Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
22
Predictions logged
60%
Accuracy (settled)
55.3%
Average probability
10
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
60.97% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.51
1xBet
|
|
54.61% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.71
Pinnacle
|
|
51.04% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.93
Pinnacle
|
|
57.28% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
2.85
Bet365
|
|
58.29% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
5.93
1xBet
|
|
62.02% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
2.15
Bet365
|
|
60.29% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
2.05
Bet365
|
|
59.95% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 1:2 |
1.50
Bet365
|
|
47.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
43.84% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
2.31
1xBet
|
|
56.98% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.79
Pinnacle
|
|
58.42% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 2:1 |
1.60
Betano
|
|
58.56% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
2.08
Pinnacle
|
|
52.6% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.51
Pinnacle
|
|
56.2% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.81
Pinnacle
|
|
48.11% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
4.50
Bet365
|
|
50.47% | 3:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Czech Liga
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:1 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
57.65% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
3.10
Bet365
|
|
51.21% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
2.35
1xBet
|
|
51.6% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
57.4% | 1:0 |
Push
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:0 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
62.19% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 22 of 22 predictions.