Primeira Liga
2026/27 · Regular Season - 7
Match analysis preview
On 20 September 2026, Vitória SC will face Moreirense at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques in the 7th round of the Primeira Liga. In their last five matches, Vitória SC have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, while Moreirense have won twice and lost three times.
| # | Team | P | Scored | Conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
|
6 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 |
|
6 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
Pre-match statistics
Form over the last five matches: Vitória SC — Moreirense
1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Vitória SC’s home form over their last five matches consists of two wins, one draw and two defeats. The team have scored three goals and conceded two, and they are unbeaten in their two most recent home games, drawing 0:0 with Casa Pia and beating Nacional 1:0. Overall, Vitória SC’s five-match form stands at one win, one draw and three defeats, with four goals scored and six conceded, averaging 0,8 and 1,2 goals per game respectively. In this sample, the team scored in two matches and kept two clean sheets.
2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Vitória SC’s home form over their last five matches consists of two wins, one draw and two defeats. The team have scored three goals and conceded two, and they are unbeaten in their two most recent home games, drawing 0:0 with Casa Pia and beating Nacional 1:0. Overall, Vitória SC’s five-match form stands at one win, one draw and three defeats, with four goals scored and six conceded, averaging 0,8 and 1,2 goals per game respectively. In this sample, the team scored in two matches and kept two clean sheets.
2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Moreirense have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring three goals and conceding 12. On average, their away games have produced 0,6 goals scored and 2,4 conceded; the team scored in only two matches and conceded in all five. Moreirense head into their next away game after a 1:2 defeat by FC Porto.
Their overall form over the last five matches looks slightly better: two wins and three defeats, with no draws and a 5:11 goal difference. The team have averaged one goal scored and 2,2 conceded per game, finding the net in four of the five matches.
1 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 matches
In their last five away matches, Moreirense have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring three goals and conceding 12. On average, their away games have produced 0,6 goals scored and 2,4 conceded; the team scored in only two matches and conceded in all five. Moreirense head into their next away game after a 1:2 defeat by FC Porto.
Their overall form over the last five matches looks slightly better: two wins and three defeats, with no draws and a 5:11 goal difference. The team have averaged one goal scored and 2,2 conceded per game, finding the net in four of the five matches.
Pre-match statistics
Head-to-head: Vitória SC and Moreirense
In the last five meetings, Vitória SC have recorded three wins, one match ended in a draw and Moreirense won once. The overall goal difference across this period is 5:2 in Vitória SC’s favour, with the hosts unbeaten in the last four meetings: three wins and one draw.
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30.01.2026 |
|
|
1:0 |
| 23.08.2025 |
|
|
2:0 |
| 30.03.2025 |
|
|
2:2 |
| 03.11.2024 |
|
|
1:0 |
| 30.03.2024 |
|
|
1:0 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30.01.2026 |
|
|
1:0 |
| 03.11.2024 |
|
|
1:0 |
| 30.03.2024 |
|
|
1:0 |
Prediction
Vitória SC vs Moreirense prediction
A Vitória SC win is the most likely outcome: the team’s home form is rated higher than Moreirense’s away form — 1,4 versus 0,6 — while the expected scoring figures are 1,5 goals versus 0,8. Vitória SC have averaged 0,6 goals in five home matches, while Moreirense have conceded an average of 2,4 away from home, so the hosts could hold the edge in attacking output. The head-to-head record also supports this outcome, with Vitória SC averaging 2,0 points compared with Moreirense’s 0,8.
Vitória SC — Moreirense
2:1
Home win (1)
Estimated goals: 1.5 — 0.8. The score is a model estimate, not an exact promise.
What is xG: What Is xG (Expected Goals) in Football? · How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works
57.9%
Estimated probability
Factors supporting this pick
Home / away form · points: 1.4 : 0.6
Estimated scoring potential: 1.5 : 0.8
Average goal difference: -0.4 : -1.2
Head to head · points: 2 : 0.8
Factors against
Overall form · points per game: 0.8 : 1.2
Pre-match statistics
Corners: Vitória SC — Moreirense
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
10
Team 6.4
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
10.6
Team 7
Opponent 3.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 2.2
Opponent 6.2
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.8
Team 3
Opponent 5.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Pre-match statistics
Shots on target: Vitória SC — Moreirense
There is currently no sufficiently reliable statistical signal for a prediction in this section.
