Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
9
Predictions logged
38%
Accuracy (settled)
62.1%
Average probability
6
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.67
Pinnacle
|
|
61.52% | 0:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
2.08
Pinnacle
|
|
62.44% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Eerste Divisie
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.93
Pinnacle
|
|
62.03% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Superliga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.72
Pinnacle
|
|
62.45% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Eerste Divisie
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:1 |
1.46
Pinnacle
|
|
62.49% | 1:1 |
Push
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.45
Pinnacle
|
|
62.44% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
8.58
Pinnacle
|
|
62.13% | 0:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 3:1 |
1.37
Pinnacle
|
|
62.46% | 3:4 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 2:2 |
1.36
Pinnacle
|
|
61.35% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 9 of 9 predictions.