Prediction statistics
How the xG.Football model performs on real data: the full journal of predictions saved before kickoff, and how they turned out.
130
Predictions logged
100%
Accuracy (settled)
64.6%
Average probability
24
Leagues in sample
Each row is a prediction stored before kick-off and its subsequent settlement.
| Date | Match | Market | Model choice | Odds | Criteria matched | Probability | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.70
Betano
|
|
62.99% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 6.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
70.64% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.73
1xBet
|
|
64.17% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
68.34% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4 |
1.95
Betano
|
|
66.6% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Championship
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.65
Betano
|
|
67.85% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.80
Betano
|
|
60.01% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.62
1xBet
|
|
62.65% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie A
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
1.80
1xBet
|
|
59.26% | 5 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Major League Soccer
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
Betano
|
|
64.76% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.85
Betano
|
|
61.56% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.62
Betano
|
|
72.82% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primeira Liga
|
Yellow cards | Over 3.5 |
1.72
Betano
|
|
59.32% | 6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Ligue 1
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.67
1xBet
|
|
62.5% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
62.78% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Super League 1
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
59.91% | 2 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
64.7% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Czech Liga
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
56.42% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Serie B
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.83
1xBet
|
|
63.64% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Jupiler Pro League
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.75
Betano
|
|
66.04% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Czech Liga
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.70
Betano
|
|
58.19% | 4 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Eredivisie
|
Yellow cards | Over 2.5 |
1.60
Betano
|
|
62.24% | 6 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Yellow cards | Under 4.5 |
1.83
1xBet
|
|
62.91% | 1 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Liga MX
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.78
Betano
|
|
63.88% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
|
|
Primera División
|
Yellow cards | Under 5.5 |
1.80
Betano
|
|
65.64% | 3 |
Correct
Calculated
|
Showing 25 of 130 predictions.