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
7.8
Team 5
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
7
Team 4.2
Opponent 2.8
Above the line in 1 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 2.8
Opponent 5.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Average per match
8.4
Team 2.8
Opponent 5.6
Above the line in 2 of 5 matches
Prediction
Prediction: Yellow cards — Vitória SC — Moreirense
In Vitória SC’s five home matches, the hosts have averaged 2,4 yellow cards and their opponents 2,6, with a total average of 5,0; the 3,5 line was beaten in three of the five matches, with no consistent run of exclusively high or low figures. In Moreirense’s five away matches, the averages were 2,8 team cards and 1,6 for their opponents, with a total average of 4,4, while over 3,5 landed in four of the five games. The model selected Over 3,5 with a 5\/5 rating and an estimated probability of 68,91%; the prediction is supported most strongly by Vitória SC’s overall form and both Moreirense away samples — 4 of 5 hits in each — as well as the head-to-head record at 4 of 5.
69%
Estimated probability
Select a sample to see its matches
Average per match
5.4
Team 2.8
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
5
Team 2.4
Opponent 2.6
Above the line in 3 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.8
Team 2.8
Opponent 2
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
Average per match
4.4
Team 2.8
Opponent 1.6
Above the line in 4 of 5 matches
How to read this prediction: How the xG.Football Prediction Model Works · Both Teams to Score (BTTS): How the Market Works and How to Predict It · Over/Under 2.5 Goals: How to Calculate It and When It Lands · Football Prediction & Betting Glossary
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Bookmaker odds
Saved odds: Vitória SC — Moreirense
How to read odds: Odds and Probability: How to Convert Them and Find the Bookmaker Margin
Match result (1X2)
Totals
Both teams to score
Corners: total
Both teams to score
Yes · 0%
No · 0%
Match result (1X2)
Vitória SC · 0%
Draw · 0%
Moreirense · 0%
Totals
Over +2.5 · 0%
Under +2.5 · 0%
Corners: total
Over +9 · 0%
Under +9 · 0%
Match information
Match information: Vitória SC — Moreirense
Kick-off20 September 2026, 17:30
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Season2026/27
Round / stageRegular Season - 7
VenueEstádio D. Afonso Henriques
CityGuimarães
RefereeSergio Jose Dos Santos Guelho
Statistics will appear after a data source is connected.
FAQ
Frequently asked questions: Vitória SC — Moreirense
01 What time does Vitória SC vs Moreirense kick off?
Vitória SC vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) kicks off 20 September 2026, 17:30.
02 Where is Vitória SC vs Moreirense being played?
The match is played at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães).
03 Who is the referee for Vitória SC vs Moreirense?
The referee for Vitória SC vs Moreirense is Sergio Jose Dos Santos Guelho.
04 Who will win Vitória SC vs Moreirense?
According to our statistical model, Vitória SC is the most likely winner of Vitória SC vs Moreirense, with a probability of 57.9%.
05 What is the prediction for Vitória SC vs Moreirense?
The statistical model favours Home win (1), with an estimated probability of 57.9%.
06 What are the over/under odds for Vitória SC vs Moreirense?
For Vitória SC vs Moreirense, bookmakers offer 1.94 on over 2.5 goals and 1.89 on under 2.5 goals.
07 What are the match winner odds for Vitória SC vs Moreirense?
Bookmaker odds for Vitória SC vs Moreirense: Vitória SC — 1.52, Draw — 4.34, Moreirense — 5.95.
08 What is the recent form of Vitória SC and Moreirense?
Vitória SC: 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 4–6. Moreirense: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches, goals 5–11.
09 How many times have Vitória SC and Moreirense played each other?
Our database has 5 previous head-to-head meetings for these teams.
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