 1.8
Estimated scoring potential: 1.6 : 1.85
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 1.4 : 3
Average goal difference: 0 : 1.8
Head to head · points: 2 : 0.8
Pre-match statistics
Corners: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
In VfB Stuttgart's five home matches, the hosts average 8.8 corners and allow their opponents 4.0, for a total average of 12.8. The line of 8.5 was exceeded in four of the five matches, indicating a clear home trend towards a high number of corners.
In Borussia Dortmund's five away matches, the team average 2.8 corners, allow 4.8 and have a total average of 7.6; the line landed in two of the five games. Based on these figures, the prediction of over 8.5 corners received a model rating of 4\/5 and a calculated probability of 61.79%, although this statistical assessment does not guarantee the outcome.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
13.4
Team 6.6
Opponent 6.8
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
12.8
Team 8.8
Opponent 4
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.8
Team 4.8
Opponent 4
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
7.6
Team 2.8
Opponent 4.8
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Shots on target — VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
In VfB Stuttgart's five home matches, the hosts average 7.0 shots on target and their opponents 4.2, for a total average of 11.2; the line of 7.5 was exceeded in three matches, but there is no consistent run of games with either a high or low figure. In Borussia Dortmund's five away matches, the visitors and their opponents both average 4.0 shots on target, for a total average of 8.0, while the line landed in two games; the model recommends over 7.5 with a rating of 4\/5 and a calculated probability of 71.64%. The prediction is supported most strongly by the overall form of both teams, with the line landing in five of five matches for each, as well as by the head-to-head meetings, where it has landed three times in five matches.
80%
Estimated probability
Shots on target Over 9.5 — odds 2.00 (Bet365). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 46.4%.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
13.4
Team 6.6
Opponent 6.8
Above the line in 5 of 5 matches
Average per match
11.2
Team 7
Opponent 4.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.2
Team 7
Opponent 3.2
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
8
Team 4
Opponent 4
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Yellow cards — VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
In VfB Stuttgart's five home matches, the hosts average 1.4 yellow cards and their opponents 2.0, for a total average of 3.4; the line of 3.5 was exceeded in two matches, with no consistent run of either high or low numbers of bookings. In Borussia Dortmund's four away matches with available data, the visitors average 2.5 cards and their opponents 2.75, for a total average of 5.25, while the line landed in all four games; the model recommends over 3.5 with a rating of 3\/5 and a calculated probability of 59.16%. The prediction is supported most strongly by Borussia Dortmund's away matches and the head-to-head meetings, in which the line landed in four of five matches.
59%
Estimated probability
Yellow cards Over 3.5 — odds 2.00 (Pinnacle). Bookmaker-implied probability without margin: 47.8%.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.8
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.4
Team 1.4
Opponent 2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
3.5
Team 2
Opponent 1.5
Above the line in 1 of 4 matches
Average per match
5.3
Team 2.5
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 4 of 4 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Cards: total
Shots on target: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Shots on target: total
Over +9.5 · 0%
Under +9.5 · 0%
Match result (1X2)
VfB Stuttgart · 0%
Draw · 0%
Borussia Dortmund · 0%
Totals
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +10 · 0%
Under +10 · 0%
Cards: total
Over +3.5 · 0%
Under +3.5 · 0%
Match information
Match information: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
Kick-off19 September 2026, 19:30
CompetitionBundesliga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 4
VenueMHP Arena
CityStuttgart
RefereeTobias Stieler
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Dortmund
01 What time does VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off 19 September 2026, 19:30.
02 Where is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund being played?
The match is played at MHP Arena (Stuttgart).
03 Who is the referee for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
The referee for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund is Tobias Stieler.
04 What are the over/under odds for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
For VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund, bookmakers offer 2.01 on over 3.5 goals and 1.88 on under 3.5 goals.
05 What are the match winner odds for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
Bookmaker odds for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: VfB Stuttgart — 2.42, Draw — 3.71, Borussia Dortmund — 2.85.
06 What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund?
VfB Stuttgart: 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 11–11. Borussia Dortmund: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 13–4.
07 How many times have VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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