Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
1 485
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
56.6%
Average probability
64
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Czech Liga
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:1 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
57.65% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.70
Betano
|
|
62.99% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:0 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
62.19% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 6.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
70.64% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.02
Bet365
|
|
44.73% | 2:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.66
Pinnacle
|
|
51.91% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.73
1xBet
|
|
64.17% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 3:1 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
44.75% | 4:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 1:2 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
46.62% | 0:6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
68.34% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 1:2 |
1.98
Bet365
|
|
61.58% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 3:1 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
61.9% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.56
1xBet
|
|
44.49% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4 |
1.95
Betano
|
|
66.6% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.55
Betano
|
|
56.98% | 1:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.50
1xBet
|
|
61.13% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
52.42% | 8 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.65
Betano
|
|
67.85% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 0:1 |
1.85
Betano
|
|
50.1% | 1:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 1:2 |
1.56
1xBet
|
|
46.92% | 0:4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.77
1xBet
|
|
50.66% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 3:1 |
3.26
1xBet
|
|
58.44% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
1.98
Bet365
|
|
21.67% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
1.86
1xBet
|
|
56.91% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Away handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.76
1xBet
|
|
46.26% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 1485 predictions.