Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
175
Predictions logged
65%
Accuracy (settled)
58.3%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Calculated | Match | Market | Model choice | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 21:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 2.5 |
|
— | 3 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 19:45
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.13% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 21:45
|
Shots on target | Over 8.5 |
|
— | 12 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 21:45
|
Shots on target | Over 9.5 |
|
— | 13 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 21:45
|
Corners | Over 10.5 |
|
— | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 21:45
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
|
— | 13 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:30 |
Bundesliga · 19.09.2026 19:30
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
59.16% | 7 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 18:14 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 21:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.13% | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Primeira Liga · 19.09.2026 20:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Primeira Liga · 19.09.2026 17:30
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
64.66% | 4 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Primeira Liga · 19.09.2026 17:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
61.95% | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Primeira Liga · 19.09.2026 17:30
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
62.08% | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Eredivisie · 19.09.2026 17:30
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
77.41% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 17:00 |
Ligue 1 · 19.09.2026 18:15
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.89% | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
68% | 16 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | 9 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Match outcome | Draw (X) · 2:2 |
|
— | 1:1 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
|
53.56% | 6 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
67.88% | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:31 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
|
69.9% | 10 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Primeira Liga · 19.09.2026 20:00
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
|
57.93% | 1:0 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.13% | 11 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
57.65% | 8 | Correct |
| 19.09.2026 16:30 |
Championship · 19.09.2026 17:00
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
|
69.13% | 9 | Correct |
Showing 25 of 76 predictions.