Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
162
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
57.9%
Average probability
50
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Ligue 1
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.50
1xBet
|
|
58.57% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.50
Pinnacle
|
|
58.57% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Division Profesional - Clausura
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.61
Pinnacle
|
|
55.82% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.78
Pinnacle
|
|
55.78% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Allsvenskan
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.32
Pinnacle
|
|
55.78% | 4:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.65
Pinnacle
|
|
65.51% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.61
Pinnacle
|
|
58.57% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.80
Bet365
|
|
50.61% | 5:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.55
Bet365
|
|
57.62% | 6:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.36
Bet365
|
|
57.21% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.50
Bet365
|
|
64.12% | 4:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera Nacional
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.73
Pinnacle
|
|
51.9% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera Nacional
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 1:0 |
1.60
Pinnacle
|
|
47.08% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ekstraklasa
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
1.99
Pinnacle
|
|
64.12% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera Nacional
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.19
Pinnacle
|
|
47.08% | 1:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.27
Bet365
|
|
76.26% | 2:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.62
Pinnacle
|
|
50.61% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
2.00
Bet365
|
|
53.32% | 5:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
La Liga
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.56
Pinnacle
|
|
65.64% | 5:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.70
Bet365
|
|
55.82% | 3:2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Süper Lig
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
1.26
Pinnacle
|
|
56.97% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Superliga
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
2.62
Pinnacle
|
|
54.49% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Bundesliga
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:2 |
1.66
Pinnacle
|
|
66.95% | 2:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
NPFL
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 2:1 |
—
|
|
71.35% | 3:1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League
|
Match outcome | Home win (1) · 3:1 |
2.64
Pinnacle
|
|
55.82% | 3:0 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 162 predictions.