Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
23
Predictions logged
67%
Accuracy (settled)
51.1%
Average probability
6
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 1:0 |
2.13
1xBet
|
|
58.38% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
3.34
1xBet
|
|
58.95% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
5.01
1xBet
|
|
62.28% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.85
1xBet
|
|
58.88% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 2:1 |
2.40
1xBet
|
|
36.84% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.51
1xBet
|
|
43.06% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
50.67% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
2.15
Bet365
|
|
58.22% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:2 |
1.92
1xBet
|
|
59.3% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:2 |
3.60
1xBet
|
|
57.39% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
52.98% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-1) · 0:2 |
1.68
1xBet
|
|
26.87% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 1:2 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
36.21% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.92
Bet365
|
|
57.22% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
6.27
1xBet
|
|
58.13% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.82
1xBet
|
|
47.69% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.50
1xBet
|
|
59.57% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.52
Bet365
|
|
62.06% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-1.5) · 0:2 |
1.98
1xBet
|
|
20.97% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.75
1xBet
|
|
37.25% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 1:0 |
1.78
Pinnacle
|
|
59.38% | 2:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
55.25% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 2:1 |
1.85
Pinnacle
|
|
58.78% | 4:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
Showing 23 of 23 predictions.