Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
329
Predictions logged
—
Accuracy (settled)
54.1%
Average probability
47
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
—
|
|
58.25% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
58.02% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
58.79% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
61.58% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 0:0 |
—
|
|
56.96% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
51.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:0 |
—
|
|
56.65% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:0 |
—
|
|
53.52% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
60.3% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
Premiership
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
59.56% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
59.72% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
60.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
50.6% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
58.71% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
51.16% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
58.64% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
59.64% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
60.54% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
59.85% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
60% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
—
|
|
58.06% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
—
|
|
58.78% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
—
|
|
60.27% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.75
Bet365
|
|
52.07% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
50.28% | — |
Pending
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 329 predictions.