Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
11
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
67.2%
Average probability
8
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
League One
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
—
|
|
65.31% | 10 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Veikkausliiga
|
Corners | Under 10.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
66.68% | 10 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Corners | Over 10 |
1.85
Bet365
|
|
62.49% | 12 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
63.82% | 9 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Europa Conference League
|
Corners | Over 9.5 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
62.85% | 15 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Corners | Over 10.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
67.6% | 14 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Nations League
|
Corners | Under 9.5 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
75.9% | 9 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Friendlies
|
Corners | Under 8.5 |
1.83
Pinnacle
|
|
78.25% | 7 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Nations League
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
—
|
|
64.37% | 12 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
—
|
|
64.37% | 13 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Bundesliga
|
Corners | Over 8.5 |
—
|
|
— | 11 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 11 of 11 predictions.