Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
584
Predictions logged
0%
Accuracy (settled)
55.1%
Average probability
51
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 2:1 |
1.85
Pinnacle
|
|
58.78% | 4:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.93
Pinnacle
|
|
57.28% | 0:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
2.85
Bet365
|
|
58.29% | 4:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
5.93
1xBet
|
|
62.02% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
2.05
Bet365
|
|
59.95% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
2.31
1xBet
|
|
56.98% | 1:9 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.79
Pinnacle
|
|
58.42% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.81
Pinnacle
|
|
48.11% | 1:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
3.10
Bet365
|
|
51.21% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
2.35
1xBet
|
|
51.6% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.90
1xBet
|
|
45.88% | 0:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.65
Bet365
|
|
60.43% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
3.27
1xBet
|
|
58.27% | 0:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
56.82% | 3:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.53
Betano
|
|
61.25% | 3:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.61
1xBet
|
|
46.61% | 0:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.74
1xBet
|
|
62.23% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 2:1 |
1.65
Betano
|
|
58.49% | 2:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
2.14
1xBet
|
|
60.45% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
50.1% | 2:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.92
Bet365
|
|
52.1% | 2:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.58
1xBet
|
|
61.51% | 2:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.55
1xBet
|
|
59.3% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.50
Bet365
|
|
52.53% | 2:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.72
Bet365
|
|
58.25% | 2:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 584 predictions.