Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
714
Predictions logged
54%
Accuracy (settled)
55.8%
Average probability
51
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.93
Pinnacle
|
|
57.28% | 0:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
5.93
1xBet
|
|
62.02% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
2.15
Bet365
|
|
60.29% | 4:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
2.05
Bet365
|
|
59.95% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
2.31
1xBet
|
|
56.98% | 1:9 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.79
Pinnacle
|
|
58.42% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 2:1 |
1.60
Betano
|
|
58.56% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
2.08
Pinnacle
|
|
52.6% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 0:1 |
1.81
Pinnacle
|
|
48.11% | 1:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
4.50
Bet365
|
|
50.47% | 3:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
2.35
1xBet
|
|
51.6% | 1:0 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
57.4% | 1:0 |
Push
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:0 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
62.19% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.90
1xBet
|
|
45.88% | 0:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.65
Bet365
|
|
60.43% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.66
Pinnacle
|
|
51.91% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 3:1 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
44.75% | 4:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 3:1 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
61.9% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
3.27
1xBet
|
|
58.27% | 0:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.50
1xBet
|
|
61.13% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.53
1xBet
|
|
61.43% | 1:1 |
Push
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.61
1xBet
|
|
46.61% | 0:1 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.74
1xBet
|
|
62.23% | 1:2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 2:1 |
1.65
Betano
|
|
58.49% | 2:3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.77
1xBet
|
|
50.66% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 714 predictions.