Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
4
Predictions logged
75%
Accuracy (settled)
58.8%
Average probability
3
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 1:0 |
1.78
Pinnacle
|
|
59.38% | 2:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
55.25% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.54
1xBet
|
|
61.91% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 2:1 |
1.85
Pinnacle
|
|
58.78% | 4:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
Showing 4 of 4 predictions.







