Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
288
Predictions logged
0%
Accuracy (settled)
55.1%
Average probability
50
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
2.85
Bet365
|
|
58.29% | 4:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
3.10
Bet365
|
|
51.21% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
56.82% | 3:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.53
Betano
|
|
61.25% | 3:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
2.14
1xBet
|
|
60.45% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
50.1% | 2:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.92
Bet365
|
|
52.1% | 2:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.58
1xBet
|
|
61.51% | 2:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.50
Bet365
|
|
52.53% | 2:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.72
Bet365
|
|
58.25% | 2:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Eerste Divisie
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 2:1 |
2.35
1xBet
|
|
56.89% | 2:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Superettan
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.65
Bet365
|
|
44.51% | 3:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ekstraklasa
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
56.57% | 3:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ekstraklasa
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.89
1xBet
|
|
48.4% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Süper Lig
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.90
1xBet
|
|
45.44% | 5:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.65
Bet365
|
|
57.17% | 2:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.85
Bet365
|
|
52.34% | 3:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:0 |
1.86
Pinnacle
|
|
53.39% | 2:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.95
Pinnacle
|
|
50.97% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.70
Bet365
|
|
50.29% | 3:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.28
Pinnacle
|
|
50.01% | 3:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
2.02
Pinnacle
|
|
58.4% | 2:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
2.04
Pinnacle
|
|
59.45% | 5:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.67
Pinnacle
|
|
44.75% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.65
Bet365
|
|
59.68% | 2:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 288 predictions.