Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
125
Predictions logged
0%
Accuracy (settled)
56.7%
Average probability
50
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
League One
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.31
Pinnacle
|
|
52.3% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.95
Bet365
|
|
64.12% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Super Liga
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.55
Bet365
|
|
55.82% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ekstraklasa
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.58
Pinnacle
|
|
52.34% | 2:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.18
Bet365
|
|
64.12% | 1:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.25
Bet365
|
|
50.61% | 0:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.25
Bet365
|
|
61.6% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.66
Pinnacle
|
|
53.32% | 3:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera Nacional
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.14
Pinnacle
|
|
47.08% | 1:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
1.90
Bet365
|
|
61.48% | 2:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
3.67
Pinnacle
|
|
46.31% | 0:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera Nacional
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.74
Pinnacle
|
|
51.9% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.95
Pinnacle
|
|
64.12% | 0:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Bundesliga
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
1.81
Pinnacle
|
|
55.82% | 0:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Eliteserien
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
1.91
Pinnacle
|
|
58.18% | 2:4 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.75
Bet365
|
|
65.27% | 2:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Eredivisie
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
2.25
Bet365
|
|
58.28% | 1:5 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:1 |
1.25
Bet365
|
|
66.67% | 1:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
HNL
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.94
Pinnacle
|
|
52.34% | 0:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Premiership
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.10
Bet365
|
|
74.46% | 0:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
4.20
Bet365
|
|
55.82% | 1:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
2. Bundesliga
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.35
Pinnacle
|
|
44.47% | 0:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.83
Pinnacle
|
|
48.67% | 1:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.30
Bet365
|
|
55.26% | 1:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.35
Pinnacle
|
|
64.12% | 1:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 125 predictions.