Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
16
Predictions logged
0%
Accuracy (settled)
67.2%
Average probability
13
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Yellow cards | Under 5 |
1.88
Betano
|
|
67.72% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 6.5 |
1.91
1xBet
|
|
70.38% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 3.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
61.69% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Over 3 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
62.45% | 2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Yellow cards | Over 2.5 |
1.65
Betano
|
|
68.01% | 2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.62
Betano
|
|
63.08% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
1.67
Betano
|
|
65.58% | 1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
68.64% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Yellow cards | Under 4 |
1.80
Betano
|
|
63.87% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 6.5 |
1.73
Bet365
|
|
62.39% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
Bet365
|
|
58.71% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
79.66% | 10 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Nations League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
Bet365
|
|
84.57% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga I
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
—
|
|
60.1% | 1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
—
|
|
71.58% | 2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
—
|
|
— | 2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
Showing 16 of 16 predictions.