Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
35
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
69.7%
Average probability
13
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
63.74% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.70
Betano
|
|
62.99% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 6.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
70.64% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
68.34% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.62
1xBet
|
|
62.65% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
Betano
|
|
64.76% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.62
Betano
|
|
72.82% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
66.04% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.80
Betano
|
|
65.64% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.62
1xBet
|
|
65.93% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 7.5 |
1.73
Bet365
|
|
78.7% | 6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.98
Betano
|
|
60.84% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
61.9% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.67
Bet365
|
|
65.73% | 0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
66.88% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
66.26% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.67
Bet365
|
|
64.14% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.67
Bet365
|
|
63.09% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
65.01% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
82.93% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.73
Bet365
|
|
79.29% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
—
|
|
79.29% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
—
|
|
79.29% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
—
|
|
79.29% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
—
|
|
75.52% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 35 predictions.