Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
2 849
Predictions logged
55%
Accuracy (settled)
55.5%
Average probability
67
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
UEFA Europa League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 0:1 |
3.10
Bet365
|
|
51.21% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
2.35
1xBet
|
|
51.6% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.70
Betano
|
|
62.99% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
57.4% | 1:0 |
Push
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:0 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
62.19% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.90
1xBet
|
|
45.88% | 0:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.65
Bet365
|
|
60.43% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 6.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
70.64% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:1 |
2.02
Bet365
|
|
44.73% | 2:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.66
Pinnacle
|
|
51.91% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.73
1xBet
|
|
64.17% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 3:1 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
44.75% | 4:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 1:2 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
46.62% | 0:6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
68.34% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (-0.5) · 1:2 |
1.98
Bet365
|
|
61.58% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 3:1 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
61.9% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+1) · 1:1 |
1.56
1xBet
|
|
44.49% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4 |
1.95
Betano
|
|
66.6% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
3.27
1xBet
|
|
58.27% | 0:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
60.83% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
56.82% | 3:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Away handicap (+0.5) · 1:2 |
1.55
Betano
|
|
56.98% | 1:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.50
1xBet
|
|
61.13% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.31
Pinnacle
|
|
52.3% | 0:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.53
1xBet
|
|
61.43% | 1:1 |
Push
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 2849 predictions.