Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
25
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
52%
Average probability
5
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
5.01
1xBet
|
|
62.28% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.85
1xBet
|
|
58.88% | 2:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
63.74% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
2.22
1xBet
|
|
59.1% | 3:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.51
1xBet
|
|
43.06% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
50.67% | 1:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
2.15
Bet365
|
|
58.22% | 1:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.50
Bet365
|
|
59.18% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
1.62
Bet365
|
|
52.98% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.92
1xBet
|
|
44% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.50
Bet365
|
|
46.73% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-1) · 0:2 |
1.68
1xBet
|
|
26.87% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 1:2 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
36.21% | 1:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
6.27
1xBet
|
|
58.13% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.75
Bet365
|
|
51.23% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.82
1xBet
|
|
47.69% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.50
1xBet
|
|
59.57% | 1:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.62
1xBet
|
|
25.78% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
1.62
Betano
|
|
61.56% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
1.72
Betano
|
|
59.1% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.76
Pinnacle
|
|
62.21% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.75
1xBet
|
|
37.25% | 1:6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1.5) · 1:0 |
1.78
Pinnacle
|
|
59.38% | 2:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
1.68
Bet365
|
|
55.25% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.54
1xBet
|
|
61.91% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 25 predictions.