Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
140
Predictions logged
—
Accuracy (settled)
53.1%
Average probability
40
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Liga MX
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.78
Bet365
|
|
61.12% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
58.65% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+1) · 2:1 |
1.61
1xBet
|
|
60.92% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.30
Bet365
|
|
52.1% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ekstraklasa
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.88
Bet365
|
|
43.52% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.74
1xBet
|
|
61.58% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.71
1xBet
|
|
59.45% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.52
Bet365
|
|
59.73% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.82
Bet365
|
|
58.19% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+1) · 2:1 |
1.68
1xBet
|
|
51.79% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
2.14
1xBet
|
|
61.04% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.57
1xBet
|
|
47.91% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
2.00
Bet365
|
|
33.18% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.56
1xBet
|
|
45.56% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Bundesliga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.50
Bet365
|
|
61.48% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+1) · 2:1 |
2.49
1xBet
|
|
61.56% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Veikkausliiga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.38
1xBet
|
|
50.81% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Süper Lig
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
2.05
Bet365
|
|
60.11% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.73
1xBet
|
|
56.94% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 2:1 |
1.75
Bet365
|
|
58.37% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
2. Bundesliga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.73
1xBet
|
|
60.52% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
2.01
1xBet
|
|
55.33% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
K League 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.65
1xBet
|
|
51.02% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
K League 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
2.00
Betano
|
|
43.63% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
2.47
Betano
|
|
59.4% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 140 predictions.