Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
12
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
61.8%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Süper Lig
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.93
Pinnacle
|
|
61.45% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
2.08
Pinnacle
|
|
62.44% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.71
Pinnacle
|
|
61.57% | 2:4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
—
|
|
61.28% | 1:6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:1 |
1.75
Pinnacle
|
|
62.24% | 0:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga I
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:1 |
1.35
Pinnacle
|
|
62.02% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Superliga
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:1 |
1.70
Pinnacle
|
|
60.48% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Superliga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.72
Pinnacle
|
|
62.45% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
—
|
|
61.91% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:1 |
1.53
Pinnacle
|
|
62.13% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.42
Pinnacle
|
|
62.29% | 1:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 2:2 |
1.36
Pinnacle
|
|
61.35% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 12 of 12 predictions.