Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
175
Predictions logged
66%
Accuracy (settled)
58.3%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Calculated | Match | Market | Model choice | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
La Liga · 19.09.2026 17:15
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
71.58% | 2 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
64.66% | 3 | Incorrect |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Premier League · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
59.71% | 3 | Incorrect |
| 18.09.2026 00:30 |
Premier League · 18.09.2026 22:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 2 | Incorrect |
| 17.09.2026 20:57 |
Ligue 1 · 18.09.2026 21:45
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
— | 2 | Incorrect |
Showing 5 of 5 predictions.