Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
342
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
55.9%
Average probability
51
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
4.50
Bet365
|
|
50.47% | 3:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:0 |
1.58
Bet365
|
|
62.19% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Handicap | Home handicap (+0.5) · 1:0 |
1.66
Pinnacle
|
|
51.91% | 0:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 3:1 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
44.75% | 4:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 3:1 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
61.9% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.50
1xBet
|
|
61.13% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
1.77
1xBet
|
|
50.66% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 3:1 |
3.26
1xBet
|
|
58.44% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
1.86
1xBet
|
|
56.91% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 3:1 |
1.58
1xBet
|
|
60.14% | 5:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ekstraklasa
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.71
1xBet
|
|
61.95% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Eerste Divisie
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.74
1xBet
|
|
60.49% | 3:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga I
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 2:1 |
1.85
1xBet
|
|
57.09% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
57.68% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.75
Bet365
|
|
50.97% | 4:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1) · 2:0 |
1.53
1xBet
|
|
57.97% | 5:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.63
1xBet
|
|
55.97% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
FKF Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (0) · 1:0 |
1.66
1xBet
|
|
55.49% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
50.67% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.60
Bet365
|
|
51.15% | 5:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.70
Pinnacle
|
|
52.28% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
2.02
Pinnacle
|
|
50.69% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 1:0 |
1.81
Pinnacle
|
|
50.79% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-0.5) · 2:1 |
1.60
Betano
|
|
61.67% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga I
|
Handicap | Home handicap (-1.5) · 2:0 |
2.46
1xBet
|
|
52.02% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 342 predictions.