Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
56
Predictions logged
0%
Accuracy (settled)
61.4%
Average probability
17
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Championship
|
Shots on target | Over 8.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
54.78% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Shots on target | Under 9.5 |
1.67
Bet365
|
|
64.56% | 14 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Shots on target | Over 9.5 |
2.10
Bet365
|
|
49.99% | 8 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Shots on target | Over 8.5 |
1.91
Bet365
|
|
54.85% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Shots on target | Under 8.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
54.51% | 10 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Shots on target | Under 9.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
55.85% | 10 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Shots on target | Under 9.5 |
2.00
Bet365
|
|
50.19% | 17 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Shots on target | Under 9.5 |
1.73
Bet365
|
|
58.58% | 10 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Shots on target | Under 9.5 |
1.73
Bet365
|
|
60.31% | 10 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Shots on target | Under 9.5 |
1.67
Bet365
|
|
61.69% | 11 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Shots on target | Under 9.5 |
1.73
Bet365
|
|
60.24% | 10 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Shots on target | Under 9.5 |
1.73
Bet365
|
|
56.77% | 16 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Shots on target | Under 8.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
57.62% | 10 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
1.83
Bet365
|
|
54.4% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Nations League
|
Shots on target | Over 8.5 |
1.91
Bet365
|
|
73.34% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
52.5% | 5 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
55.25% | 3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Nations League
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
60.82% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Nations League
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
69.92% | 5 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Segunda División
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
55.25% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Damallsvenskan
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
60.82% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Nations League
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
60.82% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Kirin Cup
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
62.18% | 3 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League Women
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
62.18% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Nations League
|
Shots on target | Over 7.5 |
—
|
|
62.18% | 5 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 56 predictions.