Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
76
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
48.9%
Average probability
39
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Ligue 1
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.85
Pinnacle
|
|
56.81% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Veikkausliiga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.70
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 3:4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Persha Liga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
—
|
|
40.19% | 2:4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.56
Pinnacle
|
|
54.3% | 1:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.25
Bet365
|
|
43.91% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.61
Pinnacle
|
|
43.91% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 2:3 |
3.40
Bet365
|
|
42.23% | 1:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
52.72% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.25
Pinnacle
|
|
57.64% | 0:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga I
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.28
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
3.87
Pinnacle
|
|
47.76% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.25
Bet365
|
|
52.72% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Persha Liga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
—
|
|
53.13% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Persha Liga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.38
Bet365
|
|
53.13% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.13
Pinnacle
|
|
69.82% | 0:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.50
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.36
Bet365
|
|
69.82% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Süper Lig
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.74
Pinnacle
|
|
45.73% | 0:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premiership
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.32
Pinnacle
|
|
54.13% | 0:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.97
Pinnacle
|
|
52.72% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.49
Pinnacle
|
|
48.72% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Bundesliga
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.62
Pinnacle
|
|
40.19% | 0:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
League One
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
2.38
Bet365
|
|
42.99% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 1:2 |
1.43
Pinnacle
|
|
40.19% | 1:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Eerste Divisie
|
Match outcome | Away win (2) · 2:3 |
2.15
Pinnacle
|
|
47.19% | 0:3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 76 predictions.