Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
288
Predictions logged
—
Accuracy (settled)
53.3%
Average probability
42
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Liga MX
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.70
Bet365
|
|
59.82% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.78
Bet365
|
|
61.12% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
58.65% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
44.56% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.85
Bet365
|
|
45.61% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.85
1xBet
|
|
57.03% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+1) · 2:1 |
1.61
1xBet
|
|
60.92% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.62
1xBet
|
|
61.62% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.74
1xBet
|
|
47.29% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
51.98% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.30
Bet365
|
|
52.1% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
45.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.72
Bet365
|
|
45.75% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
2.05
Bet365
|
|
50.6% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
—
|
|
59.21% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ekstraklasa
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.88
Bet365
|
|
43.52% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.74
1xBet
|
|
61.58% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.71
1xBet
|
|
59.45% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.52
Bet365
|
|
59.73% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.82
Bet365
|
|
58.19% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
56.78% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 2:1 |
2.32
1xBet
|
|
58.19% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+1) · 2:1 |
1.68
1xBet
|
|
51.79% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.29
1xBet
|
|
52.57% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Eerste Divisie
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 2:1 |
1.53
1xBet
|
|
56.87% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 288 predictions.