Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
203
Predictions logged
65%
Accuracy (settled)
63.7%
Average probability
25
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 6.5 |
1.91
1xBet
|
|
70.38% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 3.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
61.69% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Over 3 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
62.45% | 2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.70
Betano
|
|
62.99% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 6.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
70.64% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.73
1xBet
|
|
64.17% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
68.34% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4 |
1.95
Betano
|
|
66.6% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
60.83% | 6 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Yellow cards | Over 2.5 |
1.65
Betano
|
|
68.01% | 2 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.65
Betano
|
|
67.85% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.80
Betano
|
|
60.01% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.62
1xBet
|
|
62.65% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
1.80
1xBet
|
|
59.26% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.62
Betano
|
|
63.08% | 7 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.80
1xBet
|
|
59.46% | 9 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
Betano
|
|
64.76% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.85
Betano
|
|
61.56% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.62
Betano
|
|
72.82% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Yellow cards | Under 3.5 |
2.05
Betano
|
|
48.68% | 5 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga Profesional Argentina
|
Yellow cards | Under 8.5 |
1.88
Betano
|
|
63.37% | 9 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
1.72
Betano
|
|
59.32% | 6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Premier League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
61.96% | 8 |
Incorrect
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
62.5% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
62.78% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 203 predictions